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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 3, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Colorado Avalanche 5, Buffalo Sabres 4

Away

Colorado Avalanche

5

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 66% of the time.

BUF winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:15Shot by Byram, saved by Georgiev
  3. P1 1:09Shot by Kovalenko, saved by Luukkonen
  4. P1 2:22Shot by Ludvig, saved by Luukkonen
  5. P1 3:22Goal by Thompson (Clifton, Tuch)+12 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Zucker, Clifton, Tuch, Thompson, Bryson · COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Makar

  6. P1 3:22Kovalenko: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Zucker, Clifton, Tuch, Thompson, Bryson · COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Makar

  7. P1 3:23Shot by Toews, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  8. P1 5:54Shot by Aube-Kubel, saved by Georgiev
  9. P1 6:39Goal by Thompson (Zucker, Byram)+11 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Zucker, Clifton, Tuch, Thompson, Bryson · COL de Haan, Nichushkin, Mittelstadt, Kovalenko, Ludvig

  10. P1 6:50Goal by Peterka (Benson, Cozens)+8 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Clifton, Bryson, Cozens, Peterka, Benson · COL de Haan, Mittelstadt, O'Connor, Ludvig, Ivan

  11. P1 7:53Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Luukkonen
  12. P1 8:56Shot by Benson, saved by Georgiev
  13. P1 9:24Shot by Benson, saved by Georgiev
  14. P1 9:31de Haan: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Dahlin, Byram, Cozens, Peterka, Benson · COL de Haan, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Ludvig

  15. P1 11:49Goal by Malenstyn (Aube-Kubel)+6 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Aube-Kubel, Malenstyn, Dahlin, Krebs, Byram · COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Makar

  16. P1 12:57Benson: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Clifton, Bryson, Cozens, Peterka, Benson · COL de Haan, Nichushkin, Girard, Mittelstadt, Kovalenko

  17. P1 14:24Shot by Tuch, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  18. P1 15:28Shot by Malenstyn, saved by Wedgewood
  19. P1 16:40Shot by Dahlin, saved by Wedgewood
  20. P1 17:01Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Wedgewood
  21. P1 17:17Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Luukkonen
  22. P1 17:49Shot by Ludvig, saved by Luukkonen
  23. P1 17:56Shot by Girard, saved by Luukkonen
  24. P1 18:43Shot by Girard, saved by Luukkonen
  25. P1 19:24Shot by Makar, saved by Luukkonen
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:11Shot by Zucker, saved by Wedgewood
  29. P2 0:38Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Luukkonen
  30. P2 1:05Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Luukkonen
  31. P2 1:18Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Luukkonen
  32. P2 1:57Shot by Peterka, saved by Wedgewood
  33. P2 2:05Shot by de Haan, saved by Luukkonen
  34. P2 2:14Shot by Rantanen, saved by Luukkonen
  35. P2 2:24Goal by MacKinnon, unassisted+4 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Clifton, Bryson, McLeod, Quinn, Kulich · COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Makar

  36. P2 2:36Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Luukkonen
  37. P2 6:51Shot by Zucker, saved by Wedgewood
  38. P2 7:06Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Wedgewood
  39. P2 7:49Shot by Kiviranta, saved by Luukkonen
  40. P2 9:49Shot by Quinn, saved by Wedgewood
  41. P2 10:08Shot by McLeod, saved by Wedgewood
  42. P2 10:29Shot by de Haan, saved by Luukkonen
  43. P2 12:10Shot by Ludvig, saved by Luukkonen
  44. P2 12:38Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Luukkonen
  45. P2 12:45Shot by Toews, saved by Luukkonen
  46. P2 13:08Shot by Thompson, saved by Wedgewood
  47. P2 14:26Shot by de Haan, saved by Luukkonen
  48. P2 15:52Shot by O'Connor, saved by Luukkonen
  49. P2 16:29Shot by Quinn, saved by Wedgewood
  50. P2 18:45Shot by de Haan, saved by Luukkonen
  51. P2 19:01Shot by Aube-Kubel, saved by Wedgewood
  52. P2 19:02Shot by Krebs, saved by Wedgewood
  53. P2 19:09Kovalenko: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Aube-Kubel, Malenstyn, Jokiharju, Dahlin, Krebs · COL de Haan, Nichushkin, Kovalenko, Ludvig, Ivan

  54. P2 19:21Shot by Cozens, saved by Wedgewood5v4
  55. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 1:17Shot by de Haan, saved by Luukkonen
  58. P3 1:19Goal by Kiviranta (de Haan, O'Connor)+5 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Zucker, Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Byram · COL de Haan, Girard, Kovalenko, O'Connor, Kiviranta

  59. P3 1:40Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Luukkonen
  60. P3 1:43Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Luukkonen
  61. P3 2:54Shot by McLeod, saved by Wedgewood
  62. P3 2:57Shot by Kulich, saved by Wedgewood
  63. P3 3:00Shot by Quinn, saved by Wedgewood
  64. P3 4:27Shot by Girard, saved by Luukkonen
  65. P3 4:30Goal by O'Connor (Girard)+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Clifton, Cozens, Peterka, Power, Benson · COL Girard, O'Connor, Kiviranta, Ivan, Malinski

  66. P3 4:55Shot by Wagner, saved by Luukkonen
  67. P3 5:23Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Luukkonen
  68. P3 7:39Goal by MacKinnon (Rantanen, Toews)+27 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Aube-Kubel, Malenstyn, Bryson, Krebs, Power · COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Makar

  69. P3 8:22Shot by Thompson, saved by Wedgewood
  70. P3 10:03Shot by Ludvig, saved by Luukkonen
  71. P3 10:13Shot by de Haan, saved by Luukkonen
  72. P3 10:46Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Luukkonen
  73. P3 11:17Shot by Malinski, saved by Luukkonen
  74. P3 13:22Shot by O'Connor, saved by Luukkonen
  75. P3 15:28Shot by Rantanen, saved by Luukkonen
  76. P3 15:35Shot by de Haan, saved by Luukkonen
  77. P3 15:38Goal by Lehkonen (de Haan, MacKinnon)+42 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Byram, Cozens, Peterka, Power, Benson · COL de Haan, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Makar

  78. P3 19:11Shot by Byram, saved by Wedgewood6v5
  79. P3 19:12Shot by Kulich, saved by Wedgewood6v5
  80. P3 19:41Shot by Thompson, saved by Wedgewood6v5
  81. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  82. P3 0:00Final6v5