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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 4, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Boston Bruins 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 6

Away

Boston Bruins

4

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 75% of the time.

TOR winsBOS wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:22Shot by Matthews, saved by Swayman
  3. P1 0:52Shot by Myers, saved by Swayman
  4. P1 1:09Shot by Tavares, saved by Swayman
  5. P1 1:22Shot by Robertson, saved by Swayman
  6. P1 1:50Shot by Beecher, saved by Woll
  7. P1 2:03Shot by Zadorov, saved by Woll
  8. P1 2:50Shot by Lohrei, saved by Woll
  9. P1 3:29Goal by McCabe (Marner, Tanev)+10 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tanev, McCabe, Marner, Matthews, Knies · BOS Marchand, Lindholm, Pastrnak, Peeke, Lohrei

  10. P1 4:22Shot by Frederic, saved by Woll
  11. P1 4:40Shot by Wahlstrom, saved by Woll
  12. P1 4:56Shot by Knies, saved by Swayman
  13. P1 9:15Shot by Coyle, saved by Woll
  14. P1 10:35Shot by Marchand, saved by Woll
  15. P1 10:50Shot by Marner, saved by Swayman
  16. P1 12:04Shot by Knies, saved by Swayman
  17. P1 12:12Knies: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tanev, McCabe, Marner, Matthews, Knies · BOS Marchand, Lindholm, Zadorov, Pastrnak, McAvoy

  18. P1 14:58Shot by Nylander, saved by Swayman
  19. P1 15:24Shot by Frederic, saved by Woll
  20. P1 17:42Shot by Benoit, saved by Swayman
  21. P1 17:55Shot by Myers, saved by Swayman
  22. P1 19:13Shot by Peeke, saved by Woll
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:33Shot by Marchand, saved by Woll
  26. P2 3:24Shot by Marchand, saved by Woll
  27. P2 3:37Goal by Knies (Matthews, Marner)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Marner, Matthews, Benoit, Knies · BOS Marchand, Lindholm, Zadorov, Pastrnak, McAvoy

  28. P2 3:46Shot by Coyle, saved by Woll
  29. P2 3:49Goal by Geekie (Zacha, Coyle)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Pacioretty, Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Benoit · BOS Coyle, Oesterle, Zacha, Carlo, Geekie

  30. P2 4:30Shot by Brazeau, saved by Woll
  31. P2 4:41Shot by McMann, saved by Swayman
  32. P2 5:00Shot by McCabe, saved by Swayman
  33. P2 8:07Shot by McMann, saved by Swayman
  34. P2 8:25Shot by Matthews, saved by Swayman
  35. P2 9:31Shot by Knies, saved by Swayman
  36. P2 9:42Shot by Lohrei, saved by Woll
  37. P2 10:00Shot by Benoit, saved by Swayman
  38. P2 13:09Shot by Kastelic, saved by Woll
  39. P2 14:21Shot by Wahlstrom, saved by Woll
  40. P2 15:09Shot by Tavares, saved by Swayman
  41. P2 15:15Nylander: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Pacioretty, Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Benoit · BOS Pastrnak, Zacha, Peeke, Geekie, Lohrei

  42. P2 15:35Lindholm: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Tanev, McCabe, Marner, Kampf · BOS Marchand, Lindholm, Pastrnak, Zacha, McAvoy

  43. P2 17:19Shot by Nylander, saved by Swayman5v4
  44. P2 18:44Goal by Frederic (McAvoy)+22 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Domi, Myers, Robertson, McMann · BOS Zadorov, McAvoy, Frederic, Brazeau, Geekie

  45. P2 19:17Shot by Brazeau, saved by Woll
  46. P2 19:38Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Woll
  47. P2 19:51Shot by Marner, saved by Swayman
  48. P2 19:58Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Woll
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:16Shot by McCabe, saved by Swayman
  52. P3 2:25Shot by Carlo, saved by Woll
  53. P3 3:43Goal by Knies (Tavares, Marner)+25 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Tanev, McCabe, Nylander, Knies · BOS Oesterle, Pastrnak, Zacha, Carlo, Geekie

  54. P3 4:17Goal by Pastrnak, unassisted+25 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Pacioretty, Tavares, Tanev, McCabe, Nylander · BOS Pastrnak, Zacha, Peeke, Geekie, Lohrei

  55. P3 5:28Goal by Knies (Matthews, McCabe)+26 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tanev, McCabe, Marner, Matthews, Knies · BOS Zadorov, Pastrnak, Zacha, McAvoy, Geekie

  56. P3 6:35Shot by Peeke, saved by Woll
  57. P3 8:12Shot by Nylander, saved by Swayman
  58. P3 10:59Geekie: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Domi, Benoit, Robertson, McMann · BOS Oesterle, Pastrnak, Zacha, Carlo, Geekie

  59. P3 11:04Shot by Matthews, saved by Swayman5v4
  60. P3 11:35Shot by Matthews, saved by Swayman5v4
  61. P3 16:22Shot by Oesterle, saved by Woll
  62. P3 16:50Shot by McAvoy, saved by Woll
  63. P3 16:57Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Woll
  64. P3 17:55Goal by Marner (Knies)5v6+6 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tanev, McCabe, Marner, Matthews, Knies · BOS Marchand, Lindholm, Pastrnak, Zacha, McAvoy, Lohrei

  65. P3 18:06Shot by Marchand, saved by Woll5v6
  66. P3 18:10Goal by Pastrnak (Zacha, Marchand)5v6+5 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Tanev, McCabe, Nylander, Kampf · BOS Marchand, Lindholm, Pastrnak, Zacha, McAvoy, Lohrei

  67. P3 18:34Shot by Marchand, saved by Woll
  68. P3 19:19Shot by Lindholm, saved by Woll5v6
  69. P3 19:29Goal by Matthews (Marner, Knies)5v6+4 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, McCabe, Marner, Matthews, Knies · BOS Marchand, Lindholm, Pastrnak, Zacha, McAvoy, Lohrei

  70. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  71. P3 0:00Final5v6