Thu, Jan 2, 2025·Ball Arena, Denver
Buffalo Sabres 5, Colorado Avalanche 6 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 68% of the time.
59%
9%
24%
COL winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
COL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Zucker–Thompson–Cozens | Tuch–Quinn–Kulich | Lafferty–Malenstyn–McLeod | Krebs–Peterka–Benson | Tuch–Malenstyn–Kulich | McLeod–Peterka–Benson | Samuelsson–Power | Dahlin–Byram | Clifton–Bryson | Samuelsson–Dahlin | Clifton–Samuelsson | Bryson–Byram | Clifton–Byram | Bryson–Power | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly–O'Connor–Kiviranta | 1:450.07–0.00 | 1:370.00–0.02 | 1:440.01–0.54 | 1:280.00–0.04 | 3:170.03–0.33 | 0:450.00–0.02 | 2:010.01–0.26 | |||||||
| MacKinnon–Drouin–Rantanen | 2:100.09–0.41 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 2:210.20–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 3:050.18–0.41 | 2:450.11–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Lehkonen–MacKinnon–Rantanen | 4:510.01–0.20 | 1:230.12–0.06 | 1:150.08–0.06 | 5:330.02–0.08 | ||||||||||
| Drouin–Colton–Mittelstadt | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:200.01–0.00 | 0:340.03–0.00 | 1:170.00–0.00 | 1:510.06–0.00 | 2:250.15–0.00 | ||||||||
| Lehkonen–Colton–Mittelstadt | 2:060.02–0.00 | 0:430.16–0.00 | 0:390.18–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 2:260.18–0.00 | 1:340.18–0.00 | ||||||||
| Parssinen–Olausson–Innala | 2:030.11–0.00 | 1:410.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:250.11–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.00 | 1:180.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Lehkonen–Mittelstadt–Olausson | 1:040.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Toews–Makar | 7:250.16–0.07 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 2:090.24–0.00 | 1:240.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 4:420.15–0.00 | 7:070.21–0.07 | 1:060.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Manson–Girard | 1:280.13–0.00 | 2:350.27–0.02 | 0:330.00–0.32 | 1:060.00–0.04 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:380.02–0.00 | 5:050.27–0.35 | 1:160.08–0.02 | 0:580.00–0.08 | 0:390.02–0.00 | ||||
| Middleton–Malinski | 0:500.01–0.00 | 1:430.01–0.22 | 1:340.00–0.00 | 1:360.06–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 2:180.01–0.22 | ||||||||
| Girard–Malinski | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:460.00–0.00 | 0:490.09–0.00 | 1:550.09–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 0:430.12–0.00 | ||||||||
| Manson–Middleton | 0:310.00–0.13 | 1:090.00–0.00 | 1:070.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:270.00–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Toews–Girard | 1:180.05–0.00 | 0:310.08–0.00 | 0:460.02–0.00 | 0:570.11–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Manson–Malinski | 0:300.00–0.05 | 0:480.00–0.05 | ||||||||||||
| Girard–Makar | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Makar–Malinski | 0:350.00–0.04 | 0:350.08–0.06 | ||||||||||||
| Manson–Toews | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Manson–Makar | 0:510.01–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Toews–Malinski | 0:470.04–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
COLBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Cale MakarCOL | 29 | 28:17 | 0:59 | 3:43 | 9 | 3 |
 Devon ToewsCOL | 32 | 27:14 | 0:51 | 3:58 | 9 | 2 |
 Nathan MacKinnonCOL | 27 | 26:16 | 0:58 | 3:50 | 7 | 1 |
 Mikko RantanenCOL | 26 | 25:34 | 0:59 | 3:50 | 8 | 1 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 31 | 24:27 | 0:47 | 1:24 | 1 | 4 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 33 | 23:17 | 0:42 | 2:32 | 5 | 7 |
 Jonathan DrouinCOL | 24 | 22:46 | 0:57 | 3:59 | 4 | 0 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 30 | 22:06 | 0:44 | 1:24 | 1 | 1 |
 Artturi LehkonenCOL | 28 | 22:01 | 0:47 | 2:04 | 6 | 3 |
 Bowen ByramBUF | 32 | 21:15 | 0:40 | 2:05 | 3 | 7 |
 Samuel GirardCOL | 31 | 20:32 | 0:40 | 1:18 | 3 | 3 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 29 | 19:43 | 0:41 | 1:24 | 3 | 5 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 27 | 19:24 | 0:43 | 1:50 | 3 | 3 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 27 | 18:52 | 0:42 | 1:24 | 1 | 3 |
 Jason ZuckerBUF | 24 | 18:14 | 0:46 | 1:46 | 2 | 3 |
 Josh MansonCOL | 25 | 17:59 | 0:43 | 1:22 | 0 | 3 |
 Casey MittelstadtCOL | 23 | 17:29 | 0:46 | 1:41 | 3 | 0 |
 Jiri KulichBUF | 22 | 16:36 | 0:45 | 1:26 | 2 | 0 |
 Beck MalenstynBUF | 21 | 15:59 | 0:46 | 1:24 | 0 | 3 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 20 | 15:22 | 0:46 | 1:23 | 4 | 0 |
 Ryan McLeodBUF | 20 | 15:17 | 0:46 | 1:12 | 0 | 4 |
 Ross ColtonCOL | 22 | 14:24 | 0:39 | 1:12 | 3 | 0 |
 Sam MalinskiCOL | 21 | 13:42 | 0:39 | 1:17 | 1 | 0 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 18 | 13:20 | 0:44 | 1:15 | 0 | 0 |
 Connor CliftonBUF | 17 | 12:59 | 0:46 | 1:21 | 0 | 4 |
 Parker KellyCOL | 19 | 12:13 | 0:39 | 1:12 | 1 | 3 |
 JJ PeterkaBUF | 15 | 11:53 | 0:48 | 1:39 | 3 | 1 |
 Logan O'ConnorCOL | 18 | 10:47 | 0:36 | 1:12 | 1 | 1 |
 Joel KivirantaCOL | 21 | 10:39 | 0:30 | 0:59 | 1 | 2 |
 Sam LaffertyBUF | 16 | 10:11 | 0:38 | 1:04 | 0 | 2 |
 Keaton MiddletonCOL | 16 | 9:41 | 0:36 | 1:04 | 1 | 0 |
 Zach BensonBUF | 15 | 9:34 | 0:38 | 1:35 | 1 | 2 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 18 | 8:42 | 0:29 | 0:53 | 1 | 3 |
 Oskar OlaussonCOL | 9 | 7:57 | 0:53 | 1:04 | 1 | 1 |
 Jere InnalaCOL | 11 | 7:06 | 0:39 | 0:54 | 2 | 1 |
 Juuso ParssinenCOL | 10 | 7:01 | 0:42 | 1:24 | 3 | 1 |