Fri, Dec 20, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Toronto Maple Leafs 6, Buffalo Sabres 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 82% of the time.
12%
77%
BUF winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Pacioretty–Tavares–Nylander | Marner–Matthews–Knies | Lorentz–Kampf–Holmberg | Domi–Robertson–McMann | Rielly–Timmins | Ekman-Larsson–Tanev | McCabe–Benoit | Tanev–McCabe | Timmins–Benoit | McCabe–Timmins | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zucker–Tuch–Thompson | 5:180.31–0.54 | 2:210.00–0.37 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 1:560.00–0.12 | 4:340.11–0.10 | 1:170.02–0.16 | 1:290.00–0.31 | |||
| Cozens–Quinn–Peterka | 0:590.00–0.08 | 2:280.30–0.03 | 4:160.06–0.29 | 1:050.00–0.17 | 2:520.12–0.06 | 3:080.32–0.07 | 1:250.00–0.11 | |||
| Krebs–Kulich–Benson | 1:100.05–0.00 | 3:300.07–0.07 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.00 | 3:580.05–0.10 | 1:030.01–0.00 | 1:070.00–0.06 | 1:050.05–0.01 | ||
| Lafferty–Malenstyn–McLeod | 2:030.17–0.07 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 2:360.18–0.00 | 1:140.03–0.00 | 3:160.18–0.07 | 1:040.10–0.00 | 1:280.00–0.00 | |||
| Cozens–Quinn–Kulich | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Dahlin–Byram | 6:150.47–0.42 | 2:170.00–0.38 | 2:180.13–0.00 | 1:560.00–0.08 | 4:120.12–0.32 | 4:580.12–0.10 | 1:430.00–0.10 | 1:110.05–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.31 | |
| Samuelsson–Power | 2:150.00–0.19 | 4:410.07–0.06 | 1:220.00–0.00 | 1:250.03–0.07 | 4:100.08–0.17 | 2:010.02–0.03 | 1:480.02–0.16 | 1:330.25–0.05 | 0:370.00–0.00 | |
| Clifton–Gilbert | 3:000.30–0.03 | 2:410.00–0.21 | 0:450.00–0.08 | 1:170.00–0.03 | 2:330.26–0.05 | 0:370.00–0.07 | 0:420.04–0.00 | |||
| Dahlin–Power | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:440.03–0.00 | 0:410.03–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.09 | 1:090.00–0.00 | |||||
| Samuelsson–Byram | 0:560.01–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:120.01–0.00 | |||||||
| Samuelsson–Dahlin | 0:310.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
| 31 | 27:33 | 0:53 | 2:26 | 7 | 1 | |
| 30 | 23:43 | 0:47 | 1:48 | 2 | 1 | |
| 29 | 23:33 | 0:49 | 2:25 | 1 | 1 | |
| 29 | 21:25 | 0:44 | 1:44 | 1 | 4 | |
| 33 | 21:02 | 0:38 | 1:17 | 1 | 5 | |
| 30 | 20:52 | 0:42 | 1:39 | 3 | 2 | |
| 25 | 20:09 | 0:48 | 1:42 | 3 | 1 | |
| 23 | 19:54 | 0:52 | 2:10 | 2 | 3 | |
| 27 | 19:35 | 0:44 | 2:09 | 0 | 5 | |
| 22 | 19:22 | 0:53 | 1:31 | 2 | 0 | |
| 23 | 19:18 | 0:50 | 2:10 | 2 | 4 | |
| 28 | 19:05 | 0:41 | 1:19 | 1 | 2 | |
| 24 | 18:25 | 0:46 | 1:21 | 4 | 0 | |
| 22 | 17:44 | 0:48 | 1:28 | 2 | 0 | |
| 24 | 17:30 | 0:44 | 1:25 | 7 | 3 | |
| 22 | 17:07 | 0:47 | 1:37 | 2 | 1 | |
| 23 | 16:24 | 0:43 | 1:58 | 0 | 2 | |
| 20 | 16:00 | 0:48 | 1:17 | 6 | 1 | |
| 20 | 15:55 | 0:48 | 1:37 | 3 | 1 | |
| 20 | 15:37 | 0:47 | 1:13 | 8 | 1 | |
| 21 | 15:09 | 0:43 | 1:09 | 2 | 1 | |
| 20 | 15:07 | 0:45 | 1:36 | 3 | 0 | |
| 21 | 14:47 | 0:42 | 1:00 | 2 | 4 | |
| 19 | 14:26 | 0:46 | 1:26 | 0 | 3 | |
| 18 | 14:25 | 0:48 | 1:27 | 1 | 0 | |
| 18 | 12:56 | 0:43 | 1:18 | 2 | 3 | |
| 17 | 12:41 | 0:45 | 1:12 | 3 | 0 | |
| 17 | 11:51 | 0:42 | 1:10 | 1 | 0 | |
| 16 | 11:32 | 0:43 | 1:17 | 1 | 1 | |
| 17 | 11:26 | 0:40 | 1:16 | 0 | 0 | |
| 17 | 11:20 | 0:40 | 1:04 | 1 | 1 | |
| 15 | 11:13 | 0:45 | 1:32 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14 | 10:38 | 0:46 | 1:05 | 0 | 2 | |
| 14 | 10:29 | 0:45 | 1:29 | 0 | 2 | |
| 14 | 8:16 | 0:35 | 0:57 | 1 | 1 | |
| 13 | 8:07 | 0:37 | 0:53 | 2 | 0 |