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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 4, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Boston Bruins 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 75% of the time.

TOR winsBOS wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BOS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Frederic–Brazeau–WahlstromMarchand–Lindholm–PastrnakKastelic–Koepke–BeecherCoyle–Zacha–GeekiePastrnak–Zacha–GeekieMarchand–Coyle–LindholmZadorov–McAvoyOesterle–CarloPeeke–LohreiZadorov–PeekeZadorov–CarloMcAvoy–Lohrei
Marner–Matthews–Knies5:470.41–0.070:500.17–0.022:410.02–0.065:500.56–0.051:530.04–0.062:360.15–0.040:450.00–0.02
Pacioretty–Tavares–Nylander2:140.00–0.071:520.06–0.042:450.19–0.152:090.15–0.100:330.00–0.002:420.04–0.084:410.19–0.191:230.15–0.100:370.06–0.000:460.00–0.00
Domi–Robertson–McMann3:380.15–0.180:550.00–0.000:400.06–0.001:120.00–0.043:090.08–0.180:540.00–0.074:070.28–0.11
Lorentz–Kampf–Dewar0:340.11–0.002:480.00–0.001:440.00–0.191:230.11–0.002:290.00–0.002:360.00–0.01
Marner–Kampf–Knies0:330.00–0.08
Tanev–McCabe1:380.02–0.004:330.34–0.071:150.00–0.361:380.14–0.002:120.28–0.111:090.02–0.046:060.51–0.542:570.13–0.094:400.15–0.140:330.00–0.001:160.00–0.02
Rielly–Myers3:520.22–0.230:520.00–0.002:290.01–0.042:220.19–0.000:490.00–0.024:480.22–0.214:020.20–0.084:340.10–0.17
Ekman-Larsson–Benoit1:110.00–0.111:330.09–0.001:570.00–0.002:030.00–0.341:560.17–0.091:260.00–0.004:210.08–0.074:370.02–0.212:390.31–0.010:320.00–0.11
Ekman-Larsson–Rielly0:390.06–0.000:460.00–0.070:390.06–0.00
Rielly–Benoit0:300.00–0.00
Rielly–McCabe0:380.00–0.000:370.00–0.06
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMarner FKnies FMatthews FTavares FNylander FPacioretty FRobertson FMcMann FDomi FDewar FKampf FLorentz FTanev DMcCabe DRielly DMyers DBenoit DEkman-Larsson DWoll GLindholm FMarchand FPastrnak FCoyle FZacha FGeekie FFrederic FKastelic FBrazeau FBeecher FWahlstrom FKoepke FMcAvoy DZadorov DCarlo DOesterle DPeeke DLohrei DSwayman G
TORBOSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Charlie McAvoyBOS2925:000:522:0361
Nikita ZadorovBOS2922:530:471:2764
Mitch MarnerTOR2822:420:491:5025
Morgan RiellyTOR2821:510:471:1840
David PastrnakBOS2621:370:501:2870
Jake McCabeTOR3621:320:361:2818
Chris TanevTOR3621:070:351:2618
Pavel ZachaBOS2419:580:501:3650
Matthew KniesTOR2718:520:421:2524
Brad MarchandBOS2318:300:481:2850
Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR2718:090:401:2122
Simon BenoitTOR2918:030:371:3314
Mason LohreiBOS2318:030:471:2850
Andrew PeekeBOS2317:580:471:0820
Brandon CarloBOS2517:420:421:3503
Auston MatthewsTOR2517:320:421:5034
Philippe MyersTOR2717:320:391:1522
Elias LindholmBOS2417:100:431:1651
William NylanderTOR2116:500:481:5023
John TavaresTOR2116:320:471:1323
Jordan OesterleBOS2416:250:411:2702
Morgan GeekieBOS2316:090:421:2460
Trent FredericBOS2215:020:411:0230
Charlie CoyleBOS2314:460:391:2731
Bobby McMannTOR1814:300:481:2811
David KampfTOR2214:090:391:1304
Max DomiTOR1713:280:481:1831
Max PaciorettyTOR1712:440:451:2222
Oliver WahlstromBOS1912:370:401:0730
Justin BrazeauBOS1912:350:401:0431
Nick RobertsonTOR1711:200:401:2410
John BeecherBOS1411:160:480:5703
Mark KastelicBOS1510:580:441:0605
Connor DewarTOR159:340:380:5400
Steven LorentzTOR159:330:380:5701
Cole KoepkeBOS149:220:400:5703