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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 31, 2024·Nationwide Arena, Columbus

Carolina Hurricanes 3, Columbus Blue Jackets 4 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 70% of the time.

CBJ winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CBJ forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Aho–Roslovic–JarvisNecas–Kotkaniemi–SvechnikovStaal–Martinook–CarrierJost–Robinson–BlakeBurns–SlavinOrlov–ChatfieldWalker–SmithOrlov–WalkerSlavin–Walker
Monahan–Marchenko–Voronkov6:200.31–0.150:410.00–0.003:220.23–0.075:570.12–0.204:170.35–0.02
Olivier–Johnson–Sillinger0:430.00–0.145:320.09–0.190:400.00–0.053:160.20–0.252:090.00–0.111:480.00–0.051:200.00–0.01
van Riemsdyk–Aston-Reese–Fantilli1:500.00–0.382:040.01–0.021:560.02–0.081:290.00–0.001:250.01–0.372:540.00–0.021:380.02–0.111:120.01–0.00
Kuraly–Pyyhtia–Sillinger1:490.00–0.020:490.00–0.011:310.00–0.020:330.00–0.000:420.00–0.01
Kuraly–Olivier–Pyyhtia0:440.00–0.001:280.00–0.01
Marchenko–Voronkov–Fantilli1:100.00–0.011:110.00–0.01
Kuraly–Olivier–Aston-Reese0:550.00–0.41
Marchenko–Johnson–Sillinger0:310.00–0.010:300.00–0.04
Werenski–Fabbro5:530.22–0.396:030.10–0.203:130.13–0.068:340.26–0.564:520.25–0.492:370.02–0.080:400.00–0.00
Provorov–Mateychuk3:050.09–0.272:520.05–0.001:030.19–0.040:520.00–0.002:470.01–0.303:230.24–0.011:320.00–0.001:050.00–0.000:340.00–0.00
Johnson–Severson2:550.02–0.083:160.00–0.011:180.00–0.292:450.00–0.001:540.00–0.01
Severson–Christiansen2:000.00–0.040:360.00–0.001:130.00–0.021:170.00–0.000:350.00–0.000:350.00–0.04
Provorov–Fabbro0:460.00–0.001:150.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:540.00–0.00
Werenski–Provorov0:410.00–0.030:320.00–0.00
Severson–Werenski0:360.00–0.04
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndFantilli Fvan Riemsdyk FAston-Reese FMarchenko FMonahan FVoronkov FSillinger FJohnson FOlivier FPyyhtia FKuraly FJohnson DSeverson DFabbro DWerenski DProvorov DMateychuk DChristiansen DMerzlikins GStaal FCarrier FMartinook FAho FJarvis FRoslovic FSvechnikov FKotkaniemi FNecas FBlake FJost FRobinson FChatfield DOrlov DBurns DSlavin DWalker DSmith DKochetkov G
CBJCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Zach WerenskiCBJ3030:071:002:0284
Jaccob SlavinCAR3026:050:521:3726
Sebastian AhoCAR2625:330:592:1161
Brent BurnsCAR3224:530:471:2565
Dmitry OrlovCAR2823:370:511:3555
Dante FabbroCBJ2323:361:022:1034
Sean MonahanCBJ2923:290:491:3649
Kirill MarchenkoCBJ2623:100:531:4232
Cole SillingerCBJ2822:180:481:1042
Ivan ProvorovCBJ2522:160:533:0522
Seth JarvisCAR2521:540:532:1161
Dmitri VoronkovCBJ2121:131:011:3453
Martin NecasCAR2120:591:001:5252
Jalen ChatfieldCAR2620:090:471:4845
Andrei SvechnikovCAR2019:460:591:5242
Kent JohnsonCBJ2117:370:502:0241
Zachary Aston-ReeseCBJ2217:140:471:3664
Mathieu OlivierCBJ2216:350:451:4122
Jordan StaalCAR2816:250:351:5419
Jack RoslovicCAR1815:370:521:4650
Jordan MartinookCAR2415:120:381:0727
Damon SeversonCBJ1714:560:531:2524
Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR1814:550:501:1741
Sean WalkerCAR1914:150:451:2271
Denton MateychukCBJ1913:560:441:3321
Adam FantilliCBJ1713:400:481:3540
Ty SmithCAR1512:290:501:4270
Jack JohnsonCBJ1612:250:471:3618
Sean KuralyCBJ1411:180:481:2916
William CarrierCAR1911:060:350:5523
James van RiemsdykCBJ1410:370:461:4030
Jackson BlakeCAR129:230:471:1670
Mikael PyyhtiaCBJ148:530:381:1615
Tyson JostCAR128:040:401:0460
Eric RobinsonCAR107:490:471:0440
Jake ChristiansenCBJ44:161:041:2400