Sat, Dec 14, 2024·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Detroit Red Wings 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 68% of the time.
60%
26%
DET winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Pacioretty–Tavares–Nylander | Marner–Matthews–Knies | Domi–McMann–Minten | Lorentz–Dewar–Holmberg | Domi–Nylander–McMann | Ekman-Larsson–Rielly | Tanev–McCabe | Timmins–Benoit | Ekman-Larsson–Timmins | Rielly–McCabe | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarasenko–Larkin–Raymond | 7:060.07–0.52 | 1:430.00–0.02 | 3:420.01–0.29 | 1:460.07–0.04 | ||||||
| Kane–Copp–DeBrincat | 3:240.07–0.21 | 0:520.00–0.05 | 2:300.25–0.15 | 2:180.11–0.00 | 2:220.24–0.21 | |||||
| Compher–Fischer–Rasmussen | 3:190.02–0.08 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 2:320.02–0.00 | 1:540.00–0.08 | 0:530.00–0.15 | |||||
| Larkin–DeBrincat–Raymond | 2:060.16–0.11 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 0:460.07–0.03 | 0:490.10–0.00 | 1:370.05–0.11 | 1:350.07–0.14 | ||||
| Motte–Compher–Rasmussen | 2:530.44–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.07 | 1:460.17–0.00 | 1:070.27–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.07 | |||||
| Motte–Veleno–Berggren | 1:100.04–0.02 | 0:400.11–0.00 | ||||||||
| Kane–Tarasenko–Copp | 0:320.08–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:300.08–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Fischer–Rasmussen–Veleno | 0:460.21–0.00 | 0:460.21–0.00 | ||||||||
| Kane–Compher–DeBrincat | 1:000.00–0.21 | 0:440.00–0.04 | ||||||||
| Fischer–Veleno–Berggren | 0:540.00–0.01 | |||||||||
| Copp–Larkin–Raymond | 0:470.01–0.00 | 0:500.01–0.00 | ||||||||
| Petry–Chiarot | 9:590.64–0.47 | 1:010.00–0.21 | 1:330.23–0.03 | 0:510.00–0.01 | 0:560.00–0.07 | 7:120.61–0.23 | 3:350.18–0.19 | 4:470.36–0.49 | 0:580.00–0.07 | |
| Seider–Edvinsson | 0:520.00–0.03 | 7:540.08–0.31 | 1:560.00–0.07 | 3:070.20–0.07 | 7:130.03–0.47 | 1:560.17–0.14 | ||||
| Holl–Gustafsson | 5:000.26–0.21 | 2:390.12–0.00 | 2:390.09–0.00 | 2:190.19–0.00 | 4:310.11–0.23 | 0:320.04–0.00 | ||||
| Chiarot–Seider | 0:580.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Chiarot–Edvinsson | 0:400.00–0.07 | 0:550.00–0.07 | ||||||||
| Gustafsson–Edvinsson | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.08 |
Every shift, one row per player.
DETTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Ben ChiarotDET | 26 | 23:09 | 0:53 | 2:16 | 7 | 0 |
 Moritz SeiderDET | 25 | 22:39 | 0:54 | 2:08 | 2 | 6 |
 Dylan LarkinDET | 21 | 22:02 | 1:03 | 2:05 | 4 | 3 |
 William NylanderTOR | 23 | 22:00 | 0:57 | 2:13 | 3 | 2 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 26 | 21:17 | 0:49 | 1:55 | 3 | 2 |
 Simon EdvinssonDET | 22 | 21:07 | 0:58 | 2:04 | 0 | 6 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 24 | 21:01 | 0:53 | 2:21 | 5 | 5 |
 Lucas RaymondDET | 21 | 20:45 | 0:59 | 2:03 | 3 | 3 |
 J.T. CompherDET | 21 | 20:29 | 0:59 | 2:14 | 4 | 2 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 23 | 20:01 | 0:52 | 2:23 | 5 | 3 |
 Jake McCabeTOR | 28 | 19:51 | 0:43 | 1:31 | 3 | 4 |
 Chris TanevTOR | 28 | 19:40 | 0:42 | 1:21 | 3 | 6 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR | 26 | 19:34 | 0:45 | 1:34 | 2 | 3 |
 Jeff PetryDET | 24 | 19:14 | 0:48 | 1:38 | 4 | 1 |
 Matthew KniesTOR | 23 | 19:08 | 0:50 | 2:05 | 4 | 4 |
 Alex DeBrincatDET | 20 | 18:42 | 0:56 | 2:44 | 3 | 0 |
 Conor TimminsTOR | 24 | 18:14 | 0:46 | 1:27 | 0 | 1 |
 Andrew CoppDET | 18 | 17:36 | 0:59 | 1:59 | 4 | 0 |
 Simon BenoitTOR | 23 | 17:20 | 0:45 | 1:24 | 0 | 2 |
 John TavaresTOR | 21 | 17:18 | 0:49 | 1:46 | 4 | 4 |
 Patrick KaneDET | 21 | 16:47 | 0:48 | 1:20 | 4 | 0 |
 Vladimir TarasenkoDET | 16 | 16:34 | 1:02 | 2:45 | 2 | 3 |
 Erik GustafssonDET | 19 | 16:27 | 0:52 | 1:33 | 5 | 0 |
 Max PaciorettyTOR | 23 | 15:50 | 0:41 | 1:03 | 4 | 3 |
 Michael RasmussenDET | 20 | 14:35 | 0:44 | 1:14 | 3 | 1 |
 Bobby McMannTOR | 16 | 12:42 | 0:48 | 1:21 | 0 | 1 |
 Max DomiTOR | 15 | 12:33 | 0:50 | 1:22 | 0 | 2 |
 Justin HollDET | 15 | 11:57 | 0:48 | 1:07 | 3 | 0 |
 Connor DewarTOR | 16 | 11:04 | 0:42 | 1:24 | 0 | 1 |
 Christian FischerDET | 15 | 10:51 | 0:43 | 1:07 | 3 | 0 |
 Fraser MintenTOR | 13 | 10:12 | 0:47 | 1:18 | 0 | 2 |
 Tyler MotteDET | 14 | 9:45 | 0:42 | 1:09 | 1 | 3 |
 Steven LorentzTOR | 16 | 9:05 | 0:34 | 1:06 | 0 | 0 |
 Pontus HolmbergTOR | 14 | 8:56 | 0:38 | 0:54 | 0 | 0 |
 Jonatan BerggrenDET | 11 | 7:49 | 0:43 | 1:12 | 2 | 0 |
 Joseph VelenoDET | 10 | 6:45 | 0:41 | 1:10 | 0 | 0 |