Sat, Jan 4, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Boston Bruins 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 75% of the time.
68%
18%
TOR winsBOS wins
Boston Bruins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 25:00 | 0.01 | 56.7% | +22.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:53 | 0.04 | 51.2% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | −4 | 5 | 21:37 | 0.32 | 30.0% | +30.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 0 | 19:58 | 0.05 | 43.4% | +18.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 5 | 18:30 | 0.36 | 31.7% | +5.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:03 | 0.01 | 36.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:58 | 0.02 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:42 | 0.08 | 65.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 17:10 | 0.07 | 21.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:25 | 0.04 | 61.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:09 | 0.22 | 50.3% | +12.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:02 | 0.25 | 64.3% | +22.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:46 | 0.20 | 56.7% | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:37 | 0.17 | 58.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 12:35 | 0.16 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:16 | 0.06 | 83.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:58 | 0.15 | 67.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:22 | 0.22 | 87.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 27 | 23 | 4 | .852 | 2.08 | −1.9 | 57:59 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 4 | 5 | +5 | 3 | 22:42 | 1.12 | 63.3% | +58.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:51 | 0.03 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 21:32 | 0.13 | 48.7% | +35.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 21:07 | 0.02 | 50.9% | +9.9 | |
| 3 | 2 | 5 | +6 | 6 | 18:52 | 0.57 | 56.2% | +74.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:09 | 0.00 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:03 | 0.04 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 5 | 17:32 | 1.04 | 58.8% | +42.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:32 | 0.02 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 16:50 | 0.10 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 16:32 | 0.15 | 51.2% | +25.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:30 | 0.14 | 37.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:09 | 0.00 | 17.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:28 | 0.04 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:44 | 0.21 | 54.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:20 | 0.14 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:34 | 0.11 | 30.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:33 | 0.00 | 25.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 27 | 4 | .871 | 2.41 | −1.6 | 60:00 |