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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 18, 2025·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Detroit Red Wings 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 5

Away

Detroit Red Wings

1

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 58% of the time.

TBL winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:02Goal by Point (Lilleberg, Perbix)+9 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Perbix, Lilleberg · DET Chiarot, Larkin, Seider, Raymond, Kasper

  3. P1 3:09Shot by Perbix, saved by Talbot
  4. P1 4:10Shot by Paul, saved by Talbot
  5. P1 6:36Shot by Larkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  6. P1 6:37Shot by Larkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  7. P1 6:51Hagel: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Paul, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel · DET Chiarot, Larkin, Seider, Raymond, Kasper

  8. P1 8:01Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  9. P1 8:27Shot by Larkin, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  10. P1 11:04Shot by Raymond, saved by Vasilevskiy
  11. P1 13:02Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Vasilevskiy
  12. P1 13:09Shot by Fischer, saved by Vasilevskiy
  13. P1 14:18Shot by Girgensons, saved by Talbot
  14. P1 14:23Shot by Raddysh, saved by Talbot
  15. P1 14:30Shot by Crozier, saved by Talbot
  16. P1 14:48Shot by Seider, saved by Vasilevskiy
  17. P1 15:05Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Vasilevskiy
  18. P1 15:20Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Vasilevskiy
  19. P1 16:02Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  20. P1 17:16Shot by Edvinsson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  21. P1 17:18Shot by Berggren, saved by Vasilevskiy
  22. P1 17:56Chaffee: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Kucherov, Point, Crozier, Chaffee · DET Kane, Copp, DeBrincat, Johansson, Edvinsson

  23. P1 19:08Shot by Kane, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:04Kasper: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Paul, Cirelli, Hagel, Crozier · DET Chiarot, Larkin, Seider, Raymond, Kasper

  27. P2 0:16Goal by Guentzel (Kucherov, Raddysh)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh, Chaffee · DET Chiarot, Compher, Rasmussen, Seider

  28. P2 1:16Shot by Kane, saved by Vasilevskiy
  29. P2 1:18Shot by Copp, saved by Vasilevskiy
  30. P2 1:50Goal by Kucherov (Hedman, Guentzel)+8 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Crozier · DET Kane, Holl, Gustafsson, Copp, DeBrincat

  31. P2 1:59Shot by Seider, saved by Vasilevskiy
  32. P2 2:26Shot by Cirelli, saved by Talbot
  33. P2 2:33Shot by Hagel, saved by Talbot
  34. P2 3:30Shot by Fischer, saved by Vasilevskiy
  35. P2 3:58Goal by Chaffee (Atkinson)+4 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Atkinson, Hedman, Glendening, Raddysh, Chaffee · DET Gustafsson, Fischer, Rasmussen, Veleno, Seider

  36. P2 4:55Shot by Hagel, saved by Talbot
  37. P2 5:26Shot by Raymond, saved by Vasilevskiy
  38. P2 5:32Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Vasilevskiy
  39. P2 6:24Eyssimont: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Girgensons, Raddysh, Eyssimont, Geekie · DET Holl, Compher, Fischer, Rasmussen, Seider

  40. P2 7:41Shot by Seider, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  41. P2 8:15Shot by Hagel, saved by Talbot4v5
  42. P2 10:56Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Vasilevskiy
  43. P2 11:58Shot by Larkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  44. P2 12:16Eyssimont: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Girgensons, Raddysh, Eyssimont, Geekie · DET Chiarot, Larkin, Seider, Raymond, Kasper

  45. P2 14:12Goal by Raymond (Kane, Seider)4v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Hedman, Glendening, Paul · DET Kane, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond

  46. P2 14:32Chiarot: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh, Lilleberg · DET Chiarot, Copp, Fischer, Veleno, Seider

  47. P2 15:06Goal by Raddysh (Kucherov, Guentzel)5v4+2 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh, Chaffee · DET Holl, Compher, Rasmussen, Edvinsson

  48. P2 15:32Shot by Raddysh, saved by Talbot
  49. P2 16:02Shot by Chiarot, saved by Vasilevskiy
  50. P2 18:01Shot by Seider, saved by Vasilevskiy
  51. P2 18:12Shot by Point, saved by Talbot
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 2:44Shot by Chiarot, saved by Vasilevskiy
  55. P3 3:39Shot by Berggren, saved by Vasilevskiy
  56. P3 5:30Shot by Fischer, saved by Vasilevskiy
  57. P3 5:43Shot by Raddysh, saved by Lyon
  58. P3 6:54Shot by Kane, saved by Vasilevskiy
  59. P3 8:31Shot by Perbix, saved by Lyon
  60. P3 8:34Shot by Girgensons, saved by Lyon
  61. P3 9:11Eyssimont: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Girgensons, Raddysh, Eyssimont, Geekie · DET Holl, Gustafsson, Fischer, Rasmussen, Veleno

  62. P3 9:53Shot by Larkin, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  63. P3 10:12Shot by Kane, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  64. P3 10:43Shot by Compher, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  65. P3 10:44Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  66. P3 10:45Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  67. P3 11:16Shot by Fischer, saved by Vasilevskiy
  68. P3 12:21Shot by Compher, saved by Vasilevskiy
  69. P3 13:43Shot by Seider, saved by Vasilevskiy
  70. P3 13:48Shot by Edvinsson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  71. P3 14:55Chaffee: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Atkinson, Glendening, Perbix, Chaffee, Lilleberg · DET Holl, Gustafsson, Fischer, Rasmussen, Veleno

  72. P3 17:38Shot by Crozier, saved by Lyon
  73. P3 18:15Kasper: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Girgensons, Raddysh, Eyssimont, Crozier, Geekie · DET Chiarot, Tarasenko, Gustafsson, Compher, Kasper

  74. P3 18:15Gustafsson: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Girgensons, Raddysh, Eyssimont, Crozier, Geekie · DET Chiarot, Tarasenko, Gustafsson, Compher, Kasper

  75. P3 18:15Eyssimont: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Girgensons, Raddysh, Eyssimont, Crozier, Geekie · DET Chiarot, Tarasenko, Gustafsson, Compher, Kasper

  76. P3 18:20Shot by Paul, saved by Lyon5v4
  77. P3 18:37Shot by Kucherov, saved by Lyon5v4
  78. P3 0:00Period end5v4
  79. P3 0:00Final5v4