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Ice Lab

Sun, Jan 12, 2025·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Pittsburgh Penguins 2

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

5

Final

Home

Pittsburgh Penguins

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 51% of the time.

PIT winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:14Shot by O'Connor, saved by Johansson
  3. P1 5:56Shot by Guentzel, saved by Jarry
  4. P1 8:02Shot by Crosby, saved by Johansson6v5
  5. P1 8:03Hedman: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Nieto, Pettersson, Beauvillier, Lizotte · TBL Hedman, Paul, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel

  6. P1 8:23Shot by Rakell, saved by Johansson5v4
  7. P1 9:10Shot by Karlsson, saved by Johansson5v4
  8. P1 9:17Shot by Hagel, saved by Jarry5v4
  9. P1 11:02Shot by Joseph, saved by Johansson
  10. P1 11:28Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Johansson
  11. P1 12:19Shot by Rust, saved by Johansson
  12. P1 14:20Goal by Rakell (Rust, Pettersson)+13 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Rakell, Pettersson · TBL Atkinson, Hedman, Glendening, Raddysh, Goncalves

  13. P1 15:54Shot by Nieto, saved by Johansson
  14. P1 16:54Shot by Rust, saved by Johansson
  15. P1 17:21Shot by Crosby, saved by Johansson
  16. P1 18:56Shot by Rust, saved by Johansson
  17. P1 19:02Shot by Rust, saved by Johansson
  18. P1 19:06Shot by Crosby, saved by Johansson
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 1:55Shot by Girgensons, saved by Jarry
  22. P2 4:15Shot by Puljujarvi, saved by Johansson
  23. P2 4:36Shot by Hayes, saved by Johansson
  24. P2 4:55Puljujarvi: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Letang, Hayes, Pettersson, Beauvillier, Puljujarvi · TBL Hedman, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh, Hagel

  25. P2 4:55Hedman: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Letang, Hayes, Pettersson, Beauvillier, Puljujarvi · TBL Hedman, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh, Hagel

  26. P2 5:11Shot by Crosby, saved by Johansson4v4
  27. P2 6:54Goal by Hagel (Cirelli, Lilleberg)4v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Karlsson, Hayes, Rakell, Grzelcyk · TBL McDonagh, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel

  28. P2 9:43Shot by Rakell, saved by Johansson
  29. P2 11:27Shot by Hagel, saved by Jarry
  30. P2 11:52Shot by Glass, saved by Johansson
  31. P2 11:57Shot by Glass, saved by Johansson
  32. P2 13:28Shot by Rakell, saved by Johansson
  33. P2 14:58Shot by Lizotte, saved by Johansson
  34. P2 15:59Shot by Guentzel, saved by Jarry
  35. P2 16:04Goal by Kucherov (Hedman, Guentzel)+26 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Glass, Joseph, Tomasino, O'Connor, Pickering · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Perbix

  36. P2 18:00Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Johansson
  37. P2 18:50Shot by Kucherov, saved by Jarry
  38. P2 18:59Shot by Guentzel, saved by Jarry
  39. P2 19:27Shot by Rakell, saved by Johansson
  40. P2 0:00Period end
  41. P3 0:00Period start
  42. P3 0:50Shot by Crosby, saved by Johansson
  43. P3 1:11Raddysh: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Karlsson, Grzelcyk, Glass, Tomasino, O'Connor · TBL Hedman, Girgensons, Paul, Raddysh, Eyssimont

  44. P3 1:45Shot by Rakell, saved by Johansson5v4
  45. P3 2:17Goal by Hayes (Rakell, Crosby)5v4+28 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Hayes, Rust, Rakell, Grzelcyk · TBL Hedman, Cirelli, Hagel, Lilleberg

  46. P3 2:51Shot by Acciari, saved by Johansson
  47. P3 4:21Shot by Crosby, saved by Johansson
  48. P3 4:42Shot by Guentzel, saved by Jarry
  49. P3 5:19Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Johansson
  50. P3 6:17Cirelli: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Hayes, Rust, Rakell, Grzelcyk · TBL McDonagh, Point, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel

  51. P3 6:39Shot by Hayes, saved by Johansson5v4
  52. P3 7:03Shot by Hagel, saved by Jarry5v4
  53. P3 7:54Shot by Hayes, saved by Johansson5v4
  54. P3 9:22Shot by Acciari, saved by Johansson
  55. P3 11:05Shot by Cirelli, saved by Jarry
  56. P3 13:46Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Jarry
  57. P3 16:27Shot by Hagel, saved by Jarry
  58. P3 16:57Goal by Kucherov, unassisted+45 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Rakell, Grzelcyk, Acciari · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Cernak, Cirelli

  59. P3 17:37Shot by Hagel, saved by Jarry
  60. P3 18:01Shot by Hedman, saved by Jarry
  61. P3 18:48Goal by Cirelli (Kucherov, Hagel)6v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Karlsson, Hayes, Rust, Rakell · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Cirelli, Hagel, Lilleberg

  62. P3 19:39Goal by Paul (Guentzel, McDonagh)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Karlsson, Hayes, Rust, Rakell · TBL McDonagh, Guentzel, Paul, Point, Cernak

  63. P3 0:00Period end
  64. P3 0:00Final