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Ice Lab

Mon, Dec 9, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Detroit Red Wings 6, Buffalo Sabres 5 (SO)

Away

Detroit Red Wings

6

Final

Shootout

Home

Buffalo Sabres

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 70% of the time.

BUF winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:09Shot by Raymond, saved by Reimer
  3. P1 1:38Goal by Benson (Cozens, Krebs)+9 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Clifton, Bryson, Krebs, Cozens, Benson · DET Petry, Chiarot, Tarasenko, Copp, Compher

  4. P1 4:05Goal by DeBrincat (Larkin)+10 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Zucker, Greenway, McLeod, Byram, Johnson · DET Petry, Chiarot, Larkin, DeBrincat, Raymond

  5. P1 4:21Shot by Edvinsson, saved by Reimer
  6. P1 4:46Goal by Copp (Compher, Seider)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Clifton, Tuch, Thompson, Bryson, Peterka · DET Tarasenko, Copp, Compher, Seider, Edvinsson

  7. P1 5:19Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Husso
  8. P1 5:39Shot by Holl, saved by Reimer
  9. P1 6:17Shot by Kane, saved by Reimer
  10. P1 7:52Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Reimer
  11. P1 7:59Jokiharju: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Zucker, Jokiharju, McLeod, Peterka, Power · DET Petry, Chiarot, Compher, DeBrincat, Raymond

  12. P1 8:47Shot by McLeod, saved by Husso4v5
  13. P1 10:25Goal by Thompson (Zucker)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Zucker, Thompson, Jokiharju, Byram, Peterka · DET Petry, Chiarot, Motte, Copp, Veleno

  14. P1 12:48Shot by Tuch, saved by Husso
  15. P1 15:26Goal by Zucker (Krebs, McLeod)6v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Zucker, Greenway, McLeod, Krebs, Byram, Johnson · DET Holl, Tarasenko, Gustafsson, Copp, Compher

  16. P1 15:37DeBrincat: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Aube-Kubel, Malenstyn, Jokiharju, Power, Kozak · DET Holl, Gustafsson, Larkin, DeBrincat, Raymond

  17. P1 15:37Aube-Kubel: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Aube-Kubel, Malenstyn, Jokiharju, Power, Kozak · DET Holl, Gustafsson, Larkin, DeBrincat, Raymond

  18. P1 16:44Shot by Edvinsson, saved by Reimer4v4
  19. P1 19:00Shot by Krebs, saved by Husso
  20. P1 19:59Shot by Seider, saved by Reimer
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 1:05Goal by Raymond (Larkin, Gustafsson)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Zucker, Greenway, McLeod, Byram, Johnson · DET Holl, Gustafsson, Larkin, DeBrincat, Raymond

  24. P2 1:17Shot by Cozens, saved by Cossa
  25. P2 2:02Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Reimer
  26. P2 2:24Shot by Malenstyn, saved by Cossa
  27. P2 2:26Goal by Aube-Kubel (Malenstyn, Power)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Aube-Kubel, Malenstyn, Jokiharju, Power, Kozak · DET Holl, Gustafsson, Motte, Compher, Berggren

  28. P2 2:36Shot by Zucker, saved by Cossa
  29. P2 3:16Shot by Larkin, saved by Reimer
  30. P2 3:31Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Cossa
  31. P2 3:52Shot by Power, saved by Cossa
  32. P2 6:55Shot by Larkin, saved by Reimer
  33. P2 7:39Shot by Cozens, saved by Cossa
  34. P2 9:12Shot by Holl, saved by Reimer
  35. P2 9:46Goal by Zucker (McLeod)+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Zucker, Malenstyn, Jokiharju, Bryson, McLeod · DET Holl, Gustafsson, Motte, Veleno, Berggren

  36. P2 10:48Shot by Kasper, saved by Reimer
  37. P2 10:53Shot by Kane, saved by Reimer
  38. P2 12:25Kasper: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Clifton, Bryson, Krebs, Cozens, Benson · DET Kane, Rasmussen, Seider, Edvinsson, Kasper

  39. P2 13:15Shot by Tuch, saved by Cossa5v4
  40. P2 15:31Benson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Jokiharju, Krebs, Cozens, Power, Benson · DET Tarasenko, Copp, Compher, Seider, Edvinsson

  41. P2 15:59Shot by Seider, saved by Reimer4v5
  42. P2 16:46Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Reimer4v5
  43. P2 17:43Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Reimer
  44. P2 18:26Shot by Peterka, saved by Cossa
  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 1:40Shot by Compher, saved by Reimer
  48. P3 2:10Shot by Copp, saved by Reimer
  49. P3 3:59Shot by Zucker, saved by Cossa
  50. P3 4:25Shot by Benson, saved by Cossa
  51. P3 5:50Clifton: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Clifton, Aube-Kubel, Malenstyn, Byram, Kozak · DET Holl, Tarasenko, Gustafsson, Copp, Compher

  52. P3 5:50Copp: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Clifton, Aube-Kubel, Malenstyn, Byram, Kozak · DET Holl, Tarasenko, Gustafsson, Copp, Compher

  53. P3 6:09Shot by Larkin, saved by Reimer4v4
  54. P3 6:10Shot by Raymond, saved by Reimer4v4
  55. P3 6:51Byram: Tripping (2 min)4v4

    On ice: BUF Thompson, Byram, Cozens, Johnson · DET Larkin, Seider, Raymond, Edvinsson

  56. P3 7:02Shot by Larkin, saved by Reimer3v4
  57. P3 7:09Shot by Kane, saved by Reimer3v4
  58. P3 7:54Shot by Kane, saved by Reimer4v5
  59. P3 8:08Shot by Power, saved by Cossa4v5
  60. P3 10:25Shot by Chiarot, saved by Reimer
  61. P3 10:27Goal by Copp (Chiarot, Compher)+12 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Aube-Kubel, Malenstyn, Byram, Johnson, Kozak · DET Petry, Chiarot, Tarasenko, Copp, Compher

  62. P3 13:36Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Reimer
  63. P3 14:28Shot by Byram, saved by Cossa
  64. P3 15:42Goal by Seider (Raymond, Edvinsson)+35 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Clifton, Aube-Kubel, Greenway, Bryson, Kozak · DET Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond, Edvinsson

  65. P3 17:41Seider: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Zucker, Greenway, McLeod, Byram, Johnson · DET Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond, Edvinsson

  66. P3 18:17Shot by Larkin, saved by Reimer5v4
  67. P3 0:00Period end
  68. OT 0:00Period start
  69. OT 5:00Period end3v3
  70. SO Period start
  71. SO Shot by Thompson, saved by Cossaother
  72. SO Goal by Raymond, unassistedother
  73. SO Shot by Peterka, saved by Cossaother
  74. SO Goal by Tuch, unassistedother
  75. SO Goal by Larkin, unassistedother
  76. SO Period endother
  77. SO Finalother