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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 7, 2025·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Philadelphia Flyers 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 82% of the time.

PHI winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:52Shot by Michkov, saved by Woll
  3. P1 4:47Farabee: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Couturier, Hathaway, Farabee, Zamula · TOR Marner, Timmins, Kampf, Dewar, Benoit

  4. P1 4:47Dewar: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Couturier, Hathaway, Farabee, Zamula · TOR Marner, Timmins, Kampf, Dewar, Benoit

  5. P1 5:17Shot by Hathaway, saved by Woll
  6. P1 8:01Shot by Konecny, saved by Woll
  7. P1 8:19Goal by Konecny (Couturier, York)+11 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Couturier, Hathaway, Sanheim, Konecny, York · TOR Reaves, Timmins, Kampf, Benoit, McMann

  8. P1 9:35Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Woll
  9. P1 10:55Drysdale: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Couturier, Hathaway, Tippett, Drysdale · TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Tanev, Nylander, McMann

  10. P1 14:22Shot by Domi, saved by Fedotov
  11. P1 15:04Shot by Michkov, saved by Woll
  12. P1 15:04Shot by Michkov, saved by Woll
  13. P1 16:07Shot by Tippett, saved by Woll
  14. P1 16:22Tippett: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Konecny, Tippett, Poehling, Drysdale · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Myers, McMann

  15. P1 16:36Shot by Laughton, saved by Woll4v5
  16. P1 18:50Shot by Frost, saved by Woll
  17. P1 19:31Shot by Marner, saved by Fedotov
  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 0:24York: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Laughton, Sanheim, Frost, York, Michkov · TOR Pacioretty, Rielly, Domi, Lorentz, Myers

  21. P2 1:19Goal by Tavares (Matthews, Marner)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Laughton, Ristolainen, Sanheim, Cates · TOR Tavares, Nylander, Marner, Matthews, Knies

  22. P2 2:23Shot by Tavares, saved by Fedotov
  23. P2 4:00Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Fedotov
  24. P2 5:16Marner: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Ristolainen, Konecny, Cates, Zamula, Foerster · TOR Rielly, Marner, Myers, Matthews, Knies

  25. P2 5:39Shot by Michkov, saved by Woll5v4
  26. P2 5:54Foerster: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PHI Ristolainen, Cates, Brink, Foerster, Michkov · TOR Tanev, Matthews, Kampf, Benoit

  27. P2 6:04Shot by Sanheim, saved by Woll4v4
  28. P2 7:14Goal by Konecny (Cates)4v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Ristolainen, Konecny, Cates, Zamula · TOR Rielly, Matthews, Timmins, McMann

  29. P2 7:55Goal by Matthews (Marner, Tavares)+15 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Laughton, Ristolainen, Sanheim, Cates, Foerster · TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  30. P2 8:10Shot by Frost, saved by Woll
  31. P2 10:54Shot by Michkov, saved by Woll
  32. P2 11:10Kampf: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Laughton, Ristolainen, Frost, Zamula, Michkov · TOR Rielly, Marner, Myers, Kampf, Knies

  33. P2 12:41Shot by Michkov, saved by Woll5v4
  34. P2 13:24Shot by Michkov, saved by Woll
  35. P2 15:15Shot by Lorentz, saved by Fedotov
  36. P2 17:55Shot by Konecny, saved by Woll
  37. P2 18:03Shot by Frost, saved by Woll
  38. P2 19:06Shot by Lorentz, saved by Fedotov
  39. P2 19:41Shot by Benoit, saved by Fedotov
  40. P2 0:00Period end
  41. P3 0:00Period start
  42. P3 1:53Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Fedotov
  43. P3 1:54Shot by Domi, saved by Fedotov
  44. P3 2:00Shot by Marner, saved by Fedotov
  45. P3 4:53Shot by Domi, saved by Fedotov
  46. P3 5:52Shot by Hathaway, saved by Woll
  47. P3 6:57Shot by Poehling, saved by Woll
  48. P3 11:21Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Fedotov
  49. P3 11:22Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Fedotov
  50. P3 12:58Shot by Tippett, saved by Woll
  51. P3 13:15Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Fedotov
  52. P3 13:21Goal by Knies (Rielly, Myers)+39 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Sanheim, Cates, York, Brink, Foerster · TOR Rielly, Marner, Myers, Matthews, Knies

  53. P3 13:41Shot by Foerster, saved by Woll
  54. P3 14:25Shot by Poehling, saved by Woll
  55. P3 14:34Pacioretty: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Ristolainen, Sanheim, Konecny, Tippett, Poehling · TOR Reaves, Pacioretty, Tanev, Domi, Timmins

  56. P3 16:59Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Woll
  57. P3 17:07Shot by Sanheim, saved by Woll
  58. P3 17:38Shot by Foerster, saved by Woll
  59. P3 17:39Shot by Frost, saved by Woll
  60. P3 18:13Shot by Cates, saved by Woll6v5
  61. P3 18:14Shot by Konecny, saved by Woll6v5
  62. P3 19:12Knies: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PHI Konecny, Tippett, Brink, Drysdale, Foerster, Michkov · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Tanev, Marner, Matthews, Knies

  63. P3 19:27Shot by Michkov, saved by Woll6v4
  64. P3 19:39Shot by Konecny, saved by Woll6v4
  65. P3 19:47Drysdale: Tripping (2 min)6v4

    On ice: PHI Konecny, Tippett, Cates, Drysdale, Foerster, Michkov · TOR Tanev, Marner, Matthews, Benoit

  66. P3 0:00Period end4v4
  67. P3 0:00Final4v4