Sun, Dec 15, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Buffalo Sabres 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 87% of the time.
83%
9%
TOR winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Bowen ByramD · #4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 25:53 | 0.09 | 30.5% | +11.8 |
 Owen PowerD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24:44 | 0.20 | 43.7% | 0.0 |
 Mattias SamuelssonD · #23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 23:08 | 0.06 | 46.9% | +16.2 |
 Henri JokiharjuD · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:59 | 0.18 | 38.4% | 0.0 |
 Alex TuchRW · #89 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:25 | 0.12 | 28.4% | +11.5 |
 Jack QuinnRW · #22 | 2 | 0 | 2 | −1 | 5 | 18:18 | 0.36 | 33.6% | +28.0 |
 JJ PeterkaRW · #77 | 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 0 | 17:33 | 0.09 | 32.0% | +28.0 |
 Zach BensonLW · #9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:27 | 0.24 | 43.9% | +11.5 |
 Tage ThompsonC · #72 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:11 | 0.05 | 41.0% | +11.5 |
 Dylan CozensC · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:33 | 0.04 | 26.6% | 0.0 |
 Jordan GreenwayLW · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:13 | 0.00 | 29.0% | 0.0 |
 Jacob BrysonD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:05 | 0.09 | 32.6% | 0.0 |
 Peyton KrebsC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:57 | 0.11 | 61.6% | 0.0 |
 Ryan McLeodC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:43 | 0.20 | 73.5% | 0.0 |
 Jiri KulichC · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:23 | 0.20 | 36.6% | 0.0 |
 Beck MalenstynLW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10:58 | 0.16 | 62.3% | 0.0 |
 Dennis GilbertD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 10:47 | 0.00 | 27.8% | 0.0 |
 Jason ZuckerLW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 9:51 | 0.15 | 28.0% | 0.0 |
 Devon Levi#27 | L | 40 | 36 | 4 | .900 | 4.59 | +0.6 | 57:59 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:18 | 0.03 | 53.0% | +23.1 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21:57 | 0.20 | 67.1% | 0.0 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:12 | 0.28 | 53.5% | +6.4 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 6 | 21:02 | 1.33 | 58.4% | +49.8 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 20:54 | 0.95 | 62.7% | +23.1 |
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:51 | 0.06 | 45.2% | 0.0 |
 Chris TanevD · #8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 19:33 | 0.00 | 70.4% | +20.3 |
 Max PaciorettyLW · #67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:55 | 0.69 | 64.2% | 0.0 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #95 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 17:41 | 0.23 | 52.8% | +20.3 |
 Simon BenoitD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:39 | 0.00 | 42.0% | 0.0 |
 Philippe MyersD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:00 | 0.06 | 83.4% | 0.0 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:21 | 0.28 | 62.6% | +6.4 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 15:25 | 0.27 | 72.4% | +30.1 |
 Bobby McMannC · #74 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 15:13 | 0.29 | 80.3% | +30.1 |
 Nick RobertsonLW · #89 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 13:26 | 0.37 | 82.1% | +30.1 |
 Connor DewarC · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:50 | 0.00 | 37.3% | 0.0 |
 Ryan ReavesRW · #75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:07 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
 Steven LorentzC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:50 | 0.12 | 47.4% | 0.0 |
 Dennis Hildeby#35 | W | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 2.31 | −0.7 | 60:00 |