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Ice Lab

Fri, Dec 27, 2024·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Detroit Red Wings 2

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

5

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 59% of the time.

DET winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:17Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Woll
  3. P1 1:30Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Woll
  4. P1 2:02Shot by Kampf, saved by Talbot
  5. P1 2:29Goal by Kampf (Lorentz)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Petry, Chiarot, Veleno, Berggren, Kasper · TOR Tanev, Rielly, Lorentz, Kampf, Dewar

  6. P1 4:20Shot by Copp, saved by Woll
  7. P1 5:09Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Woll
  8. P1 6:28Shot by Kane, saved by Woll
  9. P1 6:31Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Woll
  10. P1 7:10Shot by Larkin, saved by Woll
  11. P1 8:12Shot by Marner, saved by Talbot
  12. P1 8:16Goal by Marner (Tavares, Myers)+13 pts WP

    On ice: DET Tarasenko, Larkin, Seider, Raymond, Edvinsson · TOR Pacioretty, Tavares, Rielly, Marner, Myers

  13. P1 8:55Shot by Lorentz, saved by Talbot
  14. P1 9:00Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Talbot
  15. P1 9:28Shot by Compher, saved by Woll
  16. P1 9:31Benoit: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Holl, Gustafsson, Compher, Rasmussen, Berggren · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Holmberg, Benoit, Knies

  17. P1 10:01Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Woll5v4
  18. P1 10:01Shot by Larkin, saved by Woll5v4
  19. P1 10:10Shot by Larkin, saved by Woll5v4
  20. P1 12:01Petry: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Petry, Chiarot, Fischer, Veleno, Kasper · TOR Pacioretty, Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Myers

  21. P1 13:13Shot by Kasper, saved by Woll4v5
  22. P1 13:50Shot by McMann, saved by Talbot4v5
  23. P1 16:41Raymond: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: DET Petry, Chiarot, Tarasenko, Larkin, Raymond · TOR Tanev, McCabe, Nylander, Holmberg, Knies

  24. P1 17:32Shot by Knies, saved by Talbot4v5
  25. P1 17:51Shot by Larkin, saved by Woll4v5
  26. P1 18:19Shot by Domi, saved by Talbot4v5
  27. P1 18:22Shot by McMann, saved by Talbot4v5
  28. P1 19:28Goal by Marner (Nylander, Tavares)4v5+11 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Holl, Copp, Compher · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Knies

  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 0:15Shot by Marner, saved by Talbot
  32. P2 3:05Shot by Kasper, saved by Woll
  33. P2 3:42Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Woll
  34. P2 8:04Shot by Rielly, saved by Talbot
  35. P2 8:07Shot by Dewar, saved by Talbot
  36. P2 8:08Shot by Dewar, saved by Talbot
  37. P2 9:10Shot by McCabe, saved by Talbot
  38. P2 9:31Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Talbot
  39. P2 9:59Shot by Seider, saved by Woll
  40. P2 11:17Shot by Dewar, saved by Talbot
  41. P2 11:26Shot by McCabe, saved by Talbot
  42. P2 16:23Goal by Marner (Ekman-Larsson, Pacioretty)+3 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Tarasenko, Larkin, Seider, Raymond · TOR Pacioretty, Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Rielly, Marner

  43. P2 17:39Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Woll
  44. P2 19:58Goal by Robertson (Domi, McMann)+1 pts WP

    On ice: DET Petry, Tarasenko, Larkin, Raymond, Edvinsson · TOR Tanev, McCabe, Domi, Robertson, McMann

  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 1:01Shot by Kane, saved by Woll
  48. P3 1:39Kampf: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Holl, Tarasenko, Gustafsson, Compher, Berggren · TOR Rielly, Lorentz, Myers, Kampf, Dewar

  49. P3 3:05Shot by Seider, saved by Woll5v4
  50. P3 6:40McMann: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Petry, Tarasenko, Compher, Edvinsson, Kasper · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Kampf, Dewar, Benoit, McMann

  51. P3 7:38Shot by Larkin, saved by Woll5v4
  52. P3 8:01Shot by Larkin, saved by Woll5v4
  53. P3 8:17Goal by Raymond (Seider, Larkin)5v40 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kane, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond · TOR Myers, Dewar, Benoit, Knies

  54. P3 10:25Shot by Larkin, saved by Woll
  55. P3 11:11Shot by Domi, saved by Lyon
  56. P3 12:08Goal by Edvinsson (Tarasenko, Compher)+1 pts WP

    On ice: DET Petry, Tarasenko, Compher, Berggren, Edvinsson · TOR Pacioretty, Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Marner, Benoit

  57. P3 15:55Shot by Dewar, saved by Lyon
  58. P3 19:54Shot by Compher, saved by Woll
  59. P3 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Final