Tue, Dec 3, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Colorado Avalanche 5, Buffalo Sabres 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 66% of the time.
57%
8%
27%
BUF winsCOL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against COL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Lehkonen–MacKinnon–Rantanen | O'Connor–Kiviranta–Ivan | Nichushkin–Mittelstadt–Kovalenko | Wagner–Kelly–Prishchepov | Wagner–Nichushkin–Kelly | Kelly–O'Connor–Kiviranta | Toews–Makar | Girard–Malinski | de Haan–Ludvig | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cozens–Peterka–Benson | 2:530.26–0.30 | 2:470.04–0.21 | 1:160.08–0.06 | 0:440.00–0.03 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:120.00–0.04 | 2:310.01–0.07 | 4:530.09–0.24 | 3:050.38–0.10 |
| Zucker–Tuch–Thompson | 6:550.95–0.67 | 1:440.07–0.01 | 1:330.07–0.00 | 7:150.95–0.38 | 1:440.07–0.00 | 1:170.07–0.01 | |||
| Aube-Kubel–Malenstyn–Krebs | 2:370.12–0.08 | 2:330.00–0.07 | 0:440.00–0.02 | 0:510.03–0.01 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 2:470.18–0.05 | 2:230.00–0.09 | 3:130.31–0.19 | |
| McLeod–Quinn–Kulich | 1:000.00–0.32 | 1:370.04–0.10 | 0:350.00–0.02 | 2:110.60–0.33 | 1:070.00–0.03 | 2:020.10–0.00 | |||
| Zucker–McLeod–Quinn | 0:510.21–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:550.21–0.00 | ||||||
| Tuch–Thompson–Kulich | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | |||||
| Dahlin–Byram | 8:570.93–0.51 | 1:150.00–0.03 | 8:090.67–0.20 | 2:260.08–0.06 | 1:250.26–0.00 | ||||
| Jokiharju–Power | 1:200.21–0.03 | 3:160.04–0.18 | 1:290.06–0.06 | 0:520.00–0.03 | 0:340.00–0.04 | 1:590.01–0.08 | 3:210.09–0.23 | 4:320.57–0.11 | |
| Clifton–Bryson | 1:290.45–0.43 | 1:250.00–0.01 | 1:570.13–0.31 | 1:040.03–0.03 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 3:050.51–0.32 | 3:250.00–0.14 | 1:190.24–0.11 | |
| Byram–Power | 4:260.01–0.42 | 3:160.01–0.18 | 0:310.00–0.14 | ||||||
| Jokiharju–Bryson | 2:000.00–0.00 | 1:190.60–0.00 | 1:290.00–0.00 | 1:260.00–0.06 | |||||
| Clifton–Byram | 0:320.00–0.01 | 1:340.00–0.02 | 1:120.00–0.00 | 1:230.00–0.00 | 1:500.00–0.03 | ||||
| Jokiharju–Byram | 0:300.10–0.04 | 0:300.00–0.06 | 0:300.10–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.10 | |||||
| Clifton–Power | 0:390.00–0.09 | 0:390.00–0.09 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFCOLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Devon ToewsCOL | 28 | 28:27 | 1:01 | 2:12 | 9 | 4 |
 Cale MakarCOL | 29 | 27:20 | 0:57 | 2:11 | 11 | 5 |
 Bowen ByramBUF | 29 | 26:30 | 0:55 | 1:23 | 0 | 7 |
 Mikko RantanenCOL | 25 | 25:58 | 1:02 | 3:04 | 8 | 1 |
 Artturi LehkonenCOL | 26 | 24:33 | 0:57 | 2:32 | 6 | 2 |
 Nathan MacKinnonCOL | 26 | 23:33 | 0:54 | 1:42 | 9 | 2 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 26 | 21:54 | 0:51 | 1:40 | 4 | 4 |
 Jason ZuckerBUF | 24 | 20:54 | 0:52 | 1:59 | 4 | 4 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 26 | 20:52 | 0:48 | 1:56 | 4 | 7 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 27 | 20:20 | 0:45 | 1:35 | 4 | 9 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 22 | 18:52 | 0:51 | 1:58 | 5 | 1 |
 JJ PeterkaBUF | 23 | 18:20 | 0:48 | 1:30 | 5 | 1 |
 Valeri NichushkinCOL | 23 | 17:37 | 0:46 | 1:48 | 4 | 1 |
 Samuel GirardCOL | 25 | 17:33 | 0:42 | 1:03 | 1 | 5 |
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 22 | 17:27 | 0:48 | 1:45 | 2 | 1 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 21 | 17:16 | 0:49 | 1:38 | 0 | 6 |
 Sam MalinskiCOL | 21 | 16:43 | 0:48 | 1:24 | 1 | 5 |
 Connor CliftonBUF | 20 | 16:06 | 0:48 | 1:47 | 4 | 0 |
 Logan O'ConnorCOL | 22 | 15:37 | 0:43 | 1:01 | 0 | 8 |
 Calvin de HaanCOL | 24 | 14:55 | 0:37 | 1:17 | 1 | 2 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 22 | 14:54 | 0:41 | 1:23 | 4 | 0 |
 Zach BensonBUF | 21 | 14:53 | 0:43 | 1:24 | 5 | 1 |
 John LudvigCOL | 20 | 14:11 | 0:43 | 1:13 | 1 | 2 |
 Joel KivirantaCOL | 20 | 13:36 | 0:41 | 1:01 | 1 | 5 |
 Ryan McLeodBUF | 18 | 13:02 | 0:43 | 1:38 | 2 | 4 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 20 | 12:25 | 0:37 | 1:04 | 2 | 4 |
 Jiri KulichBUF | 17 | 12:22 | 0:44 | 1:17 | 2 | 2 |
 Ivan IvanCOL | 17 | 12:17 | 0:43 | 1:08 | 0 | 4 |
 Casey MittelstadtCOL | 15 | 12:00 | 0:48 | 1:47 | 3 | 1 |
 Nicolas Aube-KubelBUF | 17 | 11:44 | 0:41 | 1:16 | 2 | 1 |
 Beck MalenstynBUF | 18 | 11:02 | 0:37 | 1:04 | 2 | 1 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 16 | 10:23 | 0:39 | 1:14 | 2 | 3 |
 Parker KellyCOL | 17 | 10:12 | 0:36 | 1:03 | 0 | 5 |
 Nikolai KovalenkoCOL | 16 | 9:35 | 0:36 | 0:51 | 2 | 1 |
 Chris WagnerCOL | 11 | 6:16 | 0:34 | 0:51 | 0 | 2 |
 Nikita PrishchepovCOL | 5 | 3:37 | 0:43 | 0:51 | 0 | 1 |