Fri, Dec 27, 2024·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Detroit Red Wings 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 59% of the time.
50%
10%
8%
32%
DET winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 21:43 | 0.01 | 71.6% | 0.0 |
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 21:18 | 0.06 | 69.7% | 0.0 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:05 | 0.16 | 14.2% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:35 | 0.07 | 24.3% | +10.9 |
 Philippe MyersD · #51 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:31 | 0.02 | 63.8% | +12.7 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 5 | 19:25 | 0.51 | 65.9% | +26.8 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #95 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:10 | 0.04 | 40.0% | +3.2 |
 Chris TanevD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 18:02 | 0.00 | 73.3% | 0.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 17:02 | 0.00 | 70.4% | +23.6 |
 Simon BenoitD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:54 | 0.00 | 33.1% | 0.0 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:35 | 0.03 | 19.8% | 0.0 |
 Max PaciorettyLW · #67 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:37 | 0.04 | 77.8% | +3.2 |
 Bobby McMannC · #74 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:34 | 0.38 | 52.8% | +0.9 |
 Connor DewarC · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 12:34 | 0.34 | 91.0% | 0.0 |
 David KampfC · #64 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:31 | 0.29 | 83.6% | +13.9 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:42 | 0.35 | 60.0% | +0.9 |
 Steven LorentzC · #18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:03 | 0.02 | 84.1% | +13.9 |
 Nick RobertsonLW · #89 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:02 | 0.27 | 59.7% | +0.9 |
 Joseph Woll#60 | W | 25 | 23 | 2 | .920 | 3.08 | +1.1 | 60:00 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Moritz SeiderD · #53 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 22:20 | 0.16 | 24.3% | +0.3 |
 Jeff PetryD · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:50 | 0.08 | 31.1% | 0.0 |
 Simon EdvinssonD · #77 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 20:19 | 0.04 | 23.5% | +0.6 |
 Ben ChiarotD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:57 | 0.00 | 35.3% | 0.0 |
 Alex DeBrincatRW · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19:45 | 0.99 | 70.9% | 0.0 |
 Dylan LarkinC · #71 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 7 | 19:42 | 0.99 | 30.5% | +0.3 |
 Patrick KaneRW · #88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:30 | 0.03 | 65.7% | 0.0 |
 Lucas RaymondLW · #23 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −3 | 1 | 18:14 | 0.18 | 30.1% | +0.3 |
 Andrew CoppC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:19 | 0.13 | 67.5% | 0.0 |
 Justin HollD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:08 | 0.10 | 64.9% | 0.0 |
 Erik GustafssonD · #56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:18 | 0.09 | 79.2% | 0.0 |
 J.T. CompherLW · #37 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:35 | 0.09 | 67.4% | +0.6 |
 Michael RasmussenC · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:37 | 0.00 | 46.6% | 0.0 |
 Vladimir TarasenkoRW · #11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 12:38 | 0.13 | 34.4% | +0.6 |
 Jonatan BerggrenRW · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:02 | 0.00 | 30.7% | 0.0 |
 Marco KasperC · #92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:47 | 0.05 | 4.7% | 0.0 |
 Christian FischerRW · #36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:10 | 0.03 | 7.2% | 0.0 |
 Joseph VelenoC · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:02 | 0.00 | 11.2% | 0.0 |
 Alex Lyon#34 | – | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.000 | 0.30 | +0.3 | 20:00 |
 Cam Talbot#39 | L | 21 | 16 | 5 | .762 | 2.29 | −2.7 | 40:00 |