Thu, Jan 2, 2025·Ball Arena, Denver
Buffalo Sabres 5, Colorado Avalanche 6 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 68% of the time.
59%
9%
24%
COL winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 24:27 | 0.00 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 23:17 | 0.11 | 17.9% | +7.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:06 | 0.03 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:15 | 0.13 | 34.0% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | −1 | 4 | 19:43 | 0.45 | 65.7% | +34.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:24 | 0.04 | 14.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 18:52 | 0.02 | 65.2% | +14.5 | |
| 3 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 4 | 18:14 | 0.66 | 65.2% | +48.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:36 | 0.02 | 12.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:59 | 0.17 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 15:22 | 0.00 | 16.7% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:17 | 0.44 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:20 | 0.00 | 58.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:59 | 0.00 | 59.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:53 | 0.09 | 38.9% | +18.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:11 | 0.00 | 52.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:34 | 0.06 | 88.1% | +18.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8:42 | 0.00 | 59.5% | +18.1 |
| O | 29 | 23 | 6 | .793 | 3.27 | −2.7 | 60:48 |
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 5 | 28:17 | 0.47 | 73.4% | +15.7 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 4 | 27:14 | 0.43 | 54.1% | +61.8 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 26:16 | 0.58 | 41.0% | +75.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 25:34 | 0.37 | 42.7% | +67.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 22:46 | 0.20 | 56.3% | +59.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 22:01 | 0.00 | 65.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:32 | 0.11 | 64.9% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:59 | 0.05 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:29 | 0.24 | 94.2% | +16.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:24 | 0.35 | 91.4% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:42 | 0.03 | 55.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:13 | 0.00 | 17.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:47 | 0.17 | 16.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:39 | 0.00 | 11.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 9:41 | 0.02 | 9.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:57 | 0.10 | 85.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:06 | 0.14 | 100.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:01 | 0.00 | 78.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 0.51 | −0.5 | 16:12 | |
| – | 18 | 14 | 4 | .778 | 1.72 | −2.3 | 41:27 |