Fri, Jan 17, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Pittsburgh Penguins 5, Buffalo Sabres 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 75% of the time.
68%
19%
BUF winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24:07 | 0.00 | 24.4% | +20.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 22:55 | 0.01 | 31.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:52 | 0.00 | 49.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18:39 | 0.28 | 28.0% | +20.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:38 | 0.00 | 33.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:13 | 0.06 | 35.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:17 | 0.07 | 41.0% | +5.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:46 | 0.23 | 15.2% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:45 | 0.16 | 52.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:28 | 0.00 | 31.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:37 | 0.32 | 45.5% | +20.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:33 | 0.64 | 45.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:13 | 0.00 | 46.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 12:58 | 0.27 | 25.9% | +37.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:49 | 0.10 | 27.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:16 | 0.10 | 20.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:01 | 0.20 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:01 | 0.06 | 41.2% | +16.5 |
| W | 42 | 40 | 2 | .952 | 4.40 | +2.4 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 27:56 | 0.27 | 66.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 22:38 | 0.30 | 73.8% | +11.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 20:46 | 0.56 | 78.0% | +1.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:23 | 0.16 | 78.1% | +1.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 20:15 | 0.29 | 85.5% | +11.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 18:22 | 0.34 | 43.0% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:49 | 0.24 | 70.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 6 | 17:42 | 1.26 | 89.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 17:05 | 0.31 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:56 | 0.11 | 71.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:23 | 0.11 | 84.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:53 | 0.02 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:33 | 0.04 | 52.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:30 | 0.01 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:06 | 0.28 | 76.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:06 | 0.00 | 25.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:18 | 0.04 | 35.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:04 | 0.06 | 17.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 18 | 14 | 4 | .778 | 1.87 | −2.1 | 56:29 |