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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 4, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Boston Bruins 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 75% of the time.

TOR winsBOS wins

Boston Bruins

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Charlie McAvoyD · #73011−2125:000.0156.7%+22.3
Nikita ZadorovD · #91000−1122:530.0451.2%0.0
David PastrnakRW · #88202−4521:370.3230.0%+30.4
Pavel ZachaC · #18022−1019:580.0543.4%+18.0
Brad MarchandLW · #63011−3518:300.3631.7%+5.2
Mason LohreiD · #6000−1218:030.0136.5%0.0
Andrew PeekeD · #520000217:580.0240.1%0.0
Brandon CarloD · #250000117:420.0865.7%0.0
Elias LindholmC · #28000−3117:100.0721.1%0.0
Jordan OesterleD · #820000116:250.0461.4%0.0
Morgan GeekieC · #39101+1116:090.2250.3%+12.8
Trent FredericC · #11101+1315:020.2564.3%+22.3
Charlie CoyleC · #13011+1214:460.2056.7%+12.8
Oliver WahlstromRW · #710000212:370.1758.3%0.0
Justin BrazeauRW · #55000+1212:350.1661.2%0.0
John BeecherC · #190000111:160.0683.6%0.0
Mark KastelicC · #470000110:580.1567.4%0.0
Cole KoepkeLW · #45000009:220.2287.2%0.0
Jeremy Swayman#1L27234.8522.08−1.957:59

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Mitch MarnerRW · #16145+5322:421.1263.3%+58.0
Morgan RiellyD · #440000021:510.0349.9%0.0
Jake McCabeD · #22112+3321:320.1348.7%+35.9
Chris TanevD · #8011+2021:070.0250.9%+9.9
Matthew KniesLW · #23325+6618:520.5756.2%+74.1
Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #950000018:090.0040.8%0.0
Simon BenoitD · #20000218:030.0440.1%0.0
Auston MatthewsC · #34123+5517:321.0458.8%+42.6
Philippe MyersD · #51000−1217:320.0253.9%0.0
William NylanderRW · #88000−2316:500.1038.9%0.0
John TavaresC · #91011−2216:320.1551.2%+25.0
Bobby McMannC · #74000−1214:300.1437.2%0.0
David KampfC · #64000−1014:090.0017.9%0.0
Max DomiC · #11000−1013:280.0447.3%0.0
Max PaciorettyLW · #67000−2012:440.2154.8%0.0
Nick RobertsonLW · #89000−1111:200.1446.7%0.0
Connor DewarC · #24000009:340.1130.4%0.0
Steven LorentzC · #18000009:330.0025.9%0.0
Joseph Woll#60W31274.8712.41−1.660:00