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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 2, 2025·Ball Arena, Denver

Buffalo Sabres 5, Colorado Avalanche 6 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 68% of the time.

COL winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:51Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Luukkonen
  3. P1 4:13Shot by Bryson, saved by Wedgewood
  4. P1 5:00Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Luukkonen
  5. P1 5:43Shot by McLeod, saved by Wedgewood
  6. P1 5:54Shot by Thompson, saved by Wedgewood
  7. P1 6:29Shot by Olausson, saved by Luukkonen
  8. P1 7:13Shot by Middleton, saved by Luukkonen
  9. P1 7:52Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Luukkonen
  10. P1 8:45Shot by McLeod, saved by Wedgewood
  11. P1 8:50Shot by Dahlin, saved by Wedgewood
  12. P1 10:18Shot by Toews, saved by Luukkonen
  13. P1 12:18Manson: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Manson, Middleton, Mittelstadt, O'Connor, Kiviranta · BUF Tuch, Samuelsson, Quinn, Power, Kulich

  14. P1 12:47Shot by Peterka, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  15. P1 13:06Shot by Thompson, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  16. P1 13:17Goal by Zucker (Quinn, Thompson)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, Toews, Makar, Kelly · BUF Zucker, Thompson, Dahlin, Quinn, Peterka

  17. P1 15:29Shot by Olausson, saved by Luukkonen
  18. P1 16:07Shot by Colton, saved by Luukkonen
  19. P1 17:10Goal by Byram (Zucker, Cozens)+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Manson, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Middleton · BUF Zucker, Thompson, Byram, Cozens, Power

  20. P1 19:42Shot by Manson, saved by Luukkonen
  21. P1 19:59Shot by Power, saved by Wedgewood
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 1:01Shot by Kulich, saved by Wedgewood
  25. P2 1:44Shot by Malinski, saved by Luukkonen
  26. P2 2:36Shot by Thompson, saved by Wedgewood
  27. P2 2:54Shot by Cozens, saved by Wedgewood
  28. P2 4:18Shot by Drouin, saved by Luukkonen
  29. P2 5:16Shot by McLeod, saved by Wedgewood
  30. P2 7:58Shot by Peterka, saved by Wedgewood
  31. P2 9:05Shot by Girard, saved by Luukkonen
  32. P2 9:20Shot by Toews, saved by Luukkonen
  33. P2 10:12Colton: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Colton, Mittelstadt, Makar, O'Connor, Malinski · BUF Zucker, Tuch, Samuelsson, Cozens, Power

  34. P2 10:51Shot by Thompson, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  35. P2 11:08Goal by Zucker (Thompson, Dahlin)4v5+8 pts WP

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, Toews, Makar, Kiviranta · BUF Zucker, Thompson, Dahlin, Quinn, Peterka

  36. P2 11:59Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Luukkonen
  37. P2 14:15Shot by Makar, saved by Luukkonen
  38. P2 14:30Shot by Rantanen, saved by Luukkonen
  39. P2 14:58Goal by Makar (Drouin, Toews)+8 pts WP

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Drouin, Toews, Rantanen, Makar · BUF Zucker, Thompson, Samuelsson, Cozens, Power

  40. P2 17:03Benson: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Toews, Girard, Colton, Kiviranta · BUF Samuelsson, Byram, Peterka, Kulich, Benson

  41. P2 18:36Shot by Makar, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  42. P2 0:00Period end
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 1:05Goal by Colton (Girard)+16 pts WP

    On ice: COL Manson, Lehkonen, Girard, Colton, Mittelstadt · BUF Tuch, Samuelsson, Quinn, Power, Kulich

  45. P3 1:27Goal by Benson (Krebs, Peterka)+18 pts WP

    On ice: COL Manson, Girard, Kelly, O'Connor, Kiviranta · BUF Clifton, Bryson, Krebs, Peterka, Benson

  46. P3 1:27Innala: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge (2 min)

    On ice: COL Manson, Girard, Kelly, O'Connor, Kiviranta · BUF Clifton, Bryson, Krebs, Peterka, Benson

  47. P3 3:02Shot by O'Connor, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  48. P3 3:04Tuch: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: COL Manson, Girard, Kelly, O'Connor · BUF Tuch, Cozens, Power, Kulich, Benson

  49. P3 3:19Cozens: Tripping (2 min)4v4

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Makar · BUF Thompson, Dahlin, Byram, Cozens

  50. P3 3:42Shot by Makar, saved by Luukkonen5v3
  51. P3 3:45Clifton: Cross checking (2 min)5v3

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Drouin, Rantanen, Makar · BUF Clifton, McLeod, Samuelsson

  52. P3 3:45Lehkonen: Roughing (2 min)5v3

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Drouin, Rantanen, Makar · BUF Clifton, McLeod, Samuelsson

  53. P3 3:47Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Luukkonen5v3
  54. P3 4:17Goal by Rantanen (MacKinnon, Mittelstadt)5v3+16 pts WP

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Drouin, Rantanen, Mittelstadt, Makar · BUF McLeod, Samuelsson, Byram

  55. P3 4:20Shot by Power, saved by Blackwood5v4
  56. P3 7:22Shot by Rantanen, saved by Luukkonen
  57. P3 16:06Shot by Zucker, saved by Blackwood
  58. P3 16:09Goal by Zucker (Thompson)+10 pts WP

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Drouin, Toews, Rantanen, Middleton · BUF Zucker, Thompson, Samuelsson, Cozens, Power

  59. P3 16:45Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Luukkonen6v5
  60. P3 17:17Shot by Toews, saved by Luukkonen6v5
  61. P3 17:34Goal by Makar (MacKinnon, Toews)6v5+8 pts WP

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Drouin, Toews, Rantanen, Makar · BUF Thompson, Dahlin, Krebs, Byram, Cozens

  62. P3 19:52Goal by Drouin (MacKinnon, Rantanen)6v5+51 pts WP

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Drouin, Toews, Rantanen, Makar · BUF Tuch, Malenstyn, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Cozens

  63. P3 0:00Period end
  64. OT 0:00Period start
  65. OT 0:48Goal by Toews, unassisted3v3+46 pts WP

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Drouin, Toews · BUF Thompson, Cozens, Power

  66. OT 0:48Period end3v3
  67. OT 0:48Final4v4