Thu, Dec 5, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Winnipeg Jets 3, Buffalo Sabres 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 55% of the time.
37%
9%
47%
BUF winsWPG wins
Winnipeg Jets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 29:54 | 0.14 | 60.0% | +69.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27:33 | 0.08 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 24:49 | 0.26 | 60.4% | +28.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 23:42 | 0.95 | 57.4% | +16.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 21:52 | 0.29 | 60.4% | +66.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:09 | 0.00 | 53.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:05 | 0.52 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:41 | 0.08 | 56.8% | +12.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 17:43 | 0.41 | 30.1% | +53.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:28 | 0.09 | 30.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:54 | 0.14 | 33.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:02 | 0.44 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:34 | 0.01 | 79.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:57 | 0.00 | 9.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:20 | 0.00 | 0.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:15 | 0.09 | 27.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:01 | 0.00 | 46.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:09 | 0.01 | 6.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 28 | 2 | .933 | 3.20 | +1.2 | 63:49 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 29:21 | 0.01 | 49.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 26:38 | 0.08 | 40.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 21:49 | 0.25 | 44.4% | +8.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:19 | 0.00 | 79.9% | +12.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:23 | 0.09 | 37.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 20:09 | 0.14 | 50.8% | +8.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:34 | 0.38 | 50.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:53 | 0.26 | 48.1% | +12.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 16:35 | 0.14 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:29 | 0.09 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:52 | 0.00 | 49.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14:25 | 0.91 | 57.5% | +8.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:16 | 0.00 | 40.5% | +12.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:47 | 0.33 | 44.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:58 | 0.05 | 90.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:09 | 0.04 | 90.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:26 | 0.41 | 90.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 7:21 | 0.02 | 99.5% | 0.0 |
| O | 31 | 28 | 3 | .903 | 3.52 | +0.5 | 63:59 |