Fri, Nov 1, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
New York Islanders 4, Buffalo Sabres 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 65% of the time.
26%
8%
58%
BUF winsNYI wins
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25:21 | 0.07 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 24:55 | 0.08 | 51.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 23:52 | 0.03 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 21:28 | 0.31 | 56.7% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:27 | 0.00 | 27.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 8 | 20:54 | 0.66 | 62.9% | +27.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 19:14 | 1.44 | 61.9% | +27.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 17:24 | 0.32 | 40.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:06 | 0.32 | 62.1% | +16.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 15:01 | 0.19 | 59.7% | +38.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 13:53 | 0.78 | 15.4% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 13:47 | 0.02 | 15.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:56 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10:41 | 0.02 | 29.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:31 | 0.05 | 10.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:18 | 0.07 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:24 | 0.00 | 13.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:41 | 0.00 | 1.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 35 | 32 | 3 | .914 | 3.40 | +0.4 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 24:59 | 0.22 | 69.2% | +9.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 24:38 | 0.31 | 70.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 22:41 | 0.30 | 54.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 21:50 | 0.34 | 67.2% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 21:49 | 0.08 | 47.3% | +20.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 19:19 | 0.57 | 52.5% | +4.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 19:14 | 0.24 | 29.4% | +9.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:30 | 0.11 | 70.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:22 | 0.06 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:22 | 0.00 | 42.0% | +4.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:15 | 0.05 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 14:07 | 0.08 | 56.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13:54 | 0.38 | 77.3% | +25.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13:42 | 0.66 | 61.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:00 | 0.00 | 49.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:44 | 0.00 | 8.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:09 | 0.00 | 19.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:31 | 0.00 | 19.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 36 | 32 | 4 | .889 | 2.84 | −1.2 | 56:06 |