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Ice Lab

Fri, Dec 20, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Toronto Maple Leafs 6, Buffalo Sabres 3

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

6

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 82% of the time.

BUF winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:29Goal by McMann (Domi, Robertson)+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Clifton, Gilbert, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka · TOR McCabe, Domi, Benoit, Robertson, McMann

  3. P1 1:45Shot by Malenstyn, saved by Murray
  4. P1 2:34Zucker: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: BUF Zucker, Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, Power · TOR Pacioretty, Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Tanev, Nylander

  5. P1 2:40Shot by Nylander, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  6. P1 6:05Goal by Matthews (Nylander, Marner)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Clifton, Malenstyn, Samuelsson, Krebs · TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  7. P1 7:30Shot by McMann, saved by Luukkonen
  8. P1 8:56Shot by Matthews, saved by Luukkonen
  9. P1 9:23Shot by Quinn, saved by Murray
  10. P1 9:24Shot by Cozens, saved by Murray
  11. P1 9:28Shot by Gilbert, saved by Murray
  12. P1 10:05Shot by Cozens, saved by Murray
  13. P1 12:40Rielly: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Zucker, Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, Power · TOR Tanev, Rielly, Marner, Matthews, Knies

  14. P1 12:40Rielly: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: BUF Zucker, Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, Power · TOR Tanev, Rielly, Marner, Matthews, Knies

  15. P1 12:40Thompson: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: BUF Zucker, Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, Power · TOR Tanev, Rielly, Marner, Matthews, Knies

  16. P1 13:19Shot by Dahlin, saved by Murray5v4
  17. P1 14:08Shot by Kulich, saved by Murray5v4
  18. P1 15:35Shot by Domi, saved by Luukkonen
  19. P1 16:28Shot by Zucker, saved by Murray
  20. P1 17:39Shot by Byram, saved by Murray
  21. P1 18:10Shot by McCabe, saved by Luukkonen
  22. P1 19:10Shot by Domi, saved by Luukkonen
  23. P1 19:33Shot by McCabe, saved by Luukkonen
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 1:53Goal by Robertson (Rielly, Timmins)+10 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Samuelsson, Krebs, Power, Kulich, Benson · TOR Rielly, Domi, Timmins, Robertson, Knies

  27. P2 2:22Goal by Peterka (Cozens, Clifton)+10 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Clifton, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka, Power · TOR McCabe, Domi, Benoit, Robertson, McMann

  28. P2 2:36Shot by Lafferty, saved by Murray
  29. P2 3:33Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Luukkonen
  30. P2 3:54Shot by Knies, saved by Luukkonen
  31. P2 4:27Goal by Domi (McMann, Marner)+10 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gilbert, Krebs, Byram, Cozens, Quinn · TOR Tanev, McCabe, Domi, Marner, McMann

  32. P2 4:59Shot by McMann, saved by Reimer
  33. P2 6:14Shot by Tuch, saved by Murray
  34. P2 6:24Shot by Byram, saved by Murray
  35. P2 7:50Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Murray
  36. P2 9:49Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Reimer
  37. P2 10:17Shot by Tavares, saved by Reimer
  38. P2 10:47Goal by Pacioretty (Nylander, Tavares)+4 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Clifton, Malenstyn, Samuelsson, Cozens, Peterka · TOR Pacioretty, Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Timmins

  39. P2 12:30Shot by Dahlin, saved by Murray
  40. P2 12:51Shot by Tavares, saved by Reimer
  41. P2 13:07Shot by Holmberg, saved by Reimer
  42. P2 14:24Shot by Power, saved by Murray
  43. P2 14:26McCabe: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Samuelsson, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka, Power · TOR McCabe, Marner, Matthews, Timmins, Holmberg

  44. P2 14:26Cozens: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Samuelsson, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka, Power · TOR McCabe, Marner, Matthews, Timmins, Holmberg

  45. P2 15:20Shot by Dahlin, saved by Murray4v4
  46. P2 15:56Goal by Samuelsson (Power, Peterka)4v4+3 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Samuelsson, Peterka, Power, Kulich · TOR Rielly, Domi, Timmins, McMann

  47. P2 16:25Shot by Marner, saved by Reimer4v4
  48. P2 16:30Shot by Matthews, saved by Reimer
  49. P2 17:43Holmberg: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Zucker, Tuch, Byram, Cozens, Peterka, Power · TOR Domi, Timmins, Benoit, Robertson, McMann

  50. P2 18:53Shot by Kulich, saved by Murray5v4
  51. P2 19:05Shot by Power, saved by Murray5v4
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 0:28Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Reimer
  55. P3 0:33Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Reimer
  56. P3 3:04Shot by Dahlin, saved by Murray
  57. P3 3:58Shot by McCabe, saved by Reimer
  58. P3 5:34Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Reimer
  59. P3 5:52Shot by Nylander, saved by Reimer
  60. P3 7:36Shot by Peterka, saved by Murray
  61. P3 9:21Shot by Tuch, saved by Murray
  62. P3 9:39Tavares: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Zucker, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Byram · TOR Pacioretty, Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Tanev, Nylander

  63. P3 9:39Zucker: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Zucker, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Byram · TOR Pacioretty, Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Tanev, Nylander

  64. P3 11:21Shot by Dahlin, saved by Murray4v4
  65. P3 11:56Goal by Power (Kulich, Samuelsson)+3 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Zucker, McLeod, Samuelsson, Power, Kulich · TOR Tanev, McCabe, Domi, Robertson, Knies

  66. P3 12:22Shot by Matthews, saved by Reimer
  67. P3 12:32Zucker: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Zucker, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Byram · TOR Marner, Matthews, Timmins, Benoit, Knies

  68. P3 12:45Shot by McLeod, saved by Murray4v5
  69. P3 13:51Shot by Matthews, saved by Reimer4v5
  70. P3 15:35Shot by Krebs, saved by Murray
  71. P3 19:40Goal by Nylander (Tavares, Tanev)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: BUF McLeod, Dahlin, Quinn, Power, Kulich, Benson · TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Tanev, Nylander, Kampf

  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Final