Sat, Nov 30, 2024·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 70% of the time.
62%
8%
23%
TBL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Chris TanevD · #8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 22:38 | 0.12 | 52.0% | +31.4 |
 Simon BenoitD · #2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:13 | 0.18 | 54.4% | +9.2 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:53 | 0.03 | 54.4% | +2.8 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:31 | 0.00 | 53.4% | 0.0 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 21:08 | 0.08 | 37.2% | +18.8 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 20:35 | 0.92 | 62.6% | +5.9 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 20:23 | 0.14 | 73.8% | +21.3 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 19:50 | 0.11 | 77.2% | +21.3 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:25 | 0.38 | 53.3% | +2.8 |
 Conor TimminsD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:05 | 0.07 | 21.1% | 0.0 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:21 | 0.33 | 46.1% | +16.0 |
 Fraser MintenC · #39 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:31 | 0.06 | 35.3% | +9.2 |
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 11:27 | 0.01 | 54.7% | 0.0 |
 Nick RobertsonLW · #89 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:21 | 0.05 | 37.5% | +9.2 |
 Connor DewarC · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:52 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
 Steven LorentzC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:51 | 0.15 | 65.8% | 0.0 |
 Alex NylanderLW · #92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:42 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
 Nikita GrebenkinRW · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:22 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
 Joseph Woll#60 | W | 41 | 38 | 3 | .927 | 3.88 | +0.9 | 59:42 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 6 | 28:45 | 0.63 | 48.5% | +8.9 |
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 6 | 25:14 | 0.73 | 67.8% | +1.7 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 24:36 | 0.62 | 44.4% | 0.0 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 24:14 | 0.29 | 58.4% | 0.0 |
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 3 | 23:32 | 0.11 | 28.1% | +8.9 |
 Ryan McDonaghD · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:43 | 0.02 | 70.1% | 0.0 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:41 | 0.03 | 55.4% | 0.0 |
 Conor GeekieC · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:11 | 0.04 | 56.7% | 0.0 |
 Emil LillebergD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:00 | 0.04 | 23.5% | 0.0 |
 Michael EyssimontC · #23 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13:52 | 0.14 | 62.4% | +0.7 |
 Gage GoncalvesC · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 13:46 | 0.07 | 41.7% | 0.0 |
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 12:53 | 0.06 | 58.4% | +0.7 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:35 | 0.19 | 38.4% | 0.0 |
 Conor ShearyLW · #73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:18 | 0.40 | 55.9% | 0.0 |
 J.J. MoserD · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:57 | 0.01 | 37.4% | 0.0 |
 Cam AtkinsonRW · #13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11:28 | 0.46 | 19.3% | +7.3 |
 Nick PerbixD · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:07 | 0.04 | 62.1% | 0.0 |
 Luke GlendeningC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:08 | 0.00 | 39.3% | 0.0 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | L | 28 | 24 | 4 | .857 | 1.90 | −2.1 | 56:00 |