Tue, Dec 31, 2024·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Pittsburgh Penguins 2, Detroit Red Wings 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 72% of the time.
64%
9%
21%
DET winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Matt GrzelcykD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:37 | 0.00 | 37.8% | 0.0 |
 Marcus PetterssonD · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 21:36 | 0.03 | 79.9% | 0.0 |
 Sidney CrosbyC · #87 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 21:15 | 0.00 | 48.5% | +23.9 |
 Erik KarlssonD · #65 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21:06 | 0.12 | 37.6% | +23.9 |
 Pierre-Olivier JosephD · #73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:51 | 0.02 | 59.2% | 0.0 |
 Bryan RustRW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:52 | 0.33 | 50.1% | 0.0 |
 Evgeni MalkinC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:17 | 0.24 | 37.4% | 0.0 |
 Rickard RakellRW · #67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 17:25 | 0.57 | 48.5% | 0.0 |
 Michael BuntingLW · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:55 | 0.00 | 36.6% | 0.0 |
 Noel AcciariC · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:09 | 0.00 | 52.9% | 0.0 |
 Ryan GravesD · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:56 | 0.02 | 44.9% | 0.0 |
 Ryan SheaD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:28 | 0.01 | 26.0% | 0.0 |
 Drew O'ConnorLW · #10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 14:02 | 0.55 | 57.1% | +38.4 |
 Matt NietoLW · #83 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:55 | 0.07 | 85.2% | 0.0 |
 Philip TomasinoRW · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 13:29 | 0.11 | 58.4% | 0.0 |
 Blake LizotteC · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:38 | 0.00 | 85.2% | 0.0 |
 Anthony BeauvillierRW · #72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:25 | 0.27 | 40.0% | 0.0 |
 Cody GlassC · #19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:09 | 0.14 | 50.8% | +14.5 |
 Alex Nedeljkovic#39 | L | 24 | 21 | 3 | .875 | 2.93 | −0.1 | 58:33 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Moritz SeiderD · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 24:00 | 0.23 | 52.9% | 0.0 |
 Ben ChiarotD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 23:17 | 0.08 | 47.3% | 0.0 |
 Simon EdvinssonD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:32 | 0.04 | 50.8% | 0.0 |
 Jeff PetryD · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:52 | 0.00 | 58.0% | 0.0 |
 Dylan LarkinC · #71 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:53 | 1.24 | 63.1% | +2.5 |
 Lucas RaymondLW · #23 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 18:23 | 0.35 | 56.6% | +17.4 |
 J.T. CompherLW · #37 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 17:50 | 0.32 | 52.4% | +42.5 |
 Jonatan BerggrenRW · #48 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 16:00 | 0.08 | 46.7% | +42.5 |
 Vladimir TarasenkoRW · #11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:49 | 0.15 | 54.4% | +11.2 |
 Joseph VelenoC · #90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:06 | 0.24 | 65.8% | +2.5 |
 Alex DeBrincatRW · #93 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 14:37 | 0.21 | 32.8% | +14.9 |
 Patrick KaneRW · #88 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 14:27 | 0.09 | 35.7% | +14.9 |
 Justin HollD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:17 | 0.00 | 59.0% | 0.0 |
 Erik GustafssonD · #56 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:44 | 0.06 | 60.9% | +31.3 |
 Andrew CoppC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:38 | 0.17 | 32.7% | 0.0 |
 Tyler MotteC · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:30 | 0.00 | 77.0% | 0.0 |
 Michael RasmussenC · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:56 | 0.16 | 77.0% | 0.0 |
 Marco KasperC · #92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:36 | 0.25 | 70.2% | 0.0 |
 Alex Lyon#34 | W | 25 | 23 | 2 | .920 | 2.47 | +0.5 | 60:00 |