Sat, Dec 14, 2024·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Detroit Red Wings 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 68% of the time.
60%
26%
DET winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 22:00 | 0.47 | 50.2% | +17.7 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:17 | 0.00 | 45.5% | 0.0 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 21:01 | 0.68 | 81.8% | +17.7 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 20:01 | 0.28 | 83.2% | +41.2 |
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 19:51 | 0.02 | 53.9% | +23.6 |
 Chris TanevD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:40 | 0.05 | 52.0% | 0.0 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:34 | 0.06 | 43.2% | 0.0 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:08 | 0.06 | 79.0% | +23.6 |
 Conor TimminsD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:14 | 0.13 | 61.3% | 0.0 |
 Simon BenoitD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:20 | 0.00 | 54.9% | 0.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:18 | 0.23 | 52.9% | 0.0 |
 Max PaciorettyLW · #67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:50 | 0.17 | 47.0% | 0.0 |
 Bobby McMannC · #74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 12:42 | 0.32 | 46.5% | 0.0 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:33 | 0.07 | 26.0% | 0.0 |
 Connor DewarC · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:04 | 0.16 | 43.0% | 0.0 |
 Fraser MintenC · #39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:12 | 0.00 | 25.0% | 0.0 |
 Steven LorentzC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:05 | 0.05 | 24.7% | 0.0 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:56 | 0.00 | 30.1% | 0.0 |
 Joseph Woll#60 | L | 25 | 22 | 3 | .880 | 2.70 | −0.3 | 58:14 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Ben ChiarotD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 23:09 | 0.32 | 49.1% | 0.0 |
 Moritz SeiderD · #53 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 22:39 | 0.23 | 43.1% | +22.9 |
 Dylan LarkinC · #71 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:02 | 0.17 | 29.5% | +2.5 |
 Simon EdvinssonD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:07 | 0.01 | 34.0% | 0.0 |
 Lucas RaymondLW · #23 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:45 | 0.78 | 30.1% | +2.5 |
 J.T. CompherLW · #37 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 20:29 | 0.43 | 45.0% | +24.0 |
 Jeff PetryD · #46 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 19:14 | 0.28 | 53.4% | +35.6 |
 Alex DeBrincatRW · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:42 | 0.02 | 45.6% | 0.0 |
 Andrew CoppC · #18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:36 | 0.24 | 49.2% | +22.9 |
 Patrick KaneRW · #88 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:47 | 0.23 | 44.5% | +22.9 |
 Vladimir TarasenkoRW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:34 | 0.27 | 35.8% | 0.0 |
 Erik GustafssonD · #56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:27 | 0.02 | 49.6% | 0.0 |
 Michael RasmussenC · #27 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 14:35 | 0.45 | 56.6% | +11.6 |
 Justin HollD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:57 | 0.05 | 71.7% | 0.0 |
 Christian FischerRW · #36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:51 | 0.06 | 28.2% | 0.0 |
 Tyler MotteC · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 9:45 | 0.22 | 80.1% | 0.0 |
 Jonatan BerggrenRW · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:49 | 0.00 | 92.5% | 0.0 |
 Joseph VelenoC · #90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 6:45 | 0.00 | 83.6% | +11.6 |
 Ville Husso#35 | W | 25 | 23 | 2 | .920 | 2.75 | +0.7 | 60:00 |