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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 30, 2024·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

5

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 70% of the time.

TBL winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:21Shot by Goncalves, saved by Woll
  3. P1 1:42Shot by Sheary, saved by Woll
  4. P1 4:19Shot by Girgensons, saved by Woll
  5. P1 6:15Shot by Point, saved by Woll
  6. P1 6:47Shot by Guentzel, saved by Woll
  7. P1 7:13Goal by Knies (Tanev, Matthews)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel, Geekie · TOR Tanev, McCabe, Nylander, Matthews, Knies

  8. P1 7:48Shot by Benoit, saved by Vasilevskiy5v6
  9. P1 7:50Point: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh, Goncalves · TOR Tavares, Marner, Matthews, Timmins, Holmberg, Benoit

  10. P1 10:11Shot by Lilleberg, saved by Woll
  11. P1 11:35Shot by Rielly, saved by Vasilevskiy
  12. P1 11:37Shot by Marner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  13. P1 12:14Shot by Atkinson, saved by Woll
  14. P1 12:57Shot by Cirelli, saved by Woll
  15. P1 14:35Shot by Nylander, saved by Vasilevskiy
  16. P1 14:41Shot by Nylander, saved by Vasilevskiy
  17. P1 15:27Shot by Hedman, saved by Woll
  18. P1 18:23Shot by Lorentz, saved by Vasilevskiy
  19. P1 19:03Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Woll
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:11Shot by McCabe, saved by Vasilevskiy
  23. P2 0:23Shot by Marner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  24. P2 1:05Shot by Knies, saved by Vasilevskiy
  25. P2 1:49Shot by Cirelli, saved by Woll
  26. P2 3:30Shot by Holmberg, saved by Vasilevskiy
  27. P2 3:56Shot by Hagel, saved by Woll
  28. P2 4:15Shot by Minten, saved by Vasilevskiy
  29. P2 6:48Shot by Nylander, saved by Vasilevskiy
  30. P2 7:17Shot by Hagel, saved by Woll
  31. P2 8:06Goal by Tanev (Marner, Holmberg)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh, Goncalves · TOR Tavares, Tanev, McCabe, Marner, Holmberg

  32. P2 8:39Goal by Robertson (Minten, Benoit)+9 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Girgensons, Sheary, Eyssimont, Perbix, Lilleberg · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Lorentz, Timmins, Robertson, Minten

  33. P2 9:25Grebenkin: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Atkinson, Hedman, Glendening, Guentzel, Moser · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Tanev, Rielly, Matthews, Nylander, Knies

  34. P2 10:02Shot by Guentzel, saved by Woll5v4
  35. P2 10:13Shot by Point, saved by Woll5v4
  36. P2 10:14Shot by Cirelli, saved by Woll5v4
  37. P2 10:16Shot by Hagel, saved by Woll5v4
  38. P2 11:06Shot by Guentzel, saved by Woll5v4
  39. P2 11:07Shot by Guentzel, saved by Woll5v4
  40. P2 12:16Shot by Sheary, saved by Woll
  41. P2 12:31Shot by Cirelli, saved by Woll
  42. P2 13:26Shot by Cirelli, saved by Woll
  43. P2 13:48Shot by Rielly, saved by Vasilevskiy
  44. P2 14:52Shot by Tanev, saved by Vasilevskiy
  45. P2 15:53Shot by Hagel, saved by Woll
  46. P2 16:29Shot by Robertson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  47. P2 16:39Shot by Benoit, saved by Vasilevskiy
  48. P2 17:48Shot by Marner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  49. P2 18:39Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  50. P2 18:59Goal by Tavares (Marner, Rielly)+3 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh, Goncalves · TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Rielly, Marner, Holmberg

  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 0:13Shot by Tavares, saved by Vasilevskiy
  54. P3 0:17Shot by Tavares, saved by Vasilevskiy
  55. P3 0:37Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  56. P3 1:15Shot by Timmins, saved by Vasilevskiy
  57. P3 2:28Shot by Goncalves, saved by Woll
  58. P3 6:19Matthews: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Guentzel, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel, Geekie · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Matthews, Timmins, Knies

  59. P3 7:06Shot by Hagel, saved by Woll5v4
  60. P3 7:17Shot by Hedman, saved by Woll5v4
  61. P3 7:44Shot by Sheary, saved by Woll5v4
  62. P3 8:09Shot by Hedman, saved by Woll5v4
  63. P3 8:52Shot by Timmins, saved by Vasilevskiy
  64. P3 10:10Shot by Lilleberg, saved by Woll
  65. P3 10:27Shot by Marner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  66. P3 10:50Shot by Point, saved by Woll
  67. P3 11:21Goal by Eyssimont (Raddysh)+1 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Girgensons, Sheary, Raddysh, Eyssimont, Moser · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Tanev, Nylander, Dewar, Grebenkin

  68. P3 12:55Shot by Atkinson, saved by Woll
  69. P3 12:59Shot by Atkinson, saved by Woll
  70. P3 13:03Shot by Raddysh, saved by Woll
  71. P3 15:19Goal by Guentzel (Hagel, Hedman)6v5+2 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Atkinson, Hedman, Guentzel, Point, Cirelli, Hagel · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Marner, Timmins, Holmberg

  72. P3 15:47Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Woll
  73. P3 17:25Shot by Hagel, saved by Woll6v5
  74. P3 17:27Ekman-Larsson: Cross checking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL Atkinson, Hedman, Guentzel, Point, Cirelli, Hagel · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Matthews, Timmins, Knies

  75. P3 17:38Goal by Atkinson (Hagel, Hedman)6v4+7 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Atkinson, Hedman, Guentzel, Point, Cirelli, Hagel · TOR Tanev, Marner, Matthews, Benoit

  76. P3 18:44Goal by Nylander (Matthews, Knies)6v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Atkinson, Hedman, Guentzel, Point, Cirelli, Hagel · TOR Tanev, Nylander, Matthews, Benoit, Knies

  77. P3 19:46Shot by Point, saved by Woll6v5
  78. P3 19:51Shot by Atkinson, saved by Woll6v5
  79. P3 19:55Shot by Guentzel, saved by Woll6v5
  80. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  81. P3 0:00Final6v5