Tue, Dec 3, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Colorado Avalanche 5, Buffalo Sabres 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 66% of the time.
57%
8%
27%
BUF winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 28:27 | 0.07 | 38.0% | +27.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 27:20 | 0.17 | 35.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 25:58 | 0.29 | 40.1% | +27.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 24:33 | 0.48 | 39.4% | +42.2 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 9 | 23:33 | 0.58 | 47.1% | +73.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:37 | 0.14 | 51.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 17:33 | 0.22 | 84.7% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:43 | 0.10 | 86.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 15:37 | 0.19 | 72.3% | +18.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 14:55 | 0.15 | 44.8% | +47.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 14:11 | 0.08 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 13:36 | 0.22 | 85.1% | +4.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:17 | 0.02 | 44.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:00 | 0.14 | 36.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:12 | 0.02 | 72.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:35 | 0.11 | 65.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:16 | 0.10 | 62.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:37 | 0.00 | 72.4% | 0.0 |
| – | 8 | 4 | 4 | .500 | 1.05 | −3.0 | 11:49 | |
| W | 22 | 22 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.99 | +3.0 | 48:11 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 26:30 | 0.25 | 43.3% | +10.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 21:54 | 0.01 | 37.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:54 | 0.18 | 55.3% | +10.6 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 20:52 | 0.68 | 55.8% | +22.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:20 | 0.40 | 51.9% | +11.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 18:52 | 0.18 | 32.9% | +7.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:20 | 0.18 | 32.5% | +7.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:27 | 0.03 | 61.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:16 | 0.08 | 64.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:06 | 0.00 | 45.3% | +11.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:54 | 0.00 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 14:53 | 0.26 | 39.8% | +7.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:02 | 0.21 | 53.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:25 | 0.20 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:22 | 0.51 | 61.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:44 | 0.25 | 60.9% | +5.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:02 | 0.14 | 60.9% | +5.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 10:23 | 0.49 | 67.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 41 | 36 | 5 | .878 | 3.07 | −1.9 | 58:44 |