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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 31, 2024·Capital One Arena, Washington

Boston Bruins 1, Washington Capitals 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 70% of the time.

WSH winsBOS wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BOS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Marchand–Coyle–LindholmFrederic–Brazeau–KoepkePastrnak–Zacha–GeekieKastelic–Beecher–McLaughlinFrederic–Brazeau–BeecherPeeke–LohreiCarlo–WotherspoonZadorov–McAvoyWotherspoon–McAvoyMcAvoy–LohreiWotherspoon–PeekeCarlo–LohreiZadorov–PeekeCarlo–McAvoy
Wilson–Dubois–Protas8:300.30–0.400:360.00–0.060:470.17–0.000:370.04–0.002:500.14–0.232:220.00–0.150:570.10–0.031:040.00–0.141:410.24–0.030:420.00–0.000:400.00–0.10
Ovechkin–Strome–McMichael0:480.00–0.004:310.50–0.522:080.08–0.110:420.00–0.091:020.00–0.032:590.04–0.583:260.11–0.051:020.37–0.000:410.08–0.110:450.00–0.000:530.00–0.22
Dowd–Raddysh–Duhaime2:580.10–0.004:160.10–0.281:020.00–0.032:400.20–0.041:010.00–0.002:110.00–0.191:060.00–0.072:200.00–0.00
Eller–Mangiapane–Miroshnichenko0:440.00–0.201:430.27–0.164:140.00–0.032:290.27–0.201:290.00–0.151:410.00–0.030:420.00–0.001:230.00–0.03
Carlson–Sandin4:340.10–0.411:370.02–0.002:360.32–0.092:570.00–0.152:460.32–0.141:140.10–0.223:330.00–0.122:000.00–0.071:350.00–0.051:050.00–0.160:380.00–0.03
van Riemsdyk–Chychrun1:430.00–0.007:010.62–0.661:030.00–0.001:320.17–0.004:330.18–0.482:400.14–0.051:400.37–0.001:050.00–0.001:270.00–0.000:380.00–0.00
Roy–Fehérváry2:240.10–0.014:440.10–0.511:090.00–0.002:150.14–0.004:160.00–0.201:370.00–0.190:300.00–0.110:360.00–0.010:300.06–0.00
Roy–Sandin0:480.03–0.000:400.00–0.000:400.00–0.012:030.04–0.010:550.00–0.00
Carlson–Chychrun1:100.10–0.000:510.00–0.061:300.00–0.22
van Riemsdyk–Roy0:320.00–0.000:320.00–0.000:490.00–0.63
van Riemsdyk–Sandin0:420.00–0.000:420.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndProtas FWilson FDubois FMcMichael FOvechkin FStrome FEller FMiroshnichenko FMangiapane FDowd FRaddysh FDuhaime FSandin DCarlson DRoy DFehérváry Dvan Riemsdyk DChychrun DThompson GCoyle FLindholm FMarchand FGeekie FZacha FPastrnak FFrederic FBrazeau FKoepke FMcLaughlin FBeecher FKastelic FMcAvoy DZadorov DCarlo DWotherspoon DPeeke DLohrei DSwayman G
WSHBOSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

John CarlsonWSH2724:550:552:1338
Charlie McAvoyBOS2923:290:492:1264
Mason LohreiBOS2522:150:531:5463
Rasmus SandinWSH2421:290:541:4307
Parker WotherspoonBOS2921:280:441:3134
Jakob ChychrunWSH2220:530:571:3924
Elias LindholmBOS2820:180:441:5884
Matt RoyWSH2319:510:522:0512
David PastrnakBOS2519:170:461:5073
Andrew PeekeBOS2319:100:501:4534
Tom WilsonWSH2518:580:461:1934
Pavel ZachaBOS2818:460:401:1884
Trevor van RiemsdykWSH2118:070:521:4023
Brad MarchandBOS2417:570:451:2662
Aliaksei ProtasWSH2317:380:461:2634
Morgan GeekieBOS2217:130:471:1881
Charlie CoyleBOS2417:050:431:2654
Pierre-Luc DuboisWSH2516:480:401:1034
Brandon CarloBOS2416:420:421:0414
Dylan StromeWSH2316:150:421:1371
Alex OvechkinWSH2116:140:462:0051
Justin BrazeauBOS2016:040:481:1821
Nic DowdWSH2415:570:401:10010
Trent FredericBOS2115:360:451:1202
Brandon DuhaimeWSH2314:340:381:1509
Connor McMichaelWSH1814:250:481:4242
Martin FehérváryWSH1914:100:451:4223
Nikita ZadorovBOS2013:380:411:1372
Taylor RaddyshWSH1812:100:411:0906
Lars EllerWSH1311:580:551:1312
Cole KoepkeBOS1711:380:411:1010
Ivan MiroshnichenkoWSH1010:081:011:2911
Andrew MangiapaneWSH119:450:531:3512
John BeecherBOS169:440:371:0716
Mark KastelicBOS128:440:441:0813
Marc McLaughlinBOS128:310:431:1312