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Ice Lab

Fri, Dec 20, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Toronto Maple Leafs 6, Buffalo Sabres 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 82% of the time.

BUF winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Pacioretty–Tavares–NylanderMarner–Matthews–KniesLorentz–Kampf–HolmbergDomi–Robertson–McMannRielly–TimminsEkman-Larsson–TanevMcCabe–BenoitTanev–McCabeTimmins–BenoitMcCabe–Timmins
Zucker–Tuch–Thompson5:180.31–0.542:210.00–0.370:410.00–0.001:560.00–0.124:340.11–0.101:170.02–0.161:290.00–0.31
Cozens–Quinn–Peterka0:590.00–0.082:280.30–0.034:160.06–0.291:050.00–0.172:520.12–0.063:080.32–0.071:250.00–0.11
Krebs–Kulich–Benson1:100.05–0.003:300.07–0.071:020.00–0.001:030.00–0.003:580.05–0.101:030.01–0.001:070.00–0.061:050.05–0.01
Lafferty–Malenstyn–McLeod2:030.17–0.070:560.00–0.002:360.18–0.001:140.03–0.003:160.18–0.071:040.10–0.001:280.00–0.00
Cozens–Quinn–Kulich0:400.00–0.000:350.00–0.00
Dahlin–Byram6:150.47–0.422:170.00–0.382:180.13–0.001:560.00–0.084:120.12–0.324:580.12–0.101:430.00–0.101:110.05–0.000:550.00–0.31
Samuelsson–Power2:150.00–0.194:410.07–0.061:220.00–0.001:250.03–0.074:100.08–0.172:010.02–0.031:480.02–0.161:330.25–0.050:370.00–0.00
Clifton–Gilbert3:000.30–0.032:410.00–0.210:450.00–0.081:170.00–0.032:330.26–0.050:370.00–0.070:420.04–0.00
Dahlin–Power0:310.00–0.000:440.03–0.000:410.03–0.000:400.00–0.091:090.00–0.00
Samuelsson–Byram0:560.01–0.000:300.00–0.001:120.01–0.00
Samuelsson–Dahlin0:310.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndZucker FThompson FTuch FBenson FKulich FKrebs FQuinn FCozens FPeterka FMalenstyn FMcLeod FLafferty FByram DDahlin DSamuelsson DPower DGilbert DClifton DLuukkonen GReimer GPacioretty FNylander FTavares FMatthews FMarner FKnies FDomi FMcMann FRobertson FLorentz FHolmberg FKampf FTanev DEkman-Larsson DRielly DTimmins DBenoit DMcCabe DMurray G
BUFTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus DahlinBUF3127:330:532:2671
Bowen ByramBUF3023:430:471:4821
Owen PowerBUF2923:330:492:2511
Mattias SamuelssonBUF2921:250:441:4414
Chris TanevTOR3321:020:381:1715
Conor TimminsTOR3020:520:421:3932
Alex TuchBUF2520:090:481:4231
Mitch MarnerTOR2319:540:522:1023
Jake McCabeTOR2719:350:442:0905
William NylanderTOR2219:220:531:3120
Auston MatthewsTOR2319:180:502:1024
Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR2819:050:411:1912
Morgan RiellyTOR2418:250:461:2140
John TavaresTOR2217:440:481:2820
Dylan CozensBUF2417:300:441:2573
Jason ZuckerBUF2217:070:471:3721
Simon BenoitTOR2316:240:431:5802
JJ PeterkaBUF2016:000:481:1761
Tage ThompsonBUF2015:550:481:3731
Jack QuinnBUF2015:370:471:1381
Matthew KniesTOR2115:090:431:0921
Max PaciorettyTOR2015:070:451:3630
Ryan McLeodBUF2114:470:421:0024
David KampfTOR1914:260:461:2603
Jiri KulichBUF1814:250:481:2710
Connor CliftonBUF1812:560:431:1823
Zach BensonBUF1712:410:451:1230
Max DomiTOR1711:510:421:1010
Peyton KrebsBUF1611:320:431:1711
Nick RobertsonTOR1711:260:401:1600
Beck MalenstynBUF1711:200:401:0411
Bobby McMannTOR1511:130:451:3200
Steven LorentzTOR1410:380:461:0502
Pontus HolmbergTOR1410:290:451:2902
Sam LaffertyBUF148:160:350:5711
Dennis GilbertBUF138:070:370:5320