Sat, Nov 9, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Calgary Flames 2, Buffalo Sabres 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 63% of the time.
53%
10%
9%
28%
BUF winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 26:25 | 0.03 | 32.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 25:05 | 0.04 | 62.3% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24:28 | 0.56 | 33.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 24:25 | 0.02 | 28.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:56 | 0.22 | 42.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:52 | 0.09 | 29.0% | +35.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:47 | 0.02 | 61.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:24 | 0.22 | 51.4% | +35.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:59 | 0.35 | 52.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:18 | 0.04 | 41.1% | +35.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:08 | 0.17 | 37.8% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:53 | 0.12 | 37.8% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:03 | 0.03 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:35 | 0.01 | 42.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:25 | 0.00 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:55 | 0.08 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:12 | 0.00 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:35 | 0.06 | 44.3% | 0.0 |
| O | 19 | 17 | 2 | .895 | 2.76 | +0.8 | 65:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 32:34 | 0.00 | 64.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 28:28 | 0.34 | 66.8% | +10.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:42 | 0.20 | 64.9% | +9.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 19:34 | 0.07 | 81.8% | +10.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19:27 | 0.18 | 73.2% | +10.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:44 | 0.29 | 91.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:14 | 0.65 | 66.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:01 | 0.01 | 49.2% | +9.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:44 | 0.00 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:40 | 0.16 | 53.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:13 | 0.20 | 45.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:07 | 0.08 | 49.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:22 | 0.00 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:42 | 0.13 | 66.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:28 | 0.19 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:35 | 0.01 | 62.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:06 | 0.25 | 52.9% | +9.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:19 | 0.00 | 50.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 26 | 24 | 2 | .923 | 2.06 | +0.1 | 65:00 |