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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 18, 2025·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Detroit Red Wings 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 58% of the time.

TBL winsDET wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DET's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Tarasenko–Compher–BerggrenKane–Copp–DeBrincatLarkin–Raymond–KasperFischer–Rasmussen–VelenoCopp–Fischer–VelenoChiarot–SeiderHoll–GustafssonJohansson–EdvinssonGustafsson–Edvinsson
Kucherov–Guentzel–Point1:010.00–0.007:510.42–0.430:510.00–0.004:270.31–0.323:370.25–0.213:020.00–0.01
Paul–Cirelli–Hagel1:130.13–0.000:310.00–0.046:360.44–0.444:350.22–0.242:280.11–0.061:590.25–0.12
Girgensons–Eyssimont–Geekie5:180.16–0.170:370.00–0.000:570.00–0.030:560.00–0.062:250.16–0.133:300.02–0.112:360.07–0.02
Atkinson–Glendening–Chaffee0:390.00–0.135:340.18–0.171:060.00–0.172:160.00–0.002:170.00–0.13
Hedman–Raddysh2:350.00–0.185:530.17–0.211:430.00–0.331:110.18–0.000:440.00–0.003:170.19–0.354:320.00–0.264:260.07–0.18
Perbix–Lilleberg4:420.27–0.200:300.12–0.006:570.02–0.253:530.29–0.274:230.11–0.163:360.00–0.030:340.02–0.00
McDonagh–Crozier1:030.03–0.023:070.00–0.346:250.44–0.165:480.21–0.252:380.00–0.142:430.25–0.12
Hedman–Perbix0:550.03–0.001:130.03–0.00
Raddysh–Crozier0:470.02–0.00
Raddysh–Lilleberg0:400.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPoint FGuentzel FKucherov FHagel FCirelli FPaul FGeekie FGirgensons FChaffee FAtkinson FGlendening FEyssimont FRaddysh DHedman DMcDonagh DCrozier DPerbix DLilleberg DVasilevskiy GTarasenko FCompher FBerggren FRaymond FKasper FLarkin FCopp FKane FDeBrincat FFischer FVeleno FRasmussen FJohansson DEdvinsson DChiarot DSeider DHoll DGustafsson DTalbot GLyon G
TBLDETFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Moritz SeiderDET2424:211:012:0542
Victor HedmanTBL3022:530:461:2632
Emil LillebergTBL2721:450:481:51113
Nick PerbixTBL2520:320:491:1518
Ryan McDonaghTBL2720:130:451:5646
Erik GustafssonDET2119:490:571:2743
Anthony CirelliTBL2419:080:481:3946
Alex DeBrincatDET2018:440:561:5451
Brandon HagelTBL2418:400:471:4445
Darren RaddyshTBL2618:050:421:4051
Patrick KaneDET1918:040:571:5251
Dylan LarkinDET2117:480:512:2062
J.T. CompherDET2317:410:461:3255
Lucas RaymondDET2117:350:502:2562
Simon EdvinssonDET2217:300:481:2624
Jake GuentzelTBL2016:560:511:3942
Nikita KucherovTBL2116:440:481:3641
Ben ChiarotDET2116:410:481:2612
Vladimir TarasenkoDET2016:220:491:3353
Justin HollDET1915:450:501:0814
Brayden PointTBL2115:100:431:3041
Jonatan BerggrenDET1814:580:501:3152
Zemgus GirgensonsTBL2114:560:431:3654
Michael RasmussenDET2114:560:431:3263
Max CrozierTBL1914:250:461:3741
Albert JohanssonDET2114:230:411:1135
Nick PaulTBL2414:180:361:2546
Andrew CoppDET2013:590:421:1212
Christian FischerDET2113:240:381:1044
Joseph VelenoDET1913:230:421:0834
Marco KasperDET1812:060:401:1623
Conor GeekieTBL1712:040:431:1552
Luke GlendeningTBL2311:270:300:48212
Michael EyssimontTBL1710:550:391:0831
Cam AtkinsonTBL1610:090:381:1215
Mitchell ChaffeeTBL169:440:371:0043