Sat, Dec 21, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
New York Islanders 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 70% of the time.
22%
63%
TOR winsNYI wins
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 23:02 | 0.04 | 59.0% | +3.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 22:48 | 0.10 | 64.3% | +26.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 22:07 | 0.06 | 53.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 21:35 | 0.09 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:04 | 0.25 | 37.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 17:38 | 0.27 | 52.3% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:34 | 0.00 | 38.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 16:43 | 0.86 | 71.5% | +0.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 0 | 15:46 | 0.10 | 72.1% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 15:41 | 0.13 | 58.9% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 15:14 | 0.09 | 47.9% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 15:13 | 0.52 | 68.2% | +15.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 14:55 | 0.57 | 72.4% | +14.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 14:51 | 0.11 | 65.6% | +16.2 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 14:41 | 0.38 | 58.9% | +29.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:58 | 0.19 | 79.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:11 | 0.09 | 67.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:59 | 0.00 | 67.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 2.61 | −0.4 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 22:46 | 0.09 | 71.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 21:56 | 0.01 | 44.5% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 21:19 | 0.00 | 17.8% | +2.3 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 7 | 20:50 | 0.60 | 51.9% | +28.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:02 | 0.26 | 31.8% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:21 | 0.04 | 16.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:58 | 0.00 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 18:07 | 0.31 | 48.5% | +2.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:03 | 0.09 | 67.5% | +15.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −3 | 2 | 16:09 | 0.25 | 24.7% | +2.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:28 | 0.16 | 54.3% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 14:53 | 0.46 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:43 | 0.01 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:04 | 0.08 | 20.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:36 | 0.04 | 46.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 12:00 | 0.01 | 16.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:54 | 0.11 | 46.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:16 | 0.09 | 38.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 33 | 28 | 5 | .848 | 3.28 | −1.7 | 57:35 |