Fri, Dec 27, 2024·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Detroit Red Wings 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 59% of the time.
50%
10%
8%
32%
DET winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Nylander–Holmberg–Knies | Pacioretty–Tavares–Marner | Lorentz–Kampf–Dewar | Domi–Robertson–McMann | Pacioretty–Tavares–Nylander | Tanev–McCabe | Rielly–Myers | Ekman-Larsson–Benoit | Ekman-Larsson–Rielly | McCabe–Benoit | Rielly–Benoit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kane–Copp–DeBrincat | 1:430.25–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 3:290.00–0.00 | 3:250.23–0.17 | 2:020.08–0.13 | 2:550.15–0.00 | 3:280.02–0.04 | 1:340.07–0.02 | |||
| Tarasenko–Larkin–Raymond | 0:420.00–0.00 | 3:420.08–0.47 | 1:060.02–0.23 | 5:080.22–0.30 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:170.03–0.04 | |||||
| Compher–Rasmussen–Berggren | 3:160.07–0.03 | 1:070.00–0.01 | 1:060.00–0.00 | 2:380.00–0.00 | 1:130.07–0.04 | ||||||
| Fischer–Veleno–Kasper | 0:520.02–0.00 | 1:100.00–0.28 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 2:230.02–0.27 | |||||||
| Larkin–Veleno–Raymond | 1:570.00–0.03 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:340.07–0.00 | 2:000.00–0.00 | 0:580.07–0.00 | ||||||
| Fischer–Rasmussen–Kasper | 0:330.01–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Compher–Fischer–Rasmussen | 0:560.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.02 | 0:450.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Tarasenko–Compher–Berggren | 0:480.09–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Veleno–Berggren–Kasper | 0:590.00–0.26 | 0:570.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Fischer–Rasmussen–Berggren | 1:160.00–0.03 | ||||||||||
| Tarasenko–Compher–Kasper | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Petry–Edvinsson | 4:070.02–0.00 | 0:470.04–0.01 | 2:070.00–0.06 | 2:260.06–0.40 | 5:240.11–0.46 | 3:340.06–0.00 | 2:370.06–0.05 | 0:460.00–0.03 | 0:330.00–0.00 | ||
| Holl–Gustafsson | 3:440.16–0.06 | 1:530.00–0.00 | 2:180.00–0.02 | 2:500.25–0.00 | 2:480.10–0.02 | 3:550.00–0.00 | 3:100.08–0.03 | 1:250.07–0.02 | |||
| Chiarot–Seider | 1:520.02–0.00 | 3:560.05–0.21 | 1:250.07–0.27 | 1:060.00–0.00 | 3:220.05–0.08 | 3:020.06–0.27 | 2:350.07–0.00 | 1:200.03–0.04 | |||
| Petry–Chiarot | 1:240.15–0.00 | 1:380.00–0.28 | 2:250.15–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.02 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Seider–Edvinsson | 2:390.03–0.29 | 2:390.04–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.03 |
Every shift, one row per player.
DETTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Moritz SeiderDET | 26 | 22:20 | 0:52 | 1:41 | 3 | 4 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 26 | 21:43 | 0:50 | 2:05 | 6 | 3 |
 Jake McCabeTOR | 31 | 21:18 | 0:41 | 1:50 | 1 | 4 |
 Jeff PetryDET | 25 | 20:50 | 0:50 | 1:43 | 0 | 3 |
 Simon EdvinssonDET | 24 | 20:19 | 0:51 | 1:38 | 0 | 5 |
 Matthew KniesTOR | 23 | 20:05 | 0:52 | 1:25 | 6 | 1 |
 Ben ChiarotDET | 25 | 19:57 | 0:48 | 1:32 | 1 | 3 |
 Alex DeBrincatDET | 21 | 19:45 | 0:56 | 1:38 | 5 | 0 |
 Dylan LarkinDET | 22 | 19:42 | 0:54 | 1:37 | 2 | 1 |
 William NylanderTOR | 20 | 19:35 | 0:59 | 2:21 | 5 | 0 |
 Philippe MyersTOR | 23 | 19:31 | 0:51 | 1:37 | 5 | 3 |
 Patrick KaneDET | 21 | 19:30 | 0:56 | 1:37 | 4 | 0 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 26 | 19:25 | 0:45 | 1:20 | 4 | 4 |
 Lucas RaymondDET | 21 | 18:14 | 0:52 | 1:37 | 2 | 0 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR | 26 | 18:10 | 0:42 | 1:05 | 1 | 1 |
 Chris TanevTOR | 30 | 18:02 | 0:36 | 1:50 | 3 | 4 |
 John TavaresTOR | 21 | 17:02 | 0:49 | 1:32 | 3 | 0 |
 Simon BenoitTOR | 26 | 16:54 | 0:39 | 1:13 | 0 | 0 |
 Pontus HolmbergTOR | 21 | 16:35 | 0:47 | 1:14 | 5 | 0 |
 Andrew CoppDET | 20 | 16:19 | 0:49 | 1:17 | 3 | 2 |
 Justin HollDET | 21 | 16:08 | 0:46 | 1:21 | 1 | 3 |
 Erik GustafssonDET | 18 | 15:18 | 0:51 | 1:34 | 1 | 2 |
 Max PaciorettyTOR | 20 | 14:37 | 0:44 | 1:11 | 3 | 0 |
 J.T. CompherDET | 21 | 14:35 | 0:42 | 1:08 | 0 | 7 |
 Michael RasmussenDET | 19 | 13:37 | 0:43 | 1:03 | 1 | 6 |
 Bobby McMannTOR | 17 | 13:34 | 0:48 | 1:45 | 3 | 0 |
 Vladimir TarasenkoDET | 20 | 12:38 | 0:38 | 1:11 | 0 | 0 |
 Connor DewarTOR | 21 | 12:34 | 0:36 | 1:10 | 1 | 4 |
 David KampfTOR | 20 | 12:31 | 0:38 | 1:01 | 0 | 2 |
 Jonatan BerggrenDET | 16 | 12:02 | 0:45 | 1:29 | 1 | 4 |
 Marco KasperDET | 18 | 11:47 | 0:39 | 1:07 | 3 | 2 |
 Max DomiTOR | 15 | 11:42 | 0:47 | 1:42 | 3 | 0 |
 Christian FischerDET | 15 | 11:10 | 0:45 | 1:03 | 0 | 2 |
 Steven LorentzTOR | 19 | 11:03 | 0:35 | 1:02 | 1 | 1 |
 Joseph VelenoDET | 16 | 11:02 | 0:41 | 1:04 | 1 | 1 |
 Nick RobertsonTOR | 14 | 10:02 | 0:43 | 1:13 | 3 | 0 |