Tue, Jan 7, 2025·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Philadelphia Flyers 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 82% of the time.
75%
12%
PHI winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 24:35 | 0.29 | 68.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 22:59 | 0.03 | 60.3% | +29.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:21 | 0.02 | 61.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 20:51 | 0.21 | 37.5% | +29.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:38 | 0.01 | 38.7% | +38.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:54 | 0.12 | 49.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:26 | 0.00 | 35.6% | +38.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:09 | 0.21 | 46.4% | +38.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 16:45 | 0.21 | 47.4% | +29.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:43 | 0.07 | 11.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:37 | 0.12 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:56 | 0.24 | 53.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:20 | 0.10 | 31.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:38 | 0.06 | 19.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:37 | 0.02 | 23.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:28 | 0.00 | 31.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:23 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:52 | 0.15 | 32.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 32 | 30 | 2 | .938 | 3.94 | +1.9 | 60:00 |
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:15 | 0.05 | 61.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:17 | 0.25 | 62.1% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 21:00 | 0.57 | 60.3% | +29.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:57 | 0.04 | 81.6% | +11.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 19:53 | 0.34 | 29.4% | +17.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:37 | 0.31 | 60.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:49 | 0.00 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:09 | 0.58 | 67.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:04 | 0.00 | 43.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:29 | 0.00 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:02 | 0.01 | 35.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:56 | 0.31 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14:27 | 0.86 | 99.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:43 | 0.24 | 41.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12:36 | 0.26 | 94.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:54 | 0.00 | 3.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 10:54 | 0.12 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:43 | 0.00 | 41.4% | +11.4 |
| L | 17 | 14 | 3 | .824 | 1.86 | −1.1 | 58:07 |