Fri, Dec 20, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Toronto Maple Leafs 6, Buffalo Sabres 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 82% of the time.
12%
77%
BUF winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Chris TanevD · #8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:02 | 0.00 | 47.7% | +0.1 |
 Conor TimminsD · #25 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:52 | 0.00 | 66.2% | +10.0 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 19:54 | 0.16 | 66.2% | +22.9 |
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:35 | 0.15 | 43.1% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 19:22 | 0.95 | 64.1% | +17.3 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19:18 | 0.77 | 61.8% | +13.0 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:05 | 0.06 | 45.3% | 0.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:25 | 0.00 | 81.8% | +10.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 17:44 | 0.24 | 58.2% | +4.2 |
 Simon BenoitD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:24 | 0.05 | 64.8% | 0.0 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:09 | 0.06 | 50.3% | 0.0 |
 Max PaciorettyLW · #67 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 15:07 | 1.13 | 62.6% | +4.1 |
 David KampfC · #64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:26 | 0.00 | 39.8% | 0.0 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11:51 | 0.25 | 65.0% | +23.5 |
 Nick RobertsonLW · #89 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:26 | 0.10 | 62.6% | +23.6 |
 Bobby McMannC · #74 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11:13 | 0.30 | 84.7% | +23.5 |
 Steven LorentzC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:38 | 0.00 | 5.3% | 0.0 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:29 | 0.20 | 27.5% | 0.0 |
 Matt Murray#30 | W | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 2.19 | −0.8 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Rasmus DahlinD · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 27:33 | 0.31 | 42.2% | 0.0 |
 Bowen ByramD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:43 | 0.15 | 33.0% | 0.0 |
 Owen PowerD · #25 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 23:33 | 0.43 | 49.7% | +6.1 |
 Mattias SamuelssonD · #23 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21:25 | 0.09 | 46.7% | +6.1 |
 Alex TuchRW · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:09 | 0.27 | 24.5% | 0.0 |
 Dylan CozensC · #24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 17:30 | 0.16 | 43.4% | +9.6 |
 Jason ZuckerLW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:07 | 0.02 | 35.5% | 0.0 |
 JJ PeterkaRW · #77 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16:00 | 0.18 | 48.0% | +12.7 |
 Tage ThompsonC · #72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:55 | 0.00 | 29.2% | 0.0 |
 Jack QuinnRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:37 | 0.05 | 48.9% | 0.0 |
 Ryan McLeodC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:47 | 0.01 | 73.9% | 0.0 |
 Jiri KulichC · #20 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:25 | 0.18 | 46.8% | +3.1 |
 Connor CliftonD · #75 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 12:56 | 0.03 | 50.0% | +9.6 |
 Zach BensonLW · #9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:41 | 0.00 | 40.4% | 0.0 |
 Peyton KrebsC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 11:32 | 0.01 | 28.6% | 0.0 |
 Beck MalenstynLW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:20 | 0.20 | 62.6% | 0.0 |
 Sam LaffertyC · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:16 | 0.01 | 84.1% | 0.0 |
 Dennis GilbertD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 8:07 | 0.06 | 45.3% | 0.0 |
 Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen#1 | L | 13 | 9 | 4 | .692 | 1.03 | −3.0 | 24:27 |
 James Reimer#47 | – | 15 | 14 | 1 | .933 | 2.14 | +1.1 | 33:26 |