Sat, Dec 14, 2024·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Pittsburgh Penguins 2, Ottawa Senators 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 73% of the time.
64%
9%
19%
OTT winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26:22 | 0.22 | 56.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26:17 | 0.01 | 29.3% | +31.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 24:11 | 0.11 | 59.5% | +24.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 20:34 | 0.06 | 32.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:21 | 0.02 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 19:55 | 0.26 | 37.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:42 | 0.07 | 30.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:28 | 0.00 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:07 | 0.10 | 61.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15:30 | 0.44 | 74.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:55 | 0.14 | 73.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 12:28 | 0.14 | 51.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:21 | 0.10 | 30.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:06 | 0.04 | 52.3% | +24.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:01 | 0.00 | 34.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 11:30 | 0.07 | 53.8% | +24.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:19 | 0.04 | 38.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:11 | 0.00 | 86.3% | 0.0 |
| O | 31 | 28 | 3 | .903 | 3.12 | +0.1 | 61:46 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 25:42 | 0.09 | 57.5% | +46.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24:59 | 0.16 | 53.6% | +38.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 23:16 | 0.00 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:07 | 0.00 | 74.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 20:21 | 0.60 | 58.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:56 | 0.21 | 65.6% | +26.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 18:56 | 0.63 | 64.0% | +46.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:15 | 0.34 | 67.0% | +26.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:07 | 0.29 | 32.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:34 | 0.10 | 60.9% | +11.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:45 | 0.01 | 24.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:27 | 0.04 | 32.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:46 | 0.25 | 57.2% | +11.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:23 | 0.33 | 43.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:53 | 0.05 | 19.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:02 | 0.00 | 48.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 10:59 | 0.01 | 38.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:50 | 0.00 | 38.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 25 | 2 | .926 | 1.83 | −0.2 | 61:46 |