Sun, Dec 15, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Buffalo Sabres 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 87% of the time.
83%
9%
TOR winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Cozens–Quinn–Peterka | Tuch–Thompson–Benson | Malenstyn–McLeod–Krebs | Zucker–Greenway–Kulich | Thompson–Kulich–Benson | Tuch–Greenway–Krebs | Thompson–Peterka–Benson | Jokiharju–Byram | Samuelsson–Power | Gilbert–Bryson | Bryson–Byram | Samuelsson–Byram | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domi–Robertson–McMann | 1:010.19–0.04 | 3:570.16–0.13 | 1:290.39–0.00 | 1:140.18–0.00 | 3:350.23–0.00 | 2:210.19–0.10 | 2:590.39–0.13 | |||||
| Nylander–Marner–Matthews | 1:120.23–0.01 | 2:130.41–0.14 | 2:050.00–0.03 | 2:500.32–0.05 | 3:120.14–0.29 | 0:320.03–0.00 | ||||||
| Pacioretty–Tavares–Knies | 2:440.54–0.02 | 2:060.15–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 3:130.01–0.00 | 1:060.69–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Pacioretty–Tavares–Nylander | 1:340.11–0.04 | 1:090.00–0.22 | 2:370.01–0.26 | 2:020.01–0.23 | 3:360.16–0.29 | |||||||
| Reaves–Lorentz–Dewar | 1:350.00–0.21 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.04 | 1:070.00–0.12 | 1:180.00–0.09 | 2:200.00–0.04 | |||||
| Marner–Matthews–Knies | 0:420.00–0.00 | 3:120.00–0.10 | 1:170.00–0.04 | 2:360.00–0.06 | ||||||||
| Pacioretty–Domi–Knies | 0:520.00–0.09 | 0:520.00–0.09 | ||||||||||
| Ekman-Larsson–Tanev | 2:280.43–0.03 | 1:580.19–0.02 | 1:560.00–0.03 | 0:460.13–0.00 | 3:010.19–0.05 | 2:470.38–0.11 | 0:560.13–0.00 | |||||
| Myers–Benoit | 0:550.05–0.04 | 1:460.00–0.12 | 2:440.00–0.13 | 0:320.10–0.00 | 3:190.15–0.15 | 0:540.00–0.00 | 2:270.00–0.13 | |||||
| Tanev–McCabe | 1:120.00–0.15 | 3:290.09–0.06 | 1:070.00–0.02 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 2:080.00–0.05 | 3:360.09–0.17 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:570.03–0.00 | ||||
| Rielly–Myers | 2:110.54–0.00 | 1:080.05–0.02 | 1:060.08–0.00 | 0:590.39–0.00 | 2:430.38–0.00 | 1:390.54–0.00 | 2:070.39–0.00 | |||||
| McCabe–Benoit | 0:440.22–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 1:180.00–0.04 | 1:070.18–0.00 | 1:300.22–0.00 | 2:210.00–0.25 | 1:380.00–0.12 | 0:380.03–0.00 | ||||
| Ekman-Larsson–Rielly | 1:580.11–0.06 | 0:320.00–0.20 | 2:100.00–0.26 | 2:350.00–0.34 | 2:220.16–0.27 | |||||||
| Tanev–Rielly | 1:040.00–0.00 | 1:040.01–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Bowen ByramBUF | 34 | 25:53 | 0:46 | 1:59 | 7 | 8 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 34 | 24:44 | 0:44 | 1:23 | 2 | 10 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 32 | 23:08 | 0:43 | 1:24 | 2 | 11 |
 William NylanderTOR | 22 | 22:18 | 1:01 | 2:59 | 4 | 1 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 27 | 21:57 | 0:49 | 1:28 | 8 | 2 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 23 | 21:12 | 0:55 | 1:58 | 7 | 2 |
 John TavaresTOR | 21 | 21:02 | 1:00 | 2:15 | 4 | 1 |
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 29 | 20:59 | 0:43 | 1:39 | 4 | 7 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 23 | 20:54 | 0:55 | 1:58 | 6 | 2 |
 Jake McCabeTOR | 30 | 19:51 | 0:40 | 1:11 | 6 | 3 |
 Chris TanevTOR | 28 | 19:33 | 0:42 | 1:51 | 3 | 4 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 25 | 18:25 | 0:44 | 1:20 | 2 | 5 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 22 | 18:18 | 0:50 | 1:39 | 6 | 2 |
 Max PaciorettyTOR | 22 | 17:55 | 0:49 | 1:14 | 4 | 2 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR | 25 | 17:41 | 0:42 | 1:17 | 3 | 3 |
 Simon BenoitTOR | 25 | 17:39 | 0:42 | 2:36 | 3 | 3 |
 JJ PeterkaBUF | 23 | 17:33 | 0:46 | 1:12 | 10 | 2 |
 Zach BensonBUF | 23 | 17:27 | 0:46 | 1:30 | 4 | 3 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 23 | 17:11 | 0:45 | 1:28 | 3 | 3 |
 Philippe MyersTOR | 22 | 17:00 | 0:46 | 2:37 | 2 | 2 |
 Matthew KniesTOR | 22 | 16:21 | 0:45 | 1:26 | 4 | 3 |
 Max DomiTOR | 20 | 15:25 | 0:46 | 1:59 | 6 | 0 |
 Bobby McMannTOR | 18 | 15:13 | 0:51 | 1:54 | 4 | 0 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 21 | 14:33 | 0:42 | 1:22 | 7 | 4 |
 Jordan GreenwayBUF | 21 | 14:13 | 0:41 | 1:20 | 0 | 6 |
 Nick RobertsonTOR | 19 | 13:26 | 0:42 | 1:30 | 5 | 0 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 18 | 13:05 | 0:44 | 2:00 | 0 | 2 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 18 | 12:57 | 0:43 | 1:22 | 0 | 3 |
 Ryan McLeodBUF | 18 | 12:43 | 0:42 | 1:14 | 0 | 5 |
 Jiri KulichBUF | 17 | 12:23 | 0:44 | 1:08 | 0 | 4 |
 Beck MalenstynBUF | 17 | 10:58 | 0:39 | 1:26 | 1 | 4 |
 Dennis GilbertBUF | 16 | 10:47 | 0:40 | 1:10 | 0 | 1 |
 Jason ZuckerBUF | 15 | 9:51 | 0:39 | 1:03 | 1 | 3 |
 Connor DewarTOR | 14 | 7:50 | 0:34 | 0:58 | 0 | 4 |
 Ryan ReavesTOR | 10 | 7:07 | 0:43 | 1:17 | 0 | 3 |
 Steven LorentzTOR | 11 | 6:50 | 0:37 | 1:03 | 0 | 3 |