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Ice Lab

Fri, Nov 1, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

New York Islanders 4, Buffalo Sabres 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 65% of the time.

BUF winsNYI wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Lee–Pageau–HorvatPalmieri–Nelson–TsyplakovCizikas–Engvall–HolmstromFasching–Wahlstrom–MacLeanCizikas–Engvall–MacLeanDobson–RomanovMayfield–PulockPelech–PulockReilly–Mayfield
Tuch–Thompson–Peterka4:240.28–0.162:300.31–0.001:030.18–0.004:200.54–0.261:260.02–0.001:220.21–0.03
Greenway–McLeod–Cozens1:080.00–0.041:410.05–0.002:340.02–0.000:590.00–0.001:170.00–0.003:170.07–0.04
Aube-Kubel–Lafferty–Malenstyn1:070.03–0.120:330.00–0.002:480.00–0.001:160.00–0.000:580.03–0.031:220.00–0.00
Zucker–Krebs–Quinn1:070.18–0.001:310.23–0.001:050.12–0.111:480.07–0.00
Greenway–McLeod–Krebs0:430.00–0.000:420.00–0.001:400.01–0.000:340.00–0.00
Zucker–Tuch–Thompson0:380.00–0.000:400.00–0.001:380.23–0.02
Cozens–Quinn–Peterka1:030.06–0.130:320.03–0.001:170.06–0.131:020.03–0.00
Jokiharju–Dahlin1:480.00–0.072:150.24–0.001:260.06–0.001:400.10–0.000:590.18–0.004:220.42–0.071:320.00–0.000:550.00–0.00
Byram–Power3:410.29–0.031:460.06–0.001:230.02–0.002:030.18–0.191:380.02–0.002:320.16–0.031:420.02–0.00
Clifton–Samuelsson1:500.07–0.041:230.05–0.161:240.18–0.001:270.01–0.002:080.02–0.271:420.07–0.002:090.22–0.06
Jokiharju–Power0:530.05–0.131:500.00–0.030:350.02–0.002:270.05–0.181:480.02–0.00
Dahlin–Byram1:080.00–0.220:370.11–0.001:400.11–0.220:450.01–0.00
Samuelsson–Dahlin0:520.04–0.000:450.06–0.000:460.04–0.001:350.00–0.00
Dahlin–Power0:510.08–0.121:030.00–0.00
Jokiharju–Byram0:520.06–0.050:460.06–0.05
Samuelsson–Byram0:320.00–0.100:310.00–0.10
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndThompson FPeterka FTuch FCozens FMcLeod FGreenway FZucker FQuinn FKrebs FMalenstyn FLafferty FAube-Kubel FByram DPower DJokiharju DDahlin DClifton DSamuelsson DLevi GHorvat FLee FPageau FPalmieri FNelson FTsyplakov FHolmstrom FCizikas FEngvall FWahlstrom FMacLean FFasching FPelech DPulock DRomanov DDobson DReilly DMayfield DSorokin G
BUFNYIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Ryan PulockNYI3825:210:401:1946
Rasmus DahlinBUF3024:590:502:2444
Noah DobsonNYI3424:550:441:4245
Alex TuchBUF2624:380:572:3125
Alexander RomanovNYI3223:520:451:0913
JJ PeterkaBUF2422:410:572:3250
Tage ThompsonBUF2521:500:522:2331
Bowen ByramBUF2421:490:551:5042
Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI2821:280:461:1932
Scott MayfieldNYI3121:270:421:3303
Bo HorvatNYI2420:540:521:2133
Owen PowerBUF2319:190:501:1523
Dylan CozensBUF2419:140:482:1652
Anders LeeNYI2219:140:521:2733
Henri JokiharjuBUF2417:300:441:3842
Brock NelsonNYI2417:240:441:2133
Kyle PalmieriNYI2417:060:431:1233
Jordan GreenwayBUF2416:220:411:1615
Ryan McLeodBUF2316:220:431:1512
Mattias SamuelssonBUF2216:150:441:1406
Maxim TsyplakovNYI2315:010:391:1932
Connor CliftonBUF2214:070:391:1816
Jason ZuckerBUF1713:540:491:5952
Simon HolmstromNYI2113:530:401:1242
Casey CizikasNYI2113:470:391:0915
Jack QuinnBUF2113:420:391:2062
Peyton KrebsBUF1913:000:411:3844
Kyle MacLeanNYI1911:560:381:1021
Adam PelechNYI1410:410:461:1505
Pierre EngvallNYI1410:310:451:1513
Oliver WahlstromNYI1410:180:441:1640
Mike ReillyNYI117:240:401:1111
Sam LaffertyBUF116:440:371:0000
Hudson FaschingNYI126:410:331:0520
Nicolas Aube-KubelBUF106:090:370:5900
Beck MalenstynBUF85:310:410:5400