Mon, Dec 9, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Detroit Red Wings 6, Buffalo Sabres 5 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 70% of the time.
22%
8%
63%
BUF winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 27:07 | 0.25 | 54.5% | +49.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 23:05 | 0.09 | 54.8% | +35.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 22:39 | 0.20 | 66.3% | +50.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 5 | 22:23 | 0.54 | 72.8% | +25.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:35 | 0.12 | 45.8% | +11.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 4 | 19:55 | 0.60 | 67.9% | +10.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:49 | 0.00 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 1 | 18:40 | 0.30 | 59.2% | +26.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18:26 | 0.48 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:35 | 0.35 | 76.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:16 | 0.07 | 43.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 14:57 | 0.15 | 48.1% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 14:48 | 0.07 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:26 | 0.09 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 14:01 | 0.38 | 60.6% | +26.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 9:21 | 0.04 | 12.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 8:12 | 0.02 | 11.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 6:45 | 0.00 | 17.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 14 | 12 | 2 | .857 | 1.78 | −0.2 | 45:00 | |
| – | 7 | 4 | 3 | .571 | 0.73 | −2.3 | 20:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 28:11 | 0.02 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 24:57 | 0.01 | 52.4% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 20:50 | 0.02 | 27.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:33 | 0.29 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:48 | 0.20 | 66.0% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 2 | 18:26 | 0.08 | 70.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:55 | 0.17 | 48.9% | +9.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:32 | 0.27 | 60.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17:13 | 0.49 | 55.0% | +27.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:08 | 0.00 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 16:14 | 0.01 | 53.3% | +23.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 15:54 | 0.43 | 61.6% | +42.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:39 | 0.04 | 43.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:52 | 0.15 | 62.5% | +9.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:54 | 0.19 | 47.2% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:21 | 0.00 | 60.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 10:35 | 0.15 | 30.9% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:11 | 0.00 | 27.8% | 0.0 |
| O | 31 | 26 | 5 | .839 | 3.75 | −1.2 | 64:47 |