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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 18, 2025·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Detroit Red Wings 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 58% of the time.

TBL winsDET wins

Detroit Red Wings

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Moritz SeiderD · #53011−2524:210.2252.0%+2.5
Erik GustafssonD · #56000−2019:490.0052.3%0.0
Alex DeBrincatRW · #93000−1518:440.4159.4%0.0
Patrick KaneRW · #88011−1418:040.1560.5%+2.5
Dylan LarkinC · #71000−1517:480.5743.9%0.0
J.T. CompherLW · #370000217:410.2049.0%0.0
Lucas RaymondLW · #23101−1317:350.3146.5%+2.5
Simon EdvinssonD · #770000217:300.0343.2%0.0
Ben ChiarotD · #8000−1216:410.1157.1%0.0
Vladimir TarasenkoRW · #110000216:220.3849.0%0.0
Justin HollD · #3000−1015:450.0360.8%0.0
Jonatan BerggrenRW · #480000214:580.0754.8%0.0
Michael RasmussenC · #27000−1214:560.2763.6%0.0
Albert JohanssonD · #200000014:230.0040.1%0.0
Andrew CoppC · #18000−1113:590.0751.1%0.0
Christian FischerRW · #36000−1413:240.1850.7%0.0
Joseph VelenoC · #90000−1013:230.0054.8%0.0
Marco KasperC · #92000−1012:060.0045.8%0.0
Alex Lyon#34–6601.0000.60+0.620:00
Cam Talbot#39L16115.6881.88−3.140:00

Tampa Bay Lightning

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Victor HedmanD · #77011+2022:530.0043.4%+7.7
Emil LillebergD · #78011+1021:450.0251.8%+9.5
Nick PerbixD · #48011+1220:320.0349.3%+9.5
Ryan McDonaghD · #270000020:130.0244.0%0.0
Anthony CirelliC · #710000119:080.1050.6%0.0
Brandon HagelLW · #380000318:400.2156.4%0.0
Darren RaddyshD · #43112+1418:050.1744.6%+14.7
Jake GuentzelC · #59123+2116:560.2952.0%+22.4
Nikita KucherovRW · #86123+2216:440.2453.3%+22.4
Brayden PointC · #21101+2215:100.5053.6%+9.5
Zemgus GirgensonsC · #280000214:560.1840.6%0.0
Max CrozierD · #65000+1214:250.0256.8%0.0
Nick PaulLW · #200000214:180.4154.6%0.0
Conor GeekieC · #140000012:040.0040.6%0.0
Luke GlendeningC · #11000+1011:270.0029.4%0.0
Michael EyssimontC · #230000010:550.0046.2%0.0
Cam AtkinsonRW · #13011+1010:090.1031.3%+3.9
Mitchell ChaffeeRW · #41101+119:440.1833.3%+3.9
Andrei Vasilevskiy#88W39381.9743.01+2.060:00