Sat, Jan 18, 2025·Centre Bell, Montreal
Toronto Maple Leafs 7, Montréal Canadiens 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 51% of the time.
41%
9%
44%
MTL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 26:06 | 0.13 | 52.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:16 | 0.00 | 40.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 2 | 22:35 | 0.17 | 43.0% | +44.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 22:09 | 0.29 | 30.2% | +16.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 19:34 | 0.55 | 44.7% | +23.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:42 | 0.00 | 15.7% | +0.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:07 | 0.21 | 26.6% | +14.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 17:22 | 0.45 | 34.6% | +30.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 16:27 | 0.00 | 32.9% | +14.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 15:36 | 0.81 | 60.0% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:31 | 0.08 | 59.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:09 | 0.41 | 57.1% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:25 | 0.09 | 26.7% | +29.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:43 | 0.10 | 48.8% | +13.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 11:30 | 0.55 | 81.3% | +2.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10:19 | 0.14 | 58.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 8:14 | 0.00 | 18.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:38 | 0.00 | 87.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 35 | 32 | 3 | .914 | 3.92 | +0.9 | 60:00 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 25:28 | 0.17 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 19:29 | 0.40 | 82.1% | +10.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:05 | 0.16 | 81.1% | +7.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 10 | 18:51 | 1.10 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:42 | 0.03 | 60.6% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −5 | 0 | 18:40 | 0.00 | 37.5% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:08 | 0.26 | 58.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 17:42 | 0.33 | 63.5% | +10.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:06 | 0.10 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:42 | 0.08 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:52 | 0.09 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −2 | 2 | 15:35 | 0.39 | 65.9% | +23.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:18 | 0.24 | 40.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:29 | 0.26 | 66.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 14:20 | 0.17 | 56.0% | +7.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:41 | 0.11 | 66.6% | +7.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:41 | 0.02 | 43.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:58 | 0.00 | 97.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 33 | 27 | 6 | .818 | 3.41 | −2.6 | 57:09 |