Sat, Jan 11, 2025·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Ottawa Senators 5, Pittsburgh Penguins 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 61% of the time.
29%
10%
9%
52%
PIT winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24:04 | 0.04 | 22.2% | +4.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:57 | 0.00 | 23.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 21:39 | 0.10 | 65.5% | +12.4 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 20:22 | 0.44 | 20.2% | +22.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:53 | 0.07 | 29.0% | +10.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 17:34 | 0.00 | 68.4% | +2.1 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 17:33 | 0.08 | 80.6% | +31.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:29 | 0.48 | 25.4% | +4.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 16:27 | 0.32 | 68.3% | +2.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16:01 | 0.85 | 46.0% | +4.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:17 | 0.01 | 37.5% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:56 | 0.36 | 27.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:48 | 0.02 | 38.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:41 | 0.05 | 24.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 12:34 | 0.04 | 79.0% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:05 | 0.00 | 39.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:07 | 0.00 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:33 | 0.00 | 40.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 29 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.20 | +2.2 | 60:00 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 23:45 | 0.18 | 66.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:25 | 0.04 | 70.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:24 | 0.04 | 69.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:14 | 0.03 | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:19 | 0.00 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:14 | 0.43 | 69.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:07 | 0.19 | 68.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:23 | 0.07 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:49 | 0.18 | 92.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:35 | 0.32 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:56 | 0.26 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:19 | 0.11 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:41 | 0.00 | 28.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:58 | 0.02 | 17.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:37 | 0.01 | 75.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:07 | 0.23 | 90.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:48 | 0.07 | 28.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:46 | 0.01 | 44.8% | 0.0 |
| – | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 0.30 | +0.3 | 32:54 | |
| L | 17 | 12 | 5 | .706 | 2.55 | −2.5 | 27:00 |