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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 24, 2024·Delta Center, Salt Lake City

Colorado Avalanche 5, Utah Hockey Club 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Utah Hockey Club win this game 54% of the time.

UTA winsCOL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

UTA forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against COL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

MacKinnon–Rantanen–ColtonWood–Kelly–KivirantaMittelstadt–Kovalenko–O'ConnorMacKinnon–Rantanen–IvanWagner–Stienburg–IvanKelly–O'Connor–KivirantaWagner–Kiviranta–StienburgWood–Kelly–StienburgMacKinnon–Rantanen–MittelstadtWood–Kelly–O'ConnorManson–GirardToews–Makarde Haan–Malinskide Haan–Mansonde Haan–Girard
Keller–Hayton–Guenther0:370.02–0.001:230.00–0.110:410.40–0.000:420.00–0.000:460.14–0.003:260.47–0.112:370.02–0.000:430.00–0.000:300.00–0.00
Crouse–McBain–Maccelli0:350.00–0.131:030.00–0.042:100.00–0.140:350.00–0.000:440.00–0.001:580.00–0.041:050.00–0.203:210.11–0.01
Schmaltz–Keller–Hayton2:140.07–0.001:290.11–0.002:410.17–0.001:070.01–0.00
Kerfoot–Stenlund–Doan0:330.02–0.000:480.14–0.001:560.02–0.000:480.14–0.001:000.04–0.00
Schmaltz–Yamamoto–Cooley0:310.00–0.000:310.00–0.001:360.00–0.001:100.00–0.07
Kerfoot–Stenlund–Yamamoto0:590.01–0.001:190.00–0.090:510.00–0.001:200.01–0.001:490.00–0.09
McBain–Guenther–Cooley1:040.01–0.001:030.00–0.002:120.01–0.00
Kerfoot–Crouse–Doan0:470.00–0.011:210.00–0.011:240.00–0.011:050.00–0.01
Schmaltz–Doan–Cooley0:480.00–0.000:430.00–0.151:000.00–0.000:480.00–0.000:370.00–0.15
Stenlund–Yamamoto–Maccelli0:380.00–0.000:500.00–0.000:380.00–0.001:340.00–0.08
Cole–Lamoureux3:100.14–0.043:190.11–0.231:210.06–0.141:250.00–0.000:350.00–0.000:430.00–0.000:380.00–0.015:120.11–0.193:180.00–0.225:020.21–0.010:500.10–0.000:440.04–0.00
Sergachev–Kesselring5:250.10–0.410:360.00–0.002:290.34–0.000:340.00–0.001:130.21–0.000:480.14–0.005:060.61–0.016:210.17–0.332:070.00–0.00
Välimäki–Kolyachonok0:300.00–0.002:110.00–0.082:060.00–0.150:530.00–0.004:220.02–0.002:480.05–0.153:010.00–0.31
Kesselring–Lamoureux0:410.00–0.00
Välimäki–Kesselring0:480.00–0.000:400.12–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndSchmaltz FKeller FHayton FDoan FKerfoot FCrouse FMcBain FGuenther FCooley FYamamoto FMaccelli FStenlund FKesselring DSergachev DKolyachonok DVälimäki DLamoureux DCole DVejmelka GColton FMacKinnon FRantanen FMittelstadt FO'Connor FKovalenko FKelly FKiviranta FWood FStienburg FIvan FWagner FToews DMakar DGirard DManson Dde Haan DMalinski DAnnunen G
UTACOLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Mikhail SergachevUTA2923:380:491:5064
Samuel GirardCOL2922:470:471:4923
Cale MakarCOL2422:360:572:4228
Mikko RantanenCOL2221:290:592:4622
Nathan MacKinnonCOL2220:570:572:4621
Ian ColeUTA3020:300:411:2544
Josh MansonCOL2819:530:431:3034
Michael KesselringUTA2719:400:441:2131
Barrett HaytonUTA2219:390:541:4352
Dylan GuentherUTA2118:560:541:4351
Maveric LamoureuxUTA2718:500:421:1441
Devon ToewsCOL2618:480:431:0917
Clayton KellerUTA2118:280:531:4371
Casey MittelstadtCOL2018:160:552:1824
Juuso VälimäkiUTA2517:430:431:2431
Joel KivirantaCOL2317:000:441:4303
Nick SchmaltzUTA1916:550:531:4350
Calvin de HaanCOL2216:480:461:1801
Parker KellyCOL2316:430:441:0403
Miles WoodCOL2014:570:451:0502
Logan O'ConnorCOL2314:410:381:0217
Sam MalinskiCOL2114:400:421:3801
Lawson CrouseUTA2114:290:411:1511
Alexander KerfootUTA1914:130:451:1614
Jack McBainUTA1713:500:491:2110
Kevin StenlundUTA1913:500:441:4125
Logan CooleyUTA1913:200:421:0530
Nikolai KovalenkoCOL2013:170:401:1315
Matias MaccelliUTA1613:100:491:1811
Ivan IvanCOL1612:500:481:2520
Josh DoanUTA1712:310:441:0031
Vladislav KolyachonokUTA1912:200:391:0731
Ross ColtonCOL1211:070:562:4611
Kailer YamamotoUTA1610:440:401:1022
Matthew StienburgCOL139:360:441:4210
Chris WagnerCOL117:460:421:1312