Sun, Jan 12, 2025·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Pittsburgh Penguins 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 51% of the time.
39%
10%
8%
43%
PIT winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Ryan McDonaghD · #27 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 22:51 | 0.10 | 39.9% | +0.1 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 21:43 | 0.03 | 49.2% | 0.0 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 21:29 | 0.51 | 36.1% | +23.4 |
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 20:25 | 0.04 | 33.5% | +26.3 |
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:11 | 0.02 | 19.7% | 0.0 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 3 | 19:10 | 0.64 | 60.2% | +76.8 |
 Emil LillebergD · #78 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:04 | 0.00 | 54.9% | +17.4 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 18:45 | 0.81 | 50.2% | +23.4 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:43 | 0.75 | 28.0% | +0.1 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 17:27 | 0.04 | 51.5% | 0.0 |
 Nick PerbixD · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:51 | 0.00 | 54.3% | 0.0 |
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 16:06 | 0.33 | 45.7% | +26.4 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:42 | 0.05 | 26.4% | 0.0 |
 Luke GlendeningC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:22 | 0.00 | 10.3% | 0.0 |
 Mitchell ChaffeeRW · #41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:45 | 0.00 | 6.2% | 0.0 |
 Michael EyssimontC · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:24 | 0.02 | 29.3% | 0.0 |
 Cam AtkinsonRW · #13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:26 | 0.00 | 2.0% | 0.0 |
 Gage GoncalvesC · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:30 | 0.00 | 12.8% | 0.0 |
 Jonas Johansson#31 | W | 33 | 31 | 2 | .939 | 3.29 | +1.3 | 60:00 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Sidney CrosbyC · #87 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 6 | 25:42 | 0.36 | 58.0% | +27.9 |
 Kris LetangD · #58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 24:52 | 0.11 | 66.5% | 0.0 |
 Rickard RakellRW · #67 | 1 | 1 | 2 | −3 | 6 | 24:31 | 0.74 | 58.0% | +41.1 |
 Bryan RustRW · #17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 23:49 | 0.42 | 67.8% | +13.3 |
 Marcus PetterssonD · #28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 23:43 | 0.00 | 67.2% | +13.3 |
 Erik KarlssonD · #65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 1 | 19:42 | 0.02 | 52.0% | 0.0 |
 Matt GrzelcykD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:47 | 0.08 | 49.6% | 0.0 |
 Kevin HayesRW · #13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −3 | 4 | 16:02 | 0.67 | 79.9% | +27.9 |
 Pierre-Olivier JosephD · #73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:47 | 0.01 | 62.8% | 0.0 |
 Cody GlassC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:25 | 0.07 | 37.1% | 0.0 |
 Drew O'ConnorLW · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:02 | 0.00 | 37.5% | 0.0 |
 Philip TomasinoRW · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:36 | 0.10 | 29.9% | 0.0 |
 Owen PickeringD · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:35 | 0.04 | 62.2% | 0.0 |
 Jesse PuljujarviRW · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:24 | 0.11 | 71.7% | 0.0 |
 Anthony BeauvillierRW · #72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:19 | 0.17 | 80.1% | 0.0 |
 Blake LizotteC · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:57 | 0.18 | 77.4% | 0.0 |
 Matt NietoLW · #83 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:25 | 0.03 | 78.7% | 0.0 |
 Noel AcciariC · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 7:40 | 0.18 | 57.5% | 0.0 |
 Tristan Jarry#35 | L | 17 | 14 | 3 | .824 | 1.82 | −1.2 | 58:42 |