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Ice Lab

Sun, Dec 15, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Buffalo Sabres 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 5

Away

Buffalo Sabres

3

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 87% of the time.

TOR winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:30Tanev: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tanev, McCabe, Marner, Matthews, Knies · BUF Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, Power, Benson

  3. P1 0:36Shot by Benson, saved by Hildeby4v5
  4. P1 0:55Shot by Byram, saved by Hildeby4v5
  5. P1 1:03Goal by Quinn (Peterka, Byram)4v5+12 pts WP

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Marner, Myers, Matthews · BUF Thompson, Byram, Quinn, Peterka, Benson

  6. P1 2:06Shot by Malenstyn, saved by Hildeby
  7. P1 2:12Shot by Byram, saved by Hildeby
  8. P1 2:46Goal by Tuch (Benson, Thompson)+11 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tanev, McCabe, Marner, Matthews, Knies · BUF Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, Power, Benson

  9. P1 4:13McLeod: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Domi, Myers, Benoit, Robertson, McMann · BUF Gilbert, Malenstyn, Bryson, McLeod, Krebs

  10. P1 4:36Shot by Tuch, saved by Hildeby5v4
  11. P1 6:04Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Levi5v4
  12. P1 6:11Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Levi5v4
  13. P1 6:13Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Levi
  14. P1 9:00Shot by Malenstyn, saved by Hildeby
  15. P1 9:25Peterka: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Pacioretty, Tavares, Nylander, Myers, Benoit · BUF Jokiharju, Byram, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka

  16. P1 9:30Shot by Rielly, saved by Levi5v4
  17. P1 10:43Shot by Rielly, saved by Levi5v4
  18. P1 12:22Shot by McCabe, saved by Levi
  19. P1 15:39Shot by Rielly, saved by Levi
  20. P1 15:45Goal by Domi (Robertson, McMann)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Domi, Myers, Robertson, McMann · BUF Zucker, Greenway, Gilbert, Bryson, Kulich

  21. P1 18:36Shot by Thompson, saved by Hildeby
  22. P1 18:47Shot by Power, saved by Hildeby
  23. P1 19:58Shot by Malenstyn, saved by Hildeby
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 3:26Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Hildeby
  27. P2 4:15Shot by Byram, saved by Hildeby
  28. P2 5:08Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Levi
  29. P2 7:13Shot by Myers, saved by Levi
  30. P2 7:47Shot by McLeod, saved by Hildeby
  31. P2 9:00Shot by Tavares, saved by Levi
  32. P2 9:11Goal by Quinn (Peterka, Samuelsson)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Reaves, Pacioretty, Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Rielly · BUF Thompson, Jokiharju, Byram, Quinn, Peterka

  33. P2 10:00Shot by Matthews, saved by Levi
  34. P2 11:03Shot by McMann, saved by Levi
  35. P2 11:20Goal by Robertson (McMann, Domi)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Tanev, Domi, Robertson, McMann · BUF Jokiharju, Byram, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka

  36. P2 11:48Jokiharju: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Pacioretty, Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Tanev, Matthews · BUF Jokiharju, Byram, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka

  37. P2 11:58Shot by Matthews, saved by Levi5v4
  38. P2 12:13Shot by Marner, saved by Levi5v4
  39. P2 12:41Goal by Tavares (Matthews, Nylander)5v4+23 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · BUF Tuch, Greenway, Samuelsson, Power

  40. P2 13:45Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Levi
  41. P2 13:51Goal by Tavares (Tanev, Ekman-Larsson)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Pacioretty, Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Tanev, McMann · BUF Gilbert, Thompson, Bryson, Peterka, Benson

  42. P2 14:52Shot by McCabe, saved by Levi
  43. P2 15:20Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Hildeby
  44. P2 15:24Shot by Power, saved by Hildeby
  45. P2 15:37Shot by Power, saved by Hildeby
  46. P2 16:30Shot by Thompson, saved by Hildeby
  47. P2 17:42Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Hildeby
  48. P2 19:10Shot by Domi, saved by Levi
  49. P2 19:52Shot by Tavares, saved by Levi
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 0:13Shot by Nylander, saved by Levi
  53. P3 0:23Jokiharju: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Nylander, Marner, Matthews, Benoit · BUF Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Byram, Benson

  54. P3 1:56Shot by Matthews, saved by Levi5v4
  55. P3 3:22Shot by Matthews, saved by Levi
  56. P3 5:39Shot by Myers, saved by Levi
  57. P3 7:51Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Levi
  58. P3 7:54Shot by McCabe, saved by Levi
  59. P3 8:28Shot by Tavares, saved by Levi
  60. P3 8:39Shot by Lorentz, saved by Levi
  61. P3 9:18Shot by McMann, saved by Levi
  62. P3 9:28Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Levi
  63. P3 9:34Shot by Marner, saved by Levi
  64. P3 9:36Shot by Matthews, saved by Levi
  65. P3 10:04Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Hildeby
  66. P3 10:47Shot by Kulich, saved by Hildeby
  67. P3 11:28Shot by Quinn, saved by Hildeby
  68. P3 13:23Shot by Rielly, saved by Levi
  69. P3 13:29Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Levi
  70. P3 13:30Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Levi
  71. P3 13:31Shot by Knies, saved by Levi
  72. P3 14:12Shot by Rielly, saved by Levi
  73. P3 15:36Shot by Quinn, saved by Hildeby
  74. P3 17:10Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Hildeby
  75. P3 17:32Shot by Kulich, saved by Hildeby
  76. P3 17:48Goal by Tavares (Knies, Marner)5v6+6 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Tanev, Marner, Knies · BUF Zucker, Byram, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka, Power

  77. P3 17:48Cozens: Abuse of officials (10 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Tanev, Marner, Knies · BUF Zucker, Byram, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka, Power

  78. P3 17:58Shot by Knies, saved by Levi
  79. P3 19:47Tanev: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Tanev, McCabe, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · BUF Zucker, Tuch, Jokiharju, McLeod, Quinn, Kulich

  80. P3 19:49Shot by Quinn, saved by Hildeby4v6
  81. P3 0:00Period end4v6
  82. P3 0:00Final4v6