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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 21, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

New York Islanders 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Away

New York Islanders

6

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 70% of the time.

TOR winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:26Shot by Domi, saved by Sorokin
  3. P1 1:47Goal by Tsyplakov (Horvat, Holmstrom)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Domi, Timmins, Robertson, McMann · NYI Mayfield, Horvat, Holmstrom, George, Tsyplakov

  4. P1 4:48Goal by Horvat (Romanov)+12 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Domi, Marner, Timmins, McMann · NYI Mayfield, Horvat, Holmstrom, George, Tsyplakov

  5. P1 5:52Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Sorokin
  6. P1 6:35Shot by Barzal, saved by Woll
  7. P1 10:33Shot by Barzal, saved by Woll
  8. P1 12:05Shot by Marner, saved by Sorokin
  9. P1 12:29Goal by Nylander (Tavares, Ekman-Larsson)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Pacioretty, Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, McCabe, Nylander · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Pelech, Duclair, Pulock

  10. P1 13:01Shot by Pageau, saved by Woll
  11. P1 13:49Shot by Rielly, saved by Sorokin
  12. P1 14:10Shot by MacLean, saved by Woll
  13. P1 14:25Shot by Pulock, saved by Woll
  14. P1 16:06Shot by Lee, saved by Woll
  15. P1 16:08Goal by Pageau (Lee, Romanov)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Pacioretty, Tavares, Tanev, McCabe, Nylander · NYI Lee, Pageau, Mayfield, Barzal, Romanov

  16. P1 17:42Shot by Kampf, saved by Sorokin
  17. P1 0:00Period end
  18. P2 0:00Period start
  19. P2 1:12Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Sorokin
  20. P2 1:31Shot by Horvat, saved by Woll
  21. P2 1:57Shot by Lee, saved by Woll
  22. P2 2:27Shot by Romanov, saved by Woll
  23. P2 3:07Shot by Nylander, saved by Sorokin
  24. P2 3:23Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Woll
  25. P2 4:12Shot by Romanov, saved by Woll
  26. P2 5:13Shot by Benoit, saved by Sorokin
  27. P2 5:43Goal by Nylander (Kampf, Knies)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tanev, Rielly, Nylander, Kampf, Knies · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Pelech, Duclair, Pulock

  28. P2 6:00Shot by Marner, saved by Sorokin
  29. P2 6:08Shot by Tsyplakov, saved by Woll
  30. P2 7:18Shot by McMann, saved by Sorokin
  31. P2 10:00Shot by Robertson, saved by Sorokin
  32. P2 10:11Shot by Timmins, saved by Sorokin
  33. P2 11:42Shot by MacLean, saved by Woll
  34. P2 14:49Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Sorokin
  35. P2 15:55Shot by Horvat, saved by Woll
  36. P2 16:00Shot by Pelech, saved by Woll
  37. P2 16:04Shot by Barzal, saved by Woll
  38. P2 17:42Shot by George, saved by Woll
  39. P2 18:11Shot by Palmieri, saved by Woll
  40. P2 19:36Shot by Tavares, saved by Sorokin
  41. P2 0:00Period end
  42. P3 0:00Period start
  43. P3 1:18Shot by Lee, saved by Woll
  44. P3 2:31Shot by George, saved by Woll
  45. P3 5:23Goal by George (Duclair, Mayfield)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tanev, McCabe, Domi, Robertson, McMann · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Mayfield, Duclair, George

  46. P3 7:30Shot by Barzal, saved by Woll
  47. P3 7:46Shot by Reaves, saved by Sorokin
  48. P3 8:14Shot by Pulock, saved by Woll
  49. P3 8:17Shot by Pageau, saved by Woll
  50. P3 10:09Shot by Horvat, saved by Woll
  51. P3 10:10Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Woll
  52. P3 10:36Goal by Dobson (Holmstrom, Horvat)+4 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, McCabe, Marner, Benoit, McMann · NYI Horvat, Dobson, Romanov, Holmstrom, Tsyplakov

  53. P3 10:49Shot by Cizikas, saved by Woll
  54. P3 11:04Shot by Pulock, saved by Woll
  55. P3 11:29Shot by Timmins, saved by Sorokin
  56. P3 13:49Goal by McMann (Marner, McCabe)+2 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, McCabe, Marner, Timmins, McMann · NYI Lee, Pelech, Horvat, Pulock, Holmstrom

  57. P3 14:01Shot by Nylander, saved by Sorokin
  58. P3 14:02Shot by Nylander, saved by Sorokin
  59. P3 14:35Shot by Domi, saved by Sorokin
  60. P3 15:08Shot by Marner, saved by Sorokin
  61. P3 15:30Shot by Nylander, saved by Sorokin6v5
  62. P3 16:29Shot by Domi, saved by Sorokin6v5
  63. P3 16:50Shot by Nylander, saved by Sorokin6v5
  64. P3 17:40Goal by Barzal (Lee)6v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Pacioretty, Rielly, McCabe, Marner, Robertson, Knies · NYI Lee, Pageau, Mayfield, Barzal, Dobson

  65. P3 17:42Shot by MacLean, saved by Woll
  66. P3 18:16Shot by Lorentz, saved by Sorokin
  67. P3 19:28Shot by Dewar, saved by Sorokin
  68. P3 19:36Shot by Lorentz, saved by Sorokin
  69. P3 0:00Period end
  70. P3 0:00Final