Sat, Jan 18, 2025·Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg
Calgary Flames 3, Winnipeg Jets 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 83% of the time.
77%
12%
WPG winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 23:34 | 0.04 | 28.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:53 | 0.04 | 13.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 22:47 | 0.11 | 13.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 20:04 | 0.98 | 70.8% | +38.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:56 | 0.02 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 19:21 | 0.39 | 70.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:57 | 0.03 | 17.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:06 | 0.14 | 21.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:57 | 0.10 | 64.4% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:44 | 0.00 | 34.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:18 | 0.20 | 22.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:07 | 0.01 | 9.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:29 | 0.08 | 22.0% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:24 | 0.00 | 55.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:14 | 0.00 | 7.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:48 | 0.08 | 19.8% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:32 | 0.00 | 2.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:49 | 0.02 | 2.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 39 | 38 | 1 | .974 | 4.41 | +3.4 | 60:00 |
Winnipeg Jets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 24:48 | 0.10 | 71.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 7 | 22:09 | 1.04 | 67.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 22:03 | 0.23 | 71.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 20:37 | 0.10 | 83.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:30 | 0.03 | 73.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:57 | 0.04 | 55.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:52 | 0.41 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:49 | 0.01 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17:38 | 1.10 | 76.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:36 | 0.13 | 62.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:40 | 0.67 | 79.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:57 | 0.01 | 62.9% | +16.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:27 | 0.26 | 77.6% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:06 | 0.04 | 74.8% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:00 | 0.05 | 54.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:41 | 0.05 | 78.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:37 | 0.04 | 72.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:55 | 0.09 | 71.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 21 | 19 | 2 | .905 | 1.52 | −0.5 | 57:29 |