Tue, Jan 14, 2025·UBS Arena, Elmont
Ottawa Senators 2, New York Islanders 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 85% of the time.
9%
79%
NYI winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
NYI forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Norris–Batherson–Tkachuk | Cousins–Pinto–Greig | Giroux–Gaudette–Stützle | Highmore–MacEwen–Ostapchuk | Giroux–Greig–Stützle | Giroux–Highmore–Stützle | Giroux–Pinto–Greig | Sanderson–Zub | Jensen–Kleven | Sanderson–Matinpalo | Kleven–Matinpalo | Jensen–Sanderson | Kleven–Zub | Jensen–Chabot | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee–Nelson–Barzal | 7:370.25–0.45 | 3:370.05–0.07 | 1:160.03–0.00 | 6:180.24–0.12 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 3:290.03–0.34 | 1:070.05–0.00 | 1:180.00–0.10 | ||||||
| Palmieri–Horvat–Tsyplakov | 3:220.18–0.17 | 1:370.01–0.00 | 1:470.08–0.13 | 1:270.00–0.00 | 1:040.01–0.00 | 1:430.09–0.00 | 3:390.10–0.01 | 1:190.00–0.07 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.01 | 2:430.01–0.30 | 0:590.07–0.00 | ||
| Cizikas–Duclair–Engvall | 2:550.06–0.00 | 2:370.01–0.20 | 0:330.02–0.00 | 0:480.06–0.00 | 2:580.07–0.15 | 0:350.00–0.05 | 2:240.09–0.00 | 1:490.01–0.00 | ||||||
| Martin–MacLean–Gatcomb | 0:380.00–0.00 | 3:230.00–0.70 | 0:590.00–0.19 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:010.01–0.35 | 2:060.00–0.16 | ||||||||
| Lee–Horvat–Barzal | 0:510.07–0.01 | |||||||||||||
| Duclair–Horvat–Engvall | 0:560.00–0.13 | |||||||||||||
| Horvat–Barzal–Tsyplakov | 0:330.07–0.00 | 0:370.07–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Palmieri–Duclair–Horvat | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Pelech–Pulock | 7:340.39–0.39 | 1:430.00–0.07 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 3:550.26–0.08 | 1:590.00–0.01 | 2:380.01–0.26 | 0:570.05–0.00 | 0:540.07–0.10 | ||||||
| Mayfield–Dobson | 1:000.00–0.17 | 4:130.07–0.13 | 1:380.01–0.05 | 3:290.07–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.05 | 1:110.01–0.00 | 1:250.00–0.00 | 1:310.00–0.44 | 0:340.00–0.00 | |||||
| Dobson–George | 0:590.00–0.06 | 1:280.05–0.00 | 1:150.01–0.15 | 1:080.00–0.45 | 1:080.07–0.00 | 1:440.00–0.15 | 2:190.07–0.01 | 1:140.00–0.42 | 1:180.01–0.11 | 0:550.05–0.06 | 1:060.00–0.00 | |||
| Pelech–Dobson | 0:570.04–0.00 | 1:150.00–0.03 | 0:350.01–0.00 | 1:150.00–0.18 | 0:580.00–0.03 | 0:450.01–0.00 | ||||||||
| Pulock–Cholowski | 1:240.00–0.01 | 0:380.00–0.01 | 0:590.00–0.01 | 0:360.02–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Pelech–Cholowski | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:450.02–0.00 | 0:480.06–0.00 | 1:180.06–0.00 | 0:330.02–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Mayfield–Pelech | 0:430.03–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Mayfield–Cholowski | 0:540.00–0.06 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:070.00–0.06 | |||||||||||
| Pulock–George | 0:560.00–0.04 | 0:350.00–0.01 | 0:550.01–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Mayfield–Pulock | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:580.10–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Mayfield–George | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
NYIOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Jake SandersonOTT | 35 | 31:46 | 0:54 | 2:32 | 2 | 4 |
 Noah DobsonNYI | 36 | 27:13 | 0:45 | 2:16 | 5 | 2 |
 Adam PelechNYI | 29 | 24:44 | 0:51 | 1:58 | 6 | 5 |
 Artem ZubOTT | 30 | 24:23 | 0:49 | 2:28 | 2 | 10 |
 Bo HorvatNYI | 26 | 23:16 | 0:54 | 1:27 | 5 | 2 |
 Mathew BarzalNYI | 23 | 22:44 | 0:59 | 1:45 | 7 | 2 |
 Tyler KlevenOTT | 33 | 22:42 | 0:41 | 1:25 | 5 | 3 |
 Brock NelsonNYI | 25 | 22:15 | 0:53 | 1:28 | 3 | 5 |
 Nick JensenOTT | 27 | 21:40 | 0:48 | 1:15 | 5 | 1 |
 Ryan PulockNYI | 31 | 21:13 | 0:41 | 1:22 | 6 | 5 |
 Ridly GreigOTT | 30 | 20:42 | 0:41 | 1:23 | 4 | 6 |
 Scott MayfieldNYI | 27 | 19:18 | 0:43 | 1:52 | 1 | 2 |
 Anders LeeNYI | 23 | 18:55 | 0:49 | 1:23 | 6 | 2 |
 Shane PintoOTT | 30 | 18:52 | 0:38 | 1:34 | 1 | 9 |
 Brady TkachukOTT | 30 | 18:40 | 0:37 | 2:00 | 4 | 6 |
 Drake BathersonOTT | 30 | 18:39 | 0:37 | 1:19 | 4 | 6 |
 Josh NorrisOTT | 31 | 18:32 | 0:36 | 1:04 | 4 | 6 |
 Claude GirouxOTT | 26 | 17:31 | 0:40 | 1:08 | 5 | 3 |
 Kyle PalmieriNYI | 22 | 17:27 | 0:48 | 1:23 | 3 | 3 |
 Maxim TsyplakovNYI | 21 | 17:12 | 0:49 | 1:28 | 2 | 1 |
 Tim StützleOTT | 22 | 17:11 | 0:47 | 2:03 | 5 | 1 |
 Nick CousinsOTT | 26 | 16:55 | 0:39 | 1:09 | 1 | 7 |
 Anthony DuclairNYI | 23 | 14:26 | 0:38 | 1:06 | 3 | 0 |
 Isaiah GeorgeNYI | 21 | 14:20 | 0:41 | 1:10 | 2 | 1 |
 Nikolas MatinpaloOTT | 23 | 13:38 | 0:36 | 1:19 | 3 | 0 |
 Casey CizikasNYI | 21 | 12:09 | 0:35 | 1:17 | 3 | 1 |
 Pierre EngvallNYI | 20 | 12:04 | 0:36 | 1:02 | 3 | 0 |
 Matthew HighmoreOTT | 19 | 11:11 | 0:35 | 1:05 | 2 | 1 |
 Dennis CholowskiNYI | 13 | 10:15 | 0:47 | 1:42 | 0 | 2 |
 Kyle MacLeanNYI | 12 | 8:21 | 0:42 | 1:06 | 1 | 3 |
 Adam GaudetteOTT | 12 | 7:49 | 0:39 | 1:07 | 1 | 1 |
 Zack OstapchukOTT | 12 | 7:48 | 0:39 | 0:58 | 1 | 0 |
 Marc GatcombNYI | 11 | 7:27 | 0:41 | 1:06 | 1 | 3 |
 Matt MartinNYI | 8 | 6:04 | 0:46 | 1:14 | 1 | 2 |
 Zack MacEwenOTT | 10 | 5:57 | 0:36 | 1:05 | 1 | 0 |
 Thomas ChabotOTT | 6 | 4:04 | 0:41 | 0:53 | 1 | 0 |