Sat, Dec 21, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
New York Islanders 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 70% of the time.
22%
63%
TOR winsNYI wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Palmieri–Nelson–Duclair | Lee–Pageau–Barzal | Horvat–Holmstrom–Tsyplakov | Cizikas–Fasching–MacLean | Pageau–Barzal–Tsyplakov | Palmieri–Nelson–Tsyplakov | Dobson–Romanov | Pelech–Pulock | Mayfield–George | Pelech–Romanov | Pulock–Dobson | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reaves–Lorentz–Dewar | 1:500.01–0.02 | 1:540.11–0.31 | 1:520.11–0.00 | 4:020.03–0.02 | 2:130.11–0.13 | 2:220.03–0.22 | 5:190.12–0.00 | ||||
| Nylander–Kampf–Knies | 3:570.35–0.25 | 2:000.11–0.05 | 1:250.00–0.10 | 2:310.15–0.10 | 3:580.35–0.00 | ||||||
| Tavares–Marner–McMann | 1:540.00–0.15 | 2:550.00–0.52 | 2:560.07–0.48 | 2:500.07–0.10 | |||||||
| Domi–Robertson–McMann | 1:240.18–0.22 | 0:300.00–0.13 | 2:140.00–0.13 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 1:520.00–0.13 | 2:500.16–0.30 | |||||
| Pacioretty–Tavares–Nylander | 0:470.05–0.00 | 1:460.00–0.53 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 2:050.00–0.37 | 1:150.05–0.00 | ||||||
| Marner–Kampf–Knies | 1:130.02–0.00 | 1:130.00–0.02 | 1:460.02–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.02 | |||||||
| Pacioretty–Domi–Robertson | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.26 | 0:390.00–0.10 | 1:060.00–0.10 | 2:020.01–0.26 | ||||||
| Pacioretty–Tavares–Marner | 2:140.19–0.07 | 1:400.07–0.05 | 0:420.12–0.01 | ||||||||
| Tavares–Nylander–Knies | 0:580.00–0.01 | 0:560.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Domi–Nylander–Knies | 1:030.31–0.00 | 0:370.23–0.00 | |||||||||
| Marner–Kampf–McMann | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| McCabe–Benoit | 3:080.00–0.27 | 1:580.00–0.37 | 3:020.12–0.37 | 1:460.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 4:440.00–0.34 | 2:210.00–0.09 | 2:240.00–0.26 | 1:000.12–0.26 | 0:300.00–0.00 | |
| Tanev–Rielly | 2:100.35–0.00 | 1:510.23–0.01 | 2:170.11–0.04 | 2:000.00–0.10 | 2:330.08–0.15 | 4:560.35–0.01 | 0:510.27–0.00 | ||||
| Rielly–Timmins | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 1:000.09–0.19 | 1:500.06–0.13 | 1:570.10–0.00 | 2:370.00–0.13 | 1:340.10–0.19 | ||||
| Ekman-Larsson–Benoit | 2:510.00–0.21 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:300.03–0.32 | 1:110.00–0.00 | 2:150.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Tanev–McCabe | 1:340.00–0.04 | 1:300.00–0.42 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.13 | 0:570.00–0.02 | 1:520.00–0.04 | |||||
| Ekman-Larsson–Tanev | 1:070.00–0.00 | 1:310.11–0.27 | 1:380.11–0.06 | 1:490.00–0.22 | 0:320.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Ekman-Larsson–Rielly | 1:120.23–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.10 | 1:050.26–0.00 | 1:580.23–0.10 | 0:510.02–0.00 | |||||
| Ekman-Larsson–Timmins | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:420.02–0.08 | 1:080.07–0.01 | 1:100.02–0.02 | 2:100.07–0.02 | 0:470.02–0.00 | |||||
| Ekman-Larsson–McCabe | 1:110.00–0.22 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 1:170.00–0.14 | ||||||||
| McCabe–Timmins | 1:000.07–0.06 | 0:330.08–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Timmins–Benoit | 0:480.02–0.09 | 1:070.02–0.22 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORNYIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Noah DobsonNYI | 28 | 23:02 | 0:49 | 1:41 | 3 | 1 |
 Alexander RomanovNYI | 28 | 22:48 | 0:49 | 1:52 | 3 | 1 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 31 | 22:46 | 0:44 | 1:43 | 5 | 3 |
 Adam PelechNYI | 33 | 22:07 | 0:40 | 1:38 | 2 | 4 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR | 29 | 21:56 | 0:45 | 1:40 | 4 | 3 |
 Ryan PulockNYI | 32 | 21:35 | 0:40 | 1:31 | 3 | 4 |
 Jake McCabeTOR | 30 | 21:19 | 0:43 | 1:26 | 1 | 2 |
 William NylanderTOR | 24 | 20:50 | 0:52 | 1:53 | 5 | 1 |
 John TavaresTOR | 21 | 20:02 | 0:57 | 2:14 | 2 | 1 |
 Simon BenoitTOR | 26 | 19:21 | 0:45 | 1:25 | 3 | 3 |
 Chris TanevTOR | 32 | 18:58 | 0:36 | 1:21 | 1 | 5 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 20 | 18:07 | 0:54 | 2:47 | 2 | 2 |
 Kyle PalmieriNYI | 20 | 18:04 | 0:54 | 1:40 | 2 | 2 |
 Matthew KniesTOR | 20 | 18:03 | 0:54 | 2:25 | 4 | 2 |
 Maxim TsyplakovNYI | 21 | 17:38 | 0:50 | 1:13 | 2 | 1 |
 Brock NelsonNYI | 20 | 17:34 | 0:53 | 1:45 | 3 | 2 |
 Mathew BarzalNYI | 19 | 16:43 | 0:53 | 1:32 | 2 | 0 |
 Bobby McMannTOR | 20 | 16:09 | 0:48 | 1:32 | 1 | 1 |
 Scott MayfieldNYI | 21 | 15:46 | 0:45 | 1:13 | 2 | 1 |
 Simon HolmstromNYI | 22 | 15:41 | 0:43 | 1:03 | 2 | 2 |
 David KampfTOR | 20 | 15:28 | 0:46 | 1:26 | 4 | 2 |
 Anthony DuclairNYI | 20 | 15:14 | 0:46 | 1:20 | 3 | 2 |
 Anders LeeNYI | 19 | 15:13 | 0:48 | 1:18 | 2 | 0 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI | 20 | 14:55 | 0:45 | 1:16 | 2 | 1 |
 Max DomiTOR | 18 | 14:53 | 0:50 | 1:52 | 2 | 0 |
 Isaiah GeorgeNYI | 20 | 14:51 | 0:45 | 1:07 | 2 | 1 |
 Bo HorvatNYI | 21 | 14:41 | 0:42 | 1:09 | 2 | 1 |
 Conor TimminsTOR | 21 | 13:43 | 0:39 | 1:12 | 2 | 1 |
 Max PaciorettyTOR | 17 | 13:04 | 0:46 | 1:21 | 2 | 0 |
 Steven LorentzTOR | 16 | 12:36 | 0:47 | 1:44 | 0 | 3 |
 Nick RobertsonTOR | 17 | 12:00 | 0:42 | 1:16 | 1 | 0 |
 Kyle MacLeanNYI | 16 | 11:58 | 0:45 | 1:17 | 1 | 0 |
 Ryan ReavesTOR | 16 | 11:54 | 0:45 | 1:29 | 0 | 3 |
 Connor DewarTOR | 16 | 11:16 | 0:42 | 1:24 | 0 | 3 |
 Casey CizikasNYI | 16 | 11:11 | 0:42 | 1:03 | 1 | 0 |
 Hudson FaschingNYI | 17 | 10:59 | 0:39 | 1:06 | 1 | 0 |