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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 14, 2024·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Detroit Red Wings 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 68% of the time.

DET winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:42Pacioretty: Kneeing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Petry, Kane, Chiarot, Compher, DeBrincat · TOR Pacioretty, Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Rielly, Nylander

  3. P1 2:13Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Woll5v4
  4. P1 3:04Shot by Fischer, saved by Woll
  5. P1 3:32Shot by Seider, saved by Woll
  6. P1 4:17Shot by Tanev, saved by Husso
  7. P1 4:28Shot by Chiarot, saved by Woll
  8. P1 4:49Shot by Nylander, saved by Husso
  9. P1 4:52Kane: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Petry, Kane, Chiarot, Compher, DeBrincat · TOR Pacioretty, Tavares, Nylander, Timmins, Benoit

  10. P1 8:11Shot by Copp, saved by Woll
  11. P1 9:07Goal by Rasmussen (Petry, Veleno)+12 pts WP

    On ice: DET Petry, Chiarot, Fischer, Rasmussen, Veleno · TOR Tanev, McCabe, Domi, McMann, Minten

  12. P1 9:51Shot by Nylander, saved by Husso
  13. P1 10:30Shot by Marner, saved by Husso
  14. P1 11:14Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Woll
  15. P1 11:58Shot by Dewar, saved by Husso
  16. P1 12:46Shot by Petry, saved by Woll
  17. P1 15:00Shot by Larkin, saved by Woll
  18. P1 15:01Shot by Raymond, saved by Woll
  19. P1 18:27Shot by McMann, saved by Husso
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 1:01Shot by Matthews, saved by Husso
  23. P2 1:58Shot by McMann, saved by Husso
  24. P2 3:35Shot by Chiarot, saved by Woll
  25. P2 5:01Shot by Kane, saved by Woll
  26. P2 5:53Shot by Lorentz, saved by Husso
  27. P2 6:58Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Husso
  28. P2 7:19Shot by Petry, saved by Woll
  29. P2 7:33Shot by Marner, saved by Husso
  30. P2 9:43Shot by McMann, saved by Husso
  31. P2 10:51Shot by McCabe, saved by Husso
  32. P2 10:53Berggren: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Motte, Veleno, Berggren, Seider, Edvinsson · TOR Tanev, McCabe, Lorentz, Dewar, Holmberg

  33. P2 11:40Goal by Matthews (Marner, Nylander)4v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: DET Motte, Compher, Seider, Edvinsson · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  34. P2 12:22Shot by Kane, saved by Woll
  35. P2 12:25Shot by Copp, saved by Woll
  36. P2 13:03Shot by Matthews, saved by Husso
  37. P2 14:48Shot by Nylander, saved by Husso
  38. P2 15:12Shot by Tavares, saved by Husso
  39. P2 15:28Shot by McMann, saved by Husso
  40. P2 16:02Shot by Larkin, saved by Woll
  41. P2 16:40Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Woll
  42. P2 17:02Shot by Chiarot, saved by Woll
  43. P2 17:20Shot by McMann, saved by Husso
  44. P2 17:21Shot by Nylander, saved by Husso
  45. P2 18:30Shot by Timmins, saved by Husso
  46. P2 19:42Goal by Seider (Copp, Kane)+23 pts WP

    On ice: DET Petry, Kane, Copp, DeBrincat, Seider · TOR Tanev, McCabe, Marner, Matthews, Knies

  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 0:34Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Woll
  50. P3 1:07Goal by Knies (Marner, McCabe)+24 pts WP

    On ice: DET Tarasenko, Larkin, Seider, Raymond, Edvinsson · TOR Tanev, McCabe, Marner, Matthews, Knies

  51. P3 1:28Shot by Edvinsson, saved by Woll
  52. P3 1:49Shot by Compher, saved by Woll
  53. P3 1:51Goal by Petry (Compher)+24 pts WP

    On ice: DET Petry, Chiarot, Motte, Compher, Rasmussen · TOR Pacioretty, Tavares, Nylander, Timmins, Benoit

  54. P3 5:59Timmins: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Petry, Chiarot, Motte, Compher, Berggren · TOR Pacioretty, Tavares, Nylander, Timmins, Benoit

  55. P3 6:43Shot by Seider, saved by Woll5v4
  56. P3 8:01Shot by Marner, saved by Husso
  57. P3 8:09Marner: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Petry, Chiarot, Tarasenko, DeBrincat, Rasmussen · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Rielly, Marner, Matthews, McMann

  58. P3 8:16Shot by Kane, saved by Woll5v4
  59. P3 12:03Shot by Matthews, saved by Husso
  60. P3 19:50Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Husso5v6
  61. P3 19:58Goal by Raymond (Larkin)5v6+2 pts WP

    On ice: DET Compher, Larkin, Seider, Raymond, Edvinsson · TOR Pacioretty, Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  62. P3 0:00Period end
  63. P3 0:00Final