Thu, Jan 16, 2025·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Montréal Canadiens 3, Dallas Stars 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 55% of the time.
37%
9%
47%
DAL winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 26:57 | 0.30 | 40.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:39 | 0.20 | 36.1% | +34.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:18 | 0.00 | 24.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:57 | 0.02 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 19:15 | 0.09 | 51.3% | +13.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:24 | 0.85 | 16.1% | +3.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:13 | 0.12 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:09 | 0.49 | 56.2% | +10.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:08 | 0.15 | 21.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:50 | 0.10 | 31.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 15:43 | 0.04 | 56.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:13 | 0.15 | 26.4% | +34.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:49 | 0.65 | 56.2% | +10.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:43 | 0.11 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:19 | 0.25 | 35.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:51 | 0.00 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 12:19 | 0.38 | 28.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:31 | 0.01 | 26.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 32 | 1 | .970 | 3.58 | +2.6 | 59:45 |
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 4 | 26:59 | 0.22 | 60.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23:55 | 0.22 | 74.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 21:29 | 0.84 | 57.1% | +10.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:29 | 0.00 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 21:11 | 0.38 | 59.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 20:29 | 0.29 | 56.8% | +10.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:18 | 0.26 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:00 | 0.29 | 65.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 14:56 | 0.13 | 54.4% | +10.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:29 | 0.11 | 72.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:02 | 0.02 | 39.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:45 | 0.20 | 65.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:36 | 0.00 | 34.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:35 | 0.00 | 11.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 11:28 | 0.46 | 52.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:01 | 0.00 | 76.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:31 | 0.08 | 77.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:42 | 0.08 | 69.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 23 | 21 | 2 | .913 | 2.89 | +0.9 | 57:10 |